Friday 12 August 2011

12/8

Armed forces won, and there were bigger prices elsewhere, especially in Ireland.

330pm - Shinnik v Fakel - 1.33 home - Russian 2nd Division.
HEAD TO HEADS

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

430pm -
TPS v RoPS - 1.39 home
HEAD TO HEADS
09.06.2011 D1 RoPS Rovaniemi 1-1 TPS Turku
27.09.2009 D1 RoPS Rovaniemi 0-4 TPS Turku
24.06.2009 D1 TPS Turku 3-2 RoPS Rovaniemi
13.03.2009 LC TPS Turku 3-0 RoPS Rovaniemi

LEAGUE POSITION - 5th v 12th of 12

HOME TEAM - TPS

RECENT HOME FORM - WLLWWWLDWL - losses against 3rd , 4th, 8th, 9th - all over 2.5 goals so if you think TPS are vulnerable, then neutral goals bet. Wins against 1st, 2nd, 6th, 7th, 8th ( yes beat 8th but lost away)

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WDLLDDWDLD - plenty of draws overall - only one win recently against 8th in the league.

GOAL TRENDS - 5 wins, 4 losses, 1 draw , 3 clean sheets - 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded

STREAKS - 3 overall without a win.

AWAY TEAM - ROPS

RECENT AWAY FORM - DLWLLLLLL - that's why they are outsiders. Sole win against 7th.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - DDLDLDLLLLL - note the draws which appear with TPS too.

GOAL TRENDS - 1 win, 7 losses, 1 draw, 1 clean sheet, 1.11 scored, 3 conceded away on average.

STREAKS - 13 without a win overall, 8 away without a draw.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - away side look opposable and I feel the best they can hope for today is a draw which is a possibility considering the home side have 4 draws in last 6 matches overall. Home side not that convincing form wise, but away side look so weak.

530pm -
SCR Altach v FC Lustenau - 1.32 home
630pm -
CFR Cluj v Gaz Metan Medias - 1.43 home
7pm -
Dinamo Zagreb v Karlovac - 1.22 home
7pm -
Zwolle v FC Oss - 1.4 home
02.04.2010 D2 FC Zwolle 0-0 FC Oss
21.08.2009 D2 FC Oss 2-1 FC Zwolle
10.04.2009 D2 FC Zwolle 0-0 TOP Oss
2 0-0's in last 3 head to heads and an over 2.5 goals inbetween. Only 1 match so far this season saw 2-2 for Zwolle and 3-1 for FC Oss.
Neutral goals bet as is the norm in the Dutch 2nd Division, or acknowledge this is the 2nd match of the season and we really need more befir we bet.

730pm - Legia Warsaw v Gornik Zabrze - 1.47 home
745pm -
Bray v Galway Utd - 1.18 home
745pm -
Cork City v Wexford Youths - 1.19 home
8pm -
Shamrock Rovers v UCD - 1.22 home
845pm -
Gil Vicente v Benfica - 1.45 away - Promoted side at home v established top flight Benfica, who will probably be top 3 this season. Will we see any shocks? Benfica clear 2nd best last season but no match for Porto. First 22 matches last season saw no draws and they lost their first 2 matches last season .63% over 2.5 goals overall. Only 1 draw away all last season.
But that's just it - all last season - how relevant now?
Logically newcomers should not beat 2nd last season.

620 CATTERICK

BETTING FORECAST: 6/5 Koalition, 7/2 Angel Kiss, 4/1 Lady Gadfly, 6/1 Annie Walker, 10/1 Brackendale, 33/1 Sophar, 66/1 Bea Persuasive.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This is weak, even by selling-race standards, and KOALITION looks to have been found a good opportunity to get off the mark. His last two runs stack up well enough here and he can prove too strong for Lady Gadfly, for whom this extra furlong should suit.[Paul Smith]

Poor level this race - Koalition the only horse rated in the 60's and if still 3 places, looks to have a great chance of placing despite the race type.

725 CATTERICK


BETTING FORECAST: 4/7 Floral Beauty, 7/2 Raajih, 13/2 My Heart´s On Fire, 13/2 Tiny Temper, 20/1 Gulf Of Naples, 33/1 River Dragon, 40/1 Jacob Mccandles, 66/1 Nha Trang, 100/1 Good Faith.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: FLORAL BEAUTY has been placed in maidens at top southern tracks and, while she failed to land the odds at Newbury last time, it will be disappointing if she can't make the journey north pay off. Raajih may prove the main danger.[Steve Boow]

4 under 20/1 in this maiden and a Stoute/Hanagan favourite is likely to be very popular.



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