*****6pm - Lyon v Ajaccio - - back Lyon in the match odds at 1.3
1245pm - Inverness CT v Rangers - 1.43 away
| 18.01.2011 | PR | Glasgow Rangers | 1-0 | Inverness CT | |
| 11.12.2010 | PR | Inverness CT | 1-1 | Glasgow Rangers | |
| 30.10.2010 | PR | Glasgow Rangers | 1-1 | Inverness CT | |
| 04.03.2009 | PR | Glasgow Rangers | 0-1 | Inverness CT | |
| 04.01.2009 | PR | Inverness CT | 0-3 | Glasgow Rangers |
12th of 12 v 5th. Inverness have played 3 matches , lost 2 and drawn the last match 2-2 ( it was 2-1 to Inverness until the 90th minute). At home they lost 1-0 , but away conceded 3 in their 2 matches.
Rangers have only played 2 matches, drawing at home in the first 1-1 v Hearts and beating St Johnstone 2-0 away.
Again very limited resources with which to work, but tight matches pervade when these 2 meet, and when CT have played at home. Back 0-0 and hope for Caley Thistle to be tough to beat?
230pm - Hoffenheim v Dortmund - 1.77 away
| 12.03.2011 | D1 | Hoffenheim | 1-0 | Borussia Dortmund | |
| 24.10.2010 | D1 | Borussia Dortmund | 1-1 | Hoffenheim | |
| 18.04.2010 | D1 | Borussia Dortmund | 1-1 | Hoffenheim | |
| 28.11.2009 | D1 | Hoffenheim | 1-2 | Borussia Dortmund | |
| 28.02.2009 | D1 | Borussia Dortmund | 0-0 | Hoffenheim |
Dortmund lost 4 away last season, 3 of those in the last 2 months of the year - the last 9 matches. Only 2 draws away last season for Dortmund.
Hoff lost 2-1 away to Hannover this season
Dortmund beat Hamburg 3-1 at home on their first match of the season.
230pm - Schalke v FC Koln - 1.66 home
| 14.05.2011 | D1 | 1.FC Köln | 2-1 | Schalke 04 | |
| 18.12.2010 | D1 | Schalke 04 | 3-0 | 1.FC Köln | |
| 24.08.2010 | CF | Schalke 04 | 1-2 | 1.FC Köln | |
| 14.02.2010 | D1 | Schalke 04 | 2-0 | 1.FC Köln | |
| 13.09.2009 | D1 | 1.FC Köln | 1-2 | Schalke 04 | |
| 06.03.2009 | D1 | Schalke 04 | 1-0 | 1.FC Köln |
A mixed bag with head to heads -Schalke win, Koln win, Schalke win, Koln win. This hints , logically ( as we have no real form to go on) on opposing such a short priced favourite if this match would go 50/50?
BUT Schalke have won 2 of last 3 meetings at home . Schalke lost their first match 3-0 away to Stuttgart. Koln lost their home match 3-0 to Wolfsburg!.
Little or nothing really with which to determine any angle in, suffice to repeat what I already said about laying a 1.66 chance in the speculative hope that they show the vulnerability that has seen Koln share the spoils in last 4 meetings.
230pm - Wolfsburg v B Munich - 1.88 away - I mention this match because already this has become a must win for Bayern, what with Dortmund winning comfortably at home and Bayern losing at home to Mgladbach.
| 15.01.2011 | D1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1-1 | Bayern München | |
| 20.08.2010 | D1 | Bayern München | 2-1 | VfL Wolfsburg | |
| 06.02.2010 | D1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1-3 | Bayern München | |
| 29.08.2009 | D1 | Bayern München | 3-0 | VfL Wolfsburg | |
| 04.04.2009 | D1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 5-1 | Bayern München |
Again I refer to context today. It really is a must win after the home debacle on opening day and 1.88 is speculative I admit, but might offer value.
245pm - Polonia Warsaw v LKS Lodz - 1.36 home - a welcome addition of the Polish League to Soccerstats.
HEAD TO HEADS
| 13.03.2009 | D1 | Polonia Warszawa | 1-3 | LKS Lodz | |
| 25.11.2008 | LC | LKS Lodz | 1-1 | Polonia Warszawa | |
| 07.10.2008 | LC | Polonia Warszawa | 1-0 | LKS Lodz | |
| 23.08.2008 | D1 | LKS Lodz | 1-2 | Polonia Warszawa |
3pm - Birmingham v Coventry - 1.8 home
| 29.01.2011 | Cup | Birmingham City | 3-2 | Coventry City | |
| 21.02.2009 | LCh | Coventry City | 1-0 | Birmingham City | |
| 03.11.2008 | LCh | Birmingham City | 0-1 | Coventry City |
From the brum website -
"
Blues play their first npower Championship home game of the season on Saturday, as they host Coventry City at St. Andrew's.
Both sides go into the fixture looking to secure their first points of the season after suffering respective opening day defeats.
Blues were narrowly beaten 2-1 away at Derby last weekend, with Coventry losing 1-0 at home to Leicester City.
But Chris Hughton's side will have taken heart from a positive performance at Pride Park in which they created in the region of 20 chances.
To compound matters for the Sky Blues they were knocked out of the Carling Cup on Tuesday evening after losing 3-1 at League One side Bury."
I like Chris Hughton and we remember Birmingham traditionally at home were tough to beat. Last week I backed brum and they scored first for a good back to lay trade despite losing the match. Can they score first again?Coventry lost 1-0 at home to a 2nd half leicester goal.
Tough to call but Brum at home are of some appeal to at least not lose. unbeaten at home against the bottom 7 in the premiership last season ( and can we equate the bottom 7 with the top of the Championship?)
These sides met on the final day of last season with both still unsure of their Barclays Premier League status.
Rovers won 3-2 at Molineux but the result was enough to keep both sides up.
Now they meet again with both keen to ensure they do not suffer another survival struggle.
Blackburn won this fixture 3-0 last season and have not lost to Wolves in eight meetings since April 2000.
Key stat from the Racing Post - blackburn have scored nil or 1 in 6 of their last 7 home matches.
It's a toughie to call this one. There is no need to get involved if you cannot get an angle in.
3pm - Celtic v Dundee Utd - 1.3 home
| 01.05.2011 | PR | Celtic FC | 4-1 | Dundee United | |
| 13.02.2011 | PR | Dundee United | 1-3 | Celtic FC | |
| 20.11.2010 | PR | Celtic FC | 1-1 | Dundee United | |
| 17.10.2010 | PR | Dundee United | 1-2 | Celtic FC | |
| 25.04.2010 | PR | Dundee United | 0-2 | Celtic FC | |
| 20.02.2010 | PR | Celtic FC | 1-0 | Dundee United |
Strong performances from Celtic in their last 2 head to heads. But context - May 2011 and a need , an overwhelming need, to win for Celtic.
2nd v 3rd and Celtic have played 2 matches to Dundee United's 3rd placed.
2 Celtic away matches have seen 2 wins for the Bhoys - 0-2 at Hibs and 0-1 at Aberdeen
Dundee United have played 3 this season and have 2 1-1 draws at home against St Mirren and kilmarnock.Dundee United beat Hearts 1-0 away. So they are unbeaten . As ever it is better to view performance against Old Firm as against other sides in the SPL.
With Celtic and Rangers, all matches are must wins.
3pm - Fulham v Aston Villa - 2.18 home
Both sides are under new management although Martin Jol has already enjoyed six competitive matches with Fulham in the Europa League.
Alex McLeish will need to get off to a good start with Villa after moving from local rivals Birmingham City.
Both meetings last season finished all-square with Villa doing the double over their rivals in 2009/10.
Recent stats from last season I feel are worthless because we need to put them into the context of the time of year - end of the season means some dead rubbers and other must wins and a raising the level of form. Both sides, as you read, have new managers = new philosophies? last season under Sparky, Fulham were great at home - losing against 3rd, 5th, 6th and 20th last season. Will this continue? they have a degree of competitiveness under their belt in Europe.
Mcleish has remained in the Midlands at Villa. Villa only won 4 away last season , all 2-1 scorelines. Darren Bent might shine in his first full season for Villa? But with Ashley Young and Stewart Downing away from Villa, how will this impact matters?
Shay Given is a superb acquisition for Villa and is set to make a massive difference defensively ( and remember McLeish had a propensity for defence)
3pm - Liverpool v Sunderland - 1.53 home
Liverpool have spent big over the summer in a bid to maintain the momentum under Kenny Dalglish.
One of their biggest signings was Sunderland midfielder Jordan Henderson who could make his Reds debut against his old club.
Steve Bruce has used the money to bring in 10 new players and will hope to at least equal last season's 2-2 draw at Anfield.
This is a new Liverpool playing a new Sunderland and epitomises the problems we face in 1) the first match of the season and 2) a match at the cusp of the transfer window
Such significant changes for Sunderland really negate their form last year. One significant aspect was the selling of Darren bent which really struck Sunderland badly as soon as he departed.
Have they compensated for this? Bruce has superb signings in Wes Brown and John O'Shea with a winning mentality and international caps, BUT they are defenders.
| 20.03.2011 | PR | Sunderland AFC | 0-2 | Liverpool FC | |
| 25.09.2010 | PR | Liverpool FC | 2-2 | Sunderland AFC | |
| 28.03.2010 | PR | Liverpool FC | 3-0 | Sunderland AFC | |
| 17.10.2009 | PR | Sunderland AFC | 1-0 | Liverpool FC | |
| 03.03.2009 | PR | Liverpool FC | 2-0 | Sunderland AFC |
Liverpool have scored 2 or more in their last 3 head to heads, but I must remind you these are 2 very different sides now.
From www.premierleague.com
"
Liverpool striker Luis Suarez could play despite only returning to training on Monday.
The Uruguay international's involvement in winning the Copa America prevented him from featuring in the club's pre-season but manager Kenny Dalglish will consider him for selection.
New signings Stewart Downing, Charlie Adam, Jordan Henderson and Alexander Doni are all in the squad but captain Steven Gerrard and defender Martin Skrtel are both out and full-back Glen Johnson (hamstring) faces a late fitness test.
Defender John O'Shea will have to wait to make his Barclays Premier League debut for the club after being ruled out.
The Republic of Ireland international, who joined the club from Manchester United during the summer, damaged a hamstring during pre-season and is not yet ready to resume.
Fellow new-boys Keiren Westwood, Wes Brown, Craig Gardner, David Vaughan, Sebastian Larsson, Connor Wickham and Ji Dong-won will all hope to have forced their way into manager Steve Bruce's plans, although Craig Gordon, David Meyler and Fraizer Campbell (all knee) remain on the sidelines."
Craig Gordon a big absence in goal for Sunderland I personally feel.O'Shea does not play. Can you name the Sunderland strikers? No, me neither. I have to look it up - no established forwards really.
This could be traditional Brucesque performance with them keeping it tight and then eventually succumb to one or 2 goals. Perhaps back 0-0 initially in the hope this is tight initially? The absence of Craig Gordon I have already mentioned could be Sunderland's undoing .
KEY STAT from the Racing Post - Liverpool have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their last 5 home matches ( again I am not personally enthused about stats from the end of last season).
Queens Park Rangers begin life back in the Barclays Premier League aiming to maintain the momentum which saw them run away with the Championship last season.
Bolton finished the campaign with five successive defeats and will need to arrest that slide. Their hopes have not been helped by pre-season broken legs for Lee Chung-yong and Tyrone Mears.
Bolton have won four of the last five meetings between the sides since November 1998.
From www.premierleague.com
"
Striker Rob Hulse will miss out with a knee injury. Hulse is three weeks away from recovery, but forward Jamie Mackie may soon come into contention as he continues his rehabilitation from a broken leg.
Otherwise manager Neil Warnock has a fully fit squad to select from, with Danny Gabbidon, DJ Campbell, Jay Bothroyd, Bruno Perone and Kieron Dyer all poised for debuts.
Tuncay is unlikely to make his debut. The Turkey international is yet to be granted a work permit and will be forced to watch his new team-mates from the stands at Loftus Road.
Nigel Reo-Coker and Chris Eagles could both make their debuts in midfield but Tyrone Mears and Lee Chung-yong are ruled out with broken legs.
Queens Park Rangers: Kenny, Cerny, Murphy, Orr, Hill, Derry, Hall, Gabbidon, Taarabt, Dyer, Campbell, Bothroyd, Faurlin, Gorkss, Buzsaky, Connolly, Hull, Smith, Helguson, Moen, Agyemang, Shittu, Ephraim, Doughty, Hewitt, Perone.
Bolton Wanderers: Jaaskelainen, Lainton, Steinsson, Riley, Cahill, Knight, Wheater, Robinson, Petrov, Reo-Coker, Muamba, Pratley, M Davies, Eagles, Alonso, K Davies, Klasnic, Blake."
How transferable is strong Championship home form, to the battle hardened likes of Bolton?
Bolton only won 2 away all last season as as far as I can tell have been inactive in the transfer market.
QPR have lost one of their last 12 at home, and that loss was when they were already up so was meaningless. Can they continue at home today? How will they cope with Bolton? Bolton's sole signing seems to be Tuncay - hardly earth shattering signing!
3pm - Wigan v Norwich - 2.22 home
Newly-promoted Norwich play their first Barclays Premier League fixture since 2005 against a Wigan side which survived only on the final day of last season.
These teams have only met five times in total and never in the Premier League. The Latics won 1-0 in the FA Cup in January 1987 but the Canaries won both legs of the League Cup tie in 1998.
They met in Division 1 in 2003/04 with Wigan drawing 1-1 at home and losing 2-0 away.
"Wigan look set to be without midfielder James McCarthy for Saturday's Barclays Premier League opener against newly-promoted Norwich.
The Republic of Ireland international twisted his ankle in last week's pre-season friendly against Villarreal and Latics boss Roberto Martinez has given him only a 10% chance of being involved.
Striker Hugo Rodallega is available after returning late to pre-season training following his involvement with Colombia in the Copa America but defender Antolin Alcaraz, who reached the final with Paraguay, will be given more time to regain full fitness.
Norwich are hopeful Wales midfielder Andrew Crofts (ankle) and full-back Russell Martin (calf) will be fit.
Striker James Vaughan, signed from Everton, and centre-back Elliott Ward are sidelined after picking up minor knee injuries during pre-season training in Germany.
Anthony Pilkington could be included in the squad as the former Huddersfield winger continues his rehabilitation from a serious ankle injury.
Wigan Athletic: Al Habsi, Caldwell, Boyce, Figueroa, Watson, Diame, Rodallega, Moses, Sammon, McArthur, McCarthy, Gomez, Gohouri, Di Santo, McManaman, Lopez, Stam, Thomas, Kirkland, Jones, Nicholls, Golobart.
Norwich City: Ruddy, Martin, De Laet, Barnett, Naughton, Bennett, Johnson, Crofts, Surman, Hoolahan, Holt, Rudd, Morison, Whitbread, Jackson, Pilkington, Fox, Martin, Tierney."
Wigan are without n'zogbia and have bought noone as far as I know. Likely to be scrapping this season again. Watching brief on Norwich to determine their strengths and weaknesses.
HEAD TO HEADS
| 10.04.2011 | D1 | Kapfenberg | 3-3 | Austria Wien | |
| 02.04.2011 | D1 | Austria Wien | 2-0 | Kapfenberg | |
| 13.11.2010 | D1 | Austria Wien | 5-1 | Kapfenberg | |
| 21.08.2010 | D1 | Kapfenberg | 1-1 | Austria Wien | |
| 14.04.2010 | D1 | Kapfenberg | 1-1 | Austria Wien | |
| 13.02.2010 | D1 | Austria Wien | 4-3 | Kapfenberg |
530pm - Mgladbach v Stuttgart - 2.36 home - I only put this match up because Mgladbach beat Bayern Munich away in the first game of the season. A shock if ever there was one. What can this suggest? Perhaps Mgladbach have really done some work defensively. Keeping Bayern at bay AT Bayern's home ground. 8th v 1st after one match. Of course both sides have won their sole match so Stuttgart are top on goal difference only.
| 05.02.2011 | D1 | Mönchengladbach | 2-3 | VfB Stuttgart | |
| 18.09.2010 | D1 | VfB Stuttgart | 7-0 | Mönchengladbach | |
| 03.04.2010 | D1 | VfB Stuttgart | 2-1 | Mönchengladbach | |
| 07.11.2009 | D1 | Mönchengladbach | 0-0 | VfB Stuttgart | |
| 31.01.2009 | D1 | VfB Stuttgart | 2-0 | Mönchengladbach |
Only 5 wins at home last season for Mgladbach last season and a 65% over 2.5 goal stat last season.
Stuttgart last season away could not beat the top 9 but nearly beat all of those outside top 9.
530pm - Newcastle v Arsenal - 2.1 away
Last season's corresponding fixture produced a pulsating 4-4 draw as Newcastle remarkably recovered from four down to snatch a point through Cheick Tiote's late leveller.
The Magpies won 1-0 at the Emirates Stadium but the Gunners enjoyed a 4-0 success at St James' Park in the Carling Cup.
Both clubs have endured a difficult summer of transfer speculation and will be glad when the big kick-off arrives.
"
Winger Hatem Ben Arfa is Newcastle boss Alan Pardew's only injury absentee.
The Frenchman is around five to six weeks away from a return to action after damaging his left ankle - the leg in which he suffered a double fracture last season - during a pre-season friendly against Sporting Kansas City.
Mike Williamson (broken arm) and Danny Guthrie and Shane Ferguson (both ankle) are fit, but Pardew has revealed Ferguson will not start as a direct replacement for Jose Enrique after only just returning to full training, while transfer-listed Joey Barton must assure the manager of his commitment if he is to be selected.
From www.premierleague.com
Cesc Fabregas has been omitted from Arsenal's squad while Samir Nasri faces a fitness test.
Fabregas has been left out due to a lack of match fitness, according to manager Arsene Wenger, while Nasri is suffering from an illness and will be monitored.
Robin van Persie (knee) and Kieran Gibbs (thigh) face fitness tests but Theo Walcott and Thomas Vermaelen return to the squad. Jack Wilshere (ankle) and Abou Diaby (ankle) are definitely out.
Newcastle United: Krul, Harper, Forster, Simpson, R. Taylor, Perch, Coloccini, S. Taylor, Williamson, Tiote, Cabaye, Gutierrez, Barton, Marveaux, Gosling, Ba, Shola Ameobi, Lovenkrands, Best, Vuckic.
Arsenal: Szczesny, Fabianski, Sagna, Vermaelen, Djourou, Gibbs, Rosicky, Ramsey, Song, Walcott, Arshavin, Gervinho, Van Persie, Squillaci, Jenkinson, Lansbury, Chamakh, Traore, Frimpong."
No Fabregas and the dynamic of the Arsenal team changes completely. Team news vital nearer match time because van Persie could be out, as could Nasri! If so, then lay the Arse ( so to speak).545pm - Twente v AZ Alkmaar - 1.82 home
| 27.02.2011 | D1 | AZ Alkmaar | 2-1 | FC Twente | |
| 20.11.2010 | D1 | FC Twente | 1-2 | AZ Alkmaar | |
| 13.04.2010 | D1 | AZ Alkmaar | 1-0 | FC Twente | |
| 17.10.2009 | D1 | FC Twente | 3-2 | AZ Alkmaar | |
| 03.05.2009 | D1 | FC Twente | 3-0 | AZ Alkmaar |
One of the Triumvirate who should dominate this season.
Twente were 2nd by 2 points last season. AZ were 4th.
Twente at home only lost 1 match last season against guess who? AZ Alkmaar .
Both teams won their opening matches. Twente won 1-0 away to Breda - a penalty. AZ beat PSV 3-1 which is a superb result. PSV are one of the big boys. Is this a sign of an improving AZ or a declining PSV? If taken on face value, then AZ should be good competition for Twente.
REmember though this is the 2nd match of the season.
6pm - FC Copenhagen v FC Midtjylland - 1.6 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 19.05.2011 | D1 | FC København | 5-2 | FC Midtjylland | |
| 06.03.2011 | D1 | FC Midtjylland | 2-0 | FC København | |
| 25.09.2010 | D1 | FC Midtjylland | 0-3 | FC København | |
| 17.04.2010 | D1 | FC Midtjylland | 3-2 | FC København | |
| 29.11.2009 | D1 | FC København | 2-0 | FC Midtjylland | |
| 22.08.2009 | D1 | FC Midtjylland | 1-4 | FC København |
Goals the call here? Midt have won 2 of last 4 meetings but 3 of last 4 meetings were at Midt.
6pm - Lyon v Ajaccio - 1.3 home
| 04.03.2006 | D1 | AC Ajaccio | 1-3 | Lyon | |
| 01.02.2006 | Cup | AC Ajaccio | 1-2 AET | Lyon | |
| 16.10.2005 | D1 | Lyon | 3-2 | AC Ajaccio |
Head to heads signal that Ajaccio are newcomers to the French top flight and are playing one of the best sides in the top division.
Lyon won 1-3 away at Nice in their first match of the season.
Ajaccio lost 2-0 at home to Toulouse.
Lyon came 3rd in the top flight last season.They lost only 1 match at home all last season and that was a sole goal loss. Lyon kept clean sheets in 53% of home matches last season. Ajaccio only won 1 match away against top 10 last season, and that was in the French 2nd division. Surely this makes them vulnerable against top flight stalwarts away in the top flight?
645pm - PSV v Waalwijk - 1.19 home
| 28.02.2010 | D1 | PSV Eindhoven | 5-1 | RKC Waalwijk | |
| 06.12.2009 | D1 | RKC Waalwijk | 0-2 | PSV Eindhoven | |
| 07.07.2009 | CF | RKC Waalwijk | 2-2 | PSV Eindhoven | |
| 03.03.2007 | D1 | PSV Eindhoven | 2-0 | RKC Waalwijk |
PSV were 3rd last year in a league which was really tight at the top. PSV won 10 and drew 1 of their matches against bottom 11 teams. 71% over 2.5 goals at home last season for PSV.
Waalwijk - won the 2nd divions last season and lost only 2 away but they are facing a far better calibre team now. 82% over 2.5 goals away from home in the 2nd tier last year.
No head to heads last season of course.
PSV lost 3-1 away at AZ Alkmaar in their first match of the season
Waalwijk drew 2-2 v Heracles at home. They were 0-2 down and scored 2 goals in the 85th and 90th minutes to get a draw.
645pm - Vitesse v VVV - 1.57 home
0-0 for Vitesse away and 0-0 for VVV in their first match . Hmmm! of course we cannot come to any conclusions after one match.
815pm - Sp Lisbon v Olhanense - 1.43 home
| 12.02.2011 | D1 | SC Olhanense | 2-2 | Sporting Lisboa | |
| 11.09.2010 | D1 | Sporting Lisboa | 0-0 | SC Olhanense | |
| 20.02.2010 | D1 | SC Olhanense | 0-0 | Sporting Lisboa | |
| 21.09.2009 | D1 | Sporting Lisboa | 3-2 | SC Olhanense |
Tight head to heads - 3 draws - sequentially will this actually happen again? First match of the season and Sporting Lisbon must win their home matches.
3rd v 11th from last year.
33% over 2.5 goals at home last season. Have Sporting improved their attacking?
455 DONCASTER
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Dhhamaan, 5/1 Alensgrove, 10/1 Flying Applause, 12/1 Alpha Tauri, 12/1 Gracie´s Gift, 14/1 Cawdor, 25/1 Freedom Trail, 25/1 Mark Anthony, 25/1 Piccolo Diamante, 33/1 Ellies Image.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Abacist is less exposed than several of these and may be able to build on his Chepstow win, but DHHAMAAN (nap) comes here at the peak of his powers and can complete a quick hat-trick.[Paul Smith]
Price gapper 5/4 - - 7/2 lesser in the live betting market.
610 LINGFIELD
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: With a better draw she would have looked nailed on but NINE BEFORE TEN probably has the early speed to get over anyway and these terms are too favourable to ignore. His Grace may be best of the rest.[Alistair Whitehouse-Jones]
Big price gapper 6 horses and 2 places but a poor seller.
640 LINGFIELD
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Elbe, 11/4 Graphic, 5/1 Vital Gold, 10/1 Emirates Art, 12/1 Norse Gold, 12/1 Singalat, 20/1 Dollar Bill.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: With plenty of potential on show this is by far and away the most interesting race of the evening. Graphic is a strong contender on the bare form of his Salisbury win but there's good reason to believe ELBE (nap) could turn out well above average, with a Fillies' Mile entry catching the eye.[Alistair Whitehouse-Jones]
8 runner race down to 6 and still 3 places makes this superb for Elbe , although of course I will not know the place only price until nearer 630pm than 1130am!
415 NEWBURY
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Lulla, 5/1 Deduction, 11/2 Whimsical, 9/1 Balady, 9/1 Dreamwriter, 10/1 Camrock Star, 10/1 Chapellerie, 20/1 Roman Seal, 25/1 Serene Oasis, 33/1 Periwinkle Way.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Lulla sets a useful standard on her Goodwood second but would not be certain to confirm the form with DEDUCTION, who ran very green and was tenderly handled. Balady is another likely improver and the betting should guide as regards the newcomers. [Frank Carter]
4/5 - - - 6/1 price gapper with Dettori onboard. A 2 year old maiden though and Lulla is a 2 time outer in a race of 3 debutants and 4 one time outers.
520 NEWBURY
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Dumbarton, 6/1 Anatolian, 6/1 Mountain Range, 9/1 Silken Thoughts, 10/1 Shamdarley, 11/1 Muntasib, 12/1 Aldedash, 12/1 El Muqbil, 14/1 Cool Macavity, 20/1 Little Cottonsocks, 25/1 Levantera.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Anatolian was a plucky winner of his maiden at Windsor last time but it is not hard to prefer the more glaring promise shown by a green DUMBARTON (nap) when he emerged well on top over a shorter trip at the same course. Mountain Range is next on the list and highly respected if the ground is soft enough.[Richard Austen]
6/4 - - -5/1 price gapper.
600 TRAMORE
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Crystal Highness, 13/8 Jazz Girl, 9/2 Divas Dream, 20/1 Curraline, 20/1 Odear.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Whether CRYSTAL HIGHNESS deserves a mark of 83 is another matter but she's shown more than enough to believe she can win a maiden of this stature and is just preferred to Jazz Girl.[Alistair Whitehouse-Jones]
3 under 20/1 for 2 places.
SHORTLIST
230pm - Wolfsburg v B Munich - 1.88 away - an argument can be made that this is a need to win match for Bayern. Bayern though were less than emphatic away from home.
245pm - Polonia Warsaw v LKS Lodz - 1.36 home - Lodz look opposable conceding plenty and not scoring - yes only a couple of matches to work off, but these newcomers are away from home now.3pm - Celtic v Dundee Utd - 1.3 home - Celtic have kept a clean sheet so far and must win their home matches when Rangers are playing difficult away matches.
3pm - Liverpool v Sunderland - 1.53 home - attack v defence this match? Liverpool look strong this season, and have spent , as have Sunderland, in the transfer window. 2 new sides then . Sunderland are missing Craig Gordon. Important?
6pm - FC Copenhagen v FC Midtjylland - 1.6 home - can Copenhagen continue to score 2? 1.24 over 1.5 goals has both sides working for us.
6pm - Lyon v Ajaccio - 1.3 home - could this be a good chance to back Lyon against newcomers. I am reminded of complacency on my part when Marseille lost to newcomers Caen last year.
645pm - PSV v Waalwijk - 1.19 home - having lost to AZ on the opening match of the season, PSV must win these types of matches at home.
640 LINGFIELD - 6 horses and 3 places - great probability race and the only obstacle is the time of the race as the market is illiquid at present.
520 NEWBURY - Dumbarton is a big price gapper here
SHORTLIST OF THE SHORTLIST
245pm - Polonia Warsaw v LKS Lodz - 1.36 home - Lodz look opposable but only 2 matches into the season. They have conceded 3 and 4 without scoring.
3pm - Celtic v Dundee Utd - 1.3 home - Dundee United are unbeaten this season, and Celtic have won their 2 matches without conceding. First home match today and they must win it as Rangers could drop points away to a tough Inverness CT. Anthony Stokes has scored in both away wins to date - he's in form so perhaps backable as a goalscorer?
6pm - Lyon v Ajaccio - 1.3 home - established home side playing newcomers who could struggle.
645pm - PSV v Waalwijk - 1.19 home - must win already for PSV - first home match of the season and should be a good 2-3-4 match home win if they are ok. 3-1 loss to AZ a slight concern in opening match.
640 LINGFIELD - superb probability race and Elbe looks obvious as the favourite but the place market reveals nothing.
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Please note there is no guarantee that these selections will win. Gambling is high risk and Canonbury Publishing Ltd and it's writers and editors cannot be held accountable for any monetary losses incurred. Please note that any bets you place are at your own risk.
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