23/4

MArket movers came good with Benmaddigan at 14/1.Note the market move for this was into 7/1 usually a drift of this size would mean a no bet but it doesn't seem to matter with these early potential bets.3 2nd places and very close at 5/1, 7/1 and 7/1 could have helped had they won.
13 horses placed at prices up to 10/1
Other frustrations with a couple of close 2nd placers at big odds but great to bag such a big price
Thanks must go to he jockey of Keepingtheboatafloat ( he went off a massive 1.45 to place) for putting the horse 5 lengths clear early doors. This sealed the fate of the outsider who never got into it, and Keep managed 2nd place
All footy bets all won as well.
EARLY START AGAIN TODAY SO MAY COMPROMISE ON LATE NON RUNNERS

210 PErTH
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Eradicate, 5/2 Frontier Dancer, 3/1 Mhilu, 12/1 Drever Route, 14/1 Casual Affair, 66/1 Authentic Act, 100/1 Actabou, Howards Dream, Steel Man, 200/1 Art Bank, The Dunion.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Eradicate is the most able of these but comes with a risk attached after recent defeats. Frontier Dancer has improved since being beaten on his debut by MHILU here last autumn but has yet to prove himself on a right-handed track and the Irish raider can defy a double penalty with conditions in his favour.[JN]

5 under 66/1 must make this a race of interest for place only potential on, I hope, the front 3.
With casual affair now out, this makes it a 4 horse affair (only 4 under 50/1 in the betting forecast) -Eridacte is now odds on and Mhilu 2nd fav . Only 3 horses under 3/1. Can we discount Drever Route at 12/1?
If so it should be easy pickings ( of course accounting for noone falling or being pulled up)

Eradicate palced in 1st 3 in last 3 races which is enouraging, losing by only a length or so. Front 3, it must be said, cannot easily be split, and I have said it many times before, that rarely do the front 3 end up 1-2-3. Just hope they can today and dispose of ( from what the prices are indicating anyway) poor opposition 1.12 , 1.33 and 1.27 the front 3

250 FONT
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Dream Falcon, 2/1 Prince Vector, 11/2 Chunky Lad, 33/1 Lethal Gun.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Capable hurdle recruit PRINCE VECTOR shaped well enough on his recent chase introduction to suggest he can win a race like this. Dream Falcon is the obvious danger.[BDO]

A race very much like Soixante's recently with Chunky LAd now 7/2 and not readily dismissed. A clear 3 horse race and likely decent enough place only prices given 4 runners and 2 places
Unknown ( to me) jockeys 1.35 , 1.55 , 2.02 the front 3
430 BEV
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Wilfred Pickles, 2/1 The Fonz, 5/1 Dr Jameson, 6/1 Elusive Glen, 12/1 Jenny Potts, 16/1 Chichen Daawe, 33/1 Princess Aliuska, 100/1 Que Calor La Vida.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Dr Jameson, THE FONZ and Wilfred Pickles all showed fair form last term and are unlikely to have any problems with this trip. There is little between them on those performances and so much depends on how much each has come on over the winter, but the Stoute-trained colt gets the vote after his strong finish over 7f at Lingfield

8 runners down to 7 always of interest, and The Fonz has taken over as fav. 5/4
Only 3 runners under 12/1 here and still 3 places so any selection only has 4 to beat to place
With the front 3 not running since Sept/Oct 2008 and with little to separate them, then a reliance on the market is needed? That tells us the Fonz (heeeeeyyyyyyy !) is the one 1.21 the Fonz to place (sit on it!)

525 FONTWELL
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Benartic, 7/4 There´s No Panic, 3/1 High Gales, 20/1 Lucia Popp, 25/1 King´s Performance, Quick Dancer, 33/1 Legendary Romance, 50/1 Joli Al, 100/1 Red Hot Joker.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: BENARTIC had to settle for second behind High Gales here last month and, on better terms and with some experience to call upon, he might well exact revenge this time.[BDO]

Only 3 horses under 20/1 and High Gales with Robert Thornton an eyecatching ride for JJ LAmbe. The front 3 , in all honesty, cannot be split and the 4th fav is a potential mover into 16/1 1.21, 1.32, 1.35

530 UTTOXETER
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Gloucester, 9/4 Sam Whiskey, 7/1 Massams Lane, 12/1 Fintan, Zi Missile, 25/1 Bee Sting, 50/1 Perryston Prince, 100/1 Aviemore.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Gloucester sets a clear standard on paper but he's not always straightforward and, at the likely prices, it's worth taking him on with the unexposed SAM WHISKEY, who should be capable of further improvement.[SB]

Live market has this as 2 horses only under 14/1
8 runners and 3 places and a clear choice it would seem between the front 2. McCoy on Sam Whiskey 1.11 and 1.14 the front 2 to place

600 UTTOXETER
BETTING FORECAST: 1/8 Hold Em, 10/1 Badger, 14/1 Back To Bills, 25/1 Fal Agh Bagh.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The 135-rated HOLD EM is unlikely to be a working man's price but, barring any accidents, should cash in on this drop back in grade.[SB]

A P MCCOY onboard a 1/5 shot should have your eyes lighting up! 2nd and 3rd favs have been niggled at which is explainable with 2 places and big each way odds.
2 places should ensure a big enough price, and as Spotlight says, barring a fall or accident < or being pulled up, AP has a great place only opportunity here 1.12 to place and 1.27 to win

FOOTY
Think on the ground today
Young Boys host Neuchatel who they beat 3-2 recently at their place. Young Boys only played 4 days ago 1.3 to win. I would have played the over 1.5 goal market to trade but there's simply no liquidity
INTER MILAN host Sampdoria, and LAdbrokes hasve them at 4/11 Inter are 10 points clear -do they need to win?HEad to heads have been tight and Inter have drawn their last 2 matches. One to steer clear of for me

SHORTLIST
210 Perth looks an obvious starting point with Eradicate a previous selection. Concern is that he cannot keep producing placed efforts. Tight head of the market, but we do have Barry Geraghty on board 1.12 to place
600 UTTOXETER
Contrast the 1.12 above with 1.12 in this race with McCoy on Hold Em with seemingly just the one to beat to place ( I am assuming Fal Ag BAgh is the outsider and runs as such) Concern that the 1/8 quoted is not replicated in the live market and that 2nd and 3rd favs have shortened, BUT this is McCoy on an odds on shot !.Been running in class 1's - this is a class 4. Faller and pulled up last 2 could have been the pressures of racing better races. 3 miles is also a long way

ONE A DAY
A tough choice, but from a probability perspective, it must be Hold Em at the same price as Eradicate.If you want this wrapped up early,then I wouldn't discourage Eradicate to place, gicen he is only one of 4 under 66/1 so theoretically has 1 to beat of the remaining 4 to place
Either/or today really, I can't split em, but of course Hold em has fewer runners