Richard Hughes booked. 32 form over 5 furlongs on today's ground. Only 3 under 14/1 and 5 under 33/1 - good place only chance. Of course 2 year olds can throw in stinkers. I hope the booking of Richard Hughes can enable this horse to be competitive.
3 winners out of the 4 horses mentioned which pleased me.
Crvena scored the goal that won the match,as the home side who have not scored a goal this season, did not score again.
1pm - Albania U17 v Rep of Ireland U17 - 1.25 away - Albania have not won any of their last 11 matches. LDLLL at home.
WDWWWLLWDWWWL for Ireland. Only 3 losses in their last 12.
Albania drew twice against Macedonia and once against Latvia.
Ireland have won 3 of their last 4 away, drawing 1-1 with Hungary who recently beat Albania 5-0.
Only match odds and over/under 2.5 goals available.
4pm - Malta U17 v Norway U17 - 1.26 away -
MALTA - LLLLDLDWDWLL in last 12
NORWAY - WLWLLDDWWDDL in last 12.
Malta at home LLDLWLLWLL
Norway away - LDDDLLWLDWDW
No head to heads
Malta are on a 7 game run without winning, and have lost their last 4 matches conceding 3,5,5,2
Norway have won 2 of their last 3 and away from home drawn 3 of their last 4 and have not won away in 6 games.
220 FFOS LAS
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Supercharged, 11/4 Button Moon, 13/2 Forty Proof, Yellow Dandy, 8/1 His Grace, 16/1 Milldown Magic, Shugar Rhi, 20/1 Deveze, 25/1 Partout Le Magasin, Swendab.
| DIOMED VERDICT: Button Moon will find this much less demanding than the sales races she's been contesting but SUPERCHARGED is much less exposed and beat the remainder handsomely when runner-up at Sandown. |
Like Laaheb yesterday, Supercharged is another favourite whose odds look like they have been shortening this morning. 1/2 now , Richard Hughes on board , taking over from Alan Munro.
Another maiden who is 32 so far ( progressive form)
Only 3 under 16/1 here .
Only 5 under 33/1
5 furlong maiden - last time we got involved in a 5 furlong maiden, the choice finished a frustrating 4th.
1.12 to place - is this one of those 2 year olds who will not flunk it when priced and expected to run well. The last 2 year old to do so was, admittedly, transferring from turf to all weather. No such problems today.
240 KEMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 7/2 Fimias, 5/1 Sceal Nua, 11/2 Cathcart Castle, 6/1 Diamond Vine, 7/1 Tamareen, 8/1 Royalorien, 12/1 Bearheart, Titus Two, 14/1 Point Du Jour, 16/1 Maggie´s Treasure.
| DIOMED VERDICT: FIMIAS, the least exposed in the field and a likely improver with the step up in distance on his handicap debut, is very interesting in quite a competitive event. Sceal Nua could give him most to do. |
Fallon, of late, has been a joy to watch. Not a hint of throwing a race! Here he rides Fimias who is 15/8 in places for Luca Cumani.
This horse has been unremarkable in 3 maidens and now qualifies for handicaps. A 50/50 chance here to be honest. Some handicap newcomers find it too competitive.
310 KEMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Green Wadi, 13/2 Aurora Sky, 7/1 Charming Man, 8/1 Moscow Oznick, 10/1 Cast Of Stars, Gandalf, 12/1 Eseej, 14/1 Trachonitis, 16/1 Crystal Celebre, Spensley, 20/1 Dynamic Drive, Peter Grimes, 25/1 Aphrodisia, Marju King.
| DIOMED VERDICT: GREEN WADI can step up on recent defeat by Home Advantage. |
Green wadi an eyecatching price gapper in this big field class 5 0-75 handicap.
9/4 - -- - - 6/1
Recently 32 in class 4 handicaps and George Baker has been the regular jockey.
He's a class act.
340 KEMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Isobar, 6/1 Sulwaan, 7/1 Rumble Of Thunder, 8/1 Sing Sweetly, 10/1 Akhmatova, 12/1 Dubai Crest, 16/1 Encircled, Free Tussy, Peadar Miguel, 20/1 Franco Is My Name, 25/1 Stand Guard, Tuanku, 33/1 Prohibition.
| DIOMED VERDICT: Isobar is progressive but may be worth opposing with SING SWEETLY. |
Another Fallon/Cumani partnership and more positive in the market. All red and 11/10 in places.
321 form but has been in class 5 handicaps. Today is a class 4 but is still a price gapper here.
Only 6 horses under 16/1
430 BATH
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Ultimate Quest, 3/1 Sir Freddie, 11/2 Saborido, Viviani, 9/1 Cloudy City, 12/1 Jenny Soba, 20/1 Party Palace, 25/1 Spiritonthemount, The Composer,
| DIOMED VERDICT: ULTIMATE QUEST recorded a personal best when powering through at Pontefract and has decent claims off 4lb higher. |
Only 5 under 20/1 here and Ultimate quest is the fancy here for handicap expert Mark Prescott.
605 ROSCOMMON
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Start Me Up, 11/2 Pops Rocket, 7/1 Andlau, 8/1 Sonic Beat, Tough Talkin Man, 14/1 Another Chieftain, False Messenger, 16/1 Sorted, 20/1 Miss Odetta, 25/1 Coole Presenting, Lord Friday, Rince Deireadh, Stonehatchetmad, 50/1 Cottage Cross, Definite Print, Get In There, 66/1 Pasou, Port And Brandy,
Start Me Up is 11/10 - - - -5/1 price gapper and has been running in top class grade hurdles.
SHORTLIST
1pm - Albania U17 v Rep of Ireland U17 - 1.25 away - I would hope that Albania continue their sequence of not winning, but does that mean we can comfortably expect the Irish to win. The draw cannot be discounted.
220 FFOS LAS - the market mover of the day is Supercharged and Richard Hughes is booked for the ride today. 1.12 to place is reasonable given the potential probabilities. Only 3 under 14/1 and 5 under 33/1 for the 3 places.
Good progressive form over the minimum trip. Ground is good to firm today, so says the Racing Post.
Supercharged has run on good and good to firm, so no problems ground wise.
Supercharged is running on turf again, so no excuses with a change to all weather!!
Always a risk with minimum trip 2 year olds but again Supercharged is not changing distances , up to 6 furlongs, so looks to tick all boxes.
310 KEMPTON - Green wadi is eyecatchingly all red, 9/4 currently and shortening. George Baker in the saddle and we cannot find another jockey as dependable as old George.
Good 2nd at this venue last time out ( so no problem with the surface) - looks good to place today I would hope.
1.57 to place
Big price but previously I have ignored horses based on big apparent place price and they have gone on to win.
SHORTLIST OF THE SHORTLIST
220 FFOS LAS - Supercharged looks to have no negatives as regards trip, ground and so is primed to place in the first 3 in a race where only 3 are under 14/1 and 5 under 33/1
Niggle - 2 year old 5 furlong maiden.
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