Over Sixty couldn't win at 1/3 but managed 2nd at a poor price
1200 LING
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: There should be better to come from Maswerte over this trip and he can reverse last week's 6f form with Today's The Day, but DIMANDER took a big step forward over this C&D last time and may be able to make it third time lucky |
Dimander now 7/4in a race where 4 horses are sub 12/1. A maiden race is not the ideal race type. 2.9 / 1.37
1245 PUNCHESTOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 7/2 Equus Maximus, 4/1 Forest Leaves, 9/2 Bronx Girl, 5/1 Sir Johnny, 8/1 Whatever Next, 12/1 Melon Delta, 14/1 Ted Gunther, 16/1 Shesadoll, 20/1 Arc Of Stone, Katyara, Shuil Coillte, 25/1 Aghawonan Vic, Reddies, 33/1 De Danu, Ri Na Noileain, 50/1 Finnegans Girl.
Now 7/4 and representing the Mullins/Walsh combination, the form is not that solid and soft ground and a big field are a little offputting 2.9 / 1.49 but market not fully formed
115 PUNCH
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: EBAZIYAN enjoys an overwhelming theoretical advantage at these weights, and the stable's current run of excellent form offers reassurance about his ability to take advantage of this opportunity on his seasonal debut. The negative is that the seven-year-old has won only one of his ten races since his long-priced victory in the 2007 Supreme Novices' but, to be fair, eight of those have been at Grade 1 level. It is also in his favour that he justified short-priced favouritism when beating Sabina Park and Derravarra Eagle over the course and trip last January, and he is now 6lb better off with the second.\n |
Now 1/2 but still the price gap remains for another Mullins/Walsh horse.
MAking a seasonal reappearance, the hope is that the horse can cope. 1.5 / 1.11
230 LING
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Now You See Me, 11/2 Stoneacre Pat, 7/1 Arfinnit, 15/2 Summer Rose, Woqoodd, 9/1 Lady Bahia, 12/1 Isabella´s Fancy, Rightcar Dominic, 25/1 Baileys Brazilian, Blakeshall Diamond.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Difficult to find a viable alternative to NOW YOU SEE ME, who pulled well clear with an in-form horse at Southwell last time and has winning form on Polytrack, while none of her rivals has a convincing profile. [HT] Nice price gap but now 5/2 in the live market does not convey confidence 3.45 / 1.42 - again market forces not kicked in yet - still the only horse under evens to place so despite the apparent lack of confidence in the win market, there is a glimmer of hope in the place only market 245 PUNCH BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Mourad, 5/1 Jumbo Rio, 6/1 Manor Park, 7/1 Celtic Strand, 8/1 Shinkansen, 12/1 Ebadiyan, Hepburn Bell, The Tartan Army, Warrior Chief, 14/1 Geestring, Moonlight Sapphire, Patriot Jack, 16/1 Mexican Venture, 20/1 Aliceaneileen, Utrillo´s Art, 25/1 Chimay, Crossbane, Fool´s Wildcat, Gimli´s Storm, Mountain Flower, 33/1 Be Jing Lady, Bibliography. GOod price gap and now evens in palces - an unraced horse in this sphere - it's all reputation and current form of the Mullins stable making this one fav 2.4 / 1.3 Warwick had a great probability race today but is not holding any racing. I do not really like Irish racing for palce only betting purposes but will see if there is one that has an outstanding chance of success ONE A DAY It all seems to hinge on the Mullins/Walsh combination today on the 3 main contenders in IReland. THe obvious candidate looks to be Ebaziyan Dimander was a head 2nd to Pezula Bay and this flattered the horse as Pezula Bay was simply strolling along with minimal effort. Dimander amde a giant leap last time out and the hope for place backers is that the horse can confirm that form and remain consistent ( not an easy thing for 2 year olds!) Today's the Day has been placed in 4 of the last 5 races. I don't normally like 2 year olds with only 2 runs as this is not conclusive proof of ability or temperament which might still remain in one still learning. NExt horse of interest is Ebiziyan but 1.11 is a stingy price. The straight 8 here, so only 5 to beat to place. Uninspiring form, albeit at a much higher level, there are question marks about the jumping, BUT was that jumping affected by the better class of horse he was facing then? Now you see me has shot up to 1.6 to palce while writing so I won't be having him over 5 furlongs in a handicap The other 2 Mullins /Walsh horses are in big fields and are genaerally favs because of the trainer reputation. Dimander looks to be the one at the prices today, with Ebiziyan the seemingly more solid option . THe race is the first at 1200 and I will confirm involvement by looking for consistent support for Dimander ( hints of it already with 9/4 in ebtting forecast showing 7/4 in the live market) Now 1.38 to place, 4 horses are sub evens here hinting at a 4 horse race. Has run at Lingfield previously which is a good advantage |
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