ETTING FORECAST: 1/2 River Shanakill, 7/1 Lets Go Girls, 10/1 Elzahann, 14/1 Campine Rose, Crow Spinney, 20/1 Just Posh, 25/1 Cozwecan, 33/1 Chamerion, Don´t Tell Louie, Kafamber, 66/1 Ashgrove Diamond.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: No reason to oppose smart Irish pointer RIVER SHANAKILL, who created a favourable impression on her hurdle debut at Newcastle and is open to stacks of improvement. Campine Rose has place possibilities. |
Huge price gap here which remains in the live market but Elzahann looks to be the each way alternative at 9/2 in the live market - the look of a probability race here with 4 below 20/1 -I like the "very much the one to beat" Spotlight comment 1.11 to place
1220 HUNT
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Starburst Diamond, 2/1 Star Lord, 6/1 Hello Moscow, 13/2 Jaunty Journey, 12/1 Double Obsession, 16/1 Going Wrong, 25/1 Dunkelly Castle, 33/1 Low Delta, 50/1 Stran Millis, 100/1 Bitesize, Oyashshecan, 150/1 Indian Sage.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This looks likely to concern the two with previous winning form over hurdles, STARBURST DIAMOND and Star Lord. Starburst Diamond's guaranteed stamina tips the scales in his favour. |
4 horse race? Starburst is now odds on in the live market and Going Wrong, at the prices, looks a decent each way shout 1.21 to place
1220 LEOP
BETTING FORECAST: 8/13 Cousin Vinny, 6/1 Superior Ben, 7/1 Attercliffe, 9/1 Total Excitement, 12/1 River Canon, 14/1 Bootlegger, Harro The Hero, 16/1 Lord Lansdown, 20/1 Alderseed, Controversial, Oklahoma Jack, 25/1 Chapmans Peak, Liscarton Oscar, Shorecliffe King, 33/1 Glavey, Larry Luso, Lastoftheleaders, Rathrockscourt, Sable Bay, Tuscany Star, 50/1 Baskin Gael, Denver John, Gogo Gizmo, Present A Star.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: COUSIN VINNY will be all the rage in the first race of the meeting. The first horse to complete the Grade 1 Cheltenham/Punchestown bumper double, the Bob Back gelding jumped well and generally made a very favourable impression when third behind stablemate Hurricane Fly when thrown in at the deep-end for his hurdling debut in the Grade 1 Royal Bond Novice Hurdle at Fairyhouse. It will be a major surprise if he fails to take advantage of this opportunity.\n 1.38 win and 1.11 to place , Cousin Vinny has hardened in the betting but 22 runners in opposition |
1245 MR
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Mount Benger, 13/2 Twocute, 10/1 Jades Double, 12/1 Art Gallery, No Supper, 14/1 Ostinata, 20/1 Blandford Flyer, Blushing Hilary, Matinee Idol, Moon Melody, Speedy Directa, 25/1 El Coto, Etoile D´Or, Little Task, 33/1 Government, 66/1 Invincible Rose, Petrichan,
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Hard to enthuse about many of these with the obvious exception of MOUNT BENGER, who was impressive on his first run for Jim Best recently and is an obvious candidate to swiftly follow up under a penalty
3rd fav a non runner -why are Matinee Idol and Blushing Hilary both around 7/1 in the live market? Good each way prospects? This is a selling handicap hurdle -so not quite the best quality race on offer today - positives - 18 runners mean 4 places - 1.29 to place albeit in a market which has not quite got going yet |
1245 SEDG
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Brackenmoss, 11/4 Kings Maiden, 4/1 Lemon Drizzle, 10/1 Mansonn Leda, 12/1 Pelican Point, 20/1 Kopylova, 25/1 Miss Middlefield, One More Gypsy, 33/1 Bambino Rossi, 50/1 Bring On The Bling.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: BRACKENMOSS made a promising start to her hurdling career at Ayr and gets the vote over a trip that should suit her well on breeding. Dual handicap winner Kings Maiden should be thereabouts, while Lemon Drizzle is one to watch closely in the betting |
3 sub 10/1 - pretty much as you were in the live market with a slight market move for Kings Maiden 1.21 and 1.41 to place the 2 market leaders
115 SEDG
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Jass, 5/1 Storymaker, 7/1 Master Builder, 10/1 Auroras Encore, Leac An Scail, Osolomio, 14/1 Glengap, Our Jim, Pass The Class, 20/1 Aston Lad, 25/1 Sacred Mountain, 33/1 Moyne Pleasure.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A decent race of its type for the track. Storymaker is one to keep an eye on but the one that appeals most is JASS, who turned in an improved effort at Ayr last time. He's fancied to notch his first win over fences, despite dropping in trip.
Masterbuilder the potential each way alternative to the fav here if the price move is reflective of chances 1.51 to place for Jass should sound some alarm bells - 1/2 for a 7/4 shot to place is relatively big -some see it as value but I have noticed that when the 1.5 is breached we have to tread warily |
125 TOWC
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Rate Of Knots, 2/1 Rico Hombre, 9/2 Ballyboley, 10/1 Push The Port, 16/1 Caspar Of Tarsus, Gritti Palace, 33/1 Miss Fleur, 100/1 Johnny Harris, Mr Parson, Stockton Flyer.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Any apparent confidence behind Rico Hombre would temper enthusiasm a touch but RATE OF KNOTS made a pleasing start over fences at Huntingdon and is taken to fulfil that promise. The 2 market principles are 1.4 to place but this is Towcester - a wholly unique race course with a killer uphill finish and after 2 miles 6 in this beginners chase ,the horses will just want to curl up infront of the telly and watch Raiders of the lost ark (AGAIN!) after meeting that hill! |
135 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 1/12 Premier Banker, 12/1 King´s Chorister, 16/1 Key Of Fortune, 33/1 Fire Me Gun.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: An easy opportunity for PREMIER BANKER to add to his debut success at Lingfield three weeks ago |
205 KEMP
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Punjabi, 5/1 Snap Tie, 11/2 Pierrot Lunaire, 8/1 Blue Bajan, Harchibald, 14/1 Straw Bear, 25/1 Afsoun, 100/1 Leslingtaylor.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: PUNJABI sets the standard on his form in the spring and can confirm his superiority over Harchibald and Straw Bear who have won past editions of this race. The selection looks more adaptable than most if there are tactical headaches and he also has less to prove than the improving Blue Bajan and the second-season hurdlers Snap Tie and Pierrot Lunaire Top class and graded affair so none can be discounted and with that we will get a decent place price on the market leader of 1.37 with 3 to place |
230 TOWC
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 National Petition, 4/1 Salsero, 7/1 Jacarado, 12/1 Fisherman Jack, Ross Leader, 16/1 Blunham Hill, The Langer, 20/1 Star Glow, 25/1 Follow The Flow, 50/1 Anshabil.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: NATIONAL PETITION is being cleverly placed by Venetia Williams and can complete a quick hat-trick in a race he wouldn't have got into after he's been reassessed. Salsero can chase him home. |
Selection a couple of days ago but Towcester is a unique track Salsido has come in for some support ,now 5/2 against the jolly - a price gapper selection a couple of days ago, but this is Towcester -1.29 to place
240 KEMP
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Kauto Star, 7/2 Voy Por Ustedes, 8/1 Air Force One, 9/1 Imperial Commander, Our Vic, 16/1 Snoopy Loopy, Tamarinbleu, 28/1 Exotic Dancer, 33/1 Albertas Run, 40/1 Briareus, 500/1 Mont Misere.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Given his past outstanding achievements, what form Kauto Star turns up in must be easily the most important question in his hat-trick bid but there is cause for some disquiet on that score and, given the forecast odds, preference is to search out other options. VOY POR USTEDES is the suggestion, in view of his lofty form in comparison to most of the others and his improvement for the move up from 2m to 2m4f. Our Vic ended last term with his best form ever and Imperial Commander is a major rising star |
A faller last time I place backed him, surely Kauto wont fall again? Still heading the market and Ruby returns ,spleenless, to take over the ride. 1.35 to place represents a great price relatively speaking for a proven high class horse
340 TOWC
BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Neil Harvey, 5/2 Ironical, 10/1 All The Fashion, 20/1 Argentato, 25/1 Just Another Joker, Tanner Towers, Torta Nel Cielo, 33/1 Mirafra, Playing With Fire, 100/1 Trysor Lyn.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: NEIL HARVEY and Ironical are the standout contenders and Nick Gifford's charge probably achieved that little bit more on his debut. |
A bumper so live market imperative nearer the off. Live market remains pretty consistent with the betting forecast.
1.29 and 1.41 to place in a market not yet fully formed
ONE A DAY
Kauto star is standout for me at the prices -surely he must be there or thereabouts at the business end and 1.35 does convey the competitive nature of the race.
River Shanakill my other at 1.11 but ready preference for Kauto Star today to bounce back and at least place
No comments:
Post a Comment