Tuesday, 9 December 2008

9/12

The money for Red Maloney was well founded. Let's look at the 340
340 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Annabelle´s Charm, 7/2 Supaverdi, 8/1 Sir Ike, The Wily Woodcock, 12/1 Celtic Gold, 14/1 Fashion Week, Focail Eile, 33/1 Lido Shuffle, Northgate Lodge.
Supaverdi backed into 7/4 from 7/2 betting forecast - another example of the live market superseding a decision made WITHOUT the live market. Supaverdi was well backed and the selection with the new news - watch out for these!

1250 SEDG
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Bewery Man, 5/1 Lucozade, Satindra, 7/1 Stepchange, 8/1 Hickory Lane, Kinfayre Boy, 16/1 Vision Victory, 20/1 Rash Promise.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: BEWERY MAN (nap), coming here on the back of his best effort so far under rules and returning to the right sort of trip, rates a solid option. Stepchange is one of his more interesting rivals

Nice price gap ( writing this at 730am so will need confirmation in the live market arond midday) - watch out for soft ground - now 11/10 so the price gap stands up in the live market 1130am - noticeable that ground has changed to soft, heavy in places so caution 2.1 / 1.24

120 SEDG
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Tank Top, 5/4 Belon Gale, 10/1 Ajay, 20/1 Pre Token, 25/1 Mitchel Henry, 33/1 The Artful Fox, 100/1 Treehouse, Turbulent Flight,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: TANK TOP hardly saw which way the useful Shining Gale went at Cheltenham but there were some decent horses behind him and the fact he kicked off his chasing career in such respected company suggests connections think plenty of him. Belon Gale is just as promising, though, and this should be informative

A maiden chase and looks like a 2 (3 at a stretch) horse race. Again live market required to see which of these 3 are best backed Pre Token the market mover here -each way thievery?
At present Belon gale is favourite
Belon 2.2/1.21
Tank 2.28/1.19


150 SEDG
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Rivington Pike, 11/4 Golden Tokyo, 4/1 Barashi, 20/1 Dry Speedfit, 25/1 Bonny Bright Eyes, 33/1 Invincible Rose, Que Beauty, 50/1 Resolute Defender, 66/1 Born To Frill.

A 3 horse race? Again need to check that ground hasnt worsened from the soft that is quoted in the Racing Post Dry Speedfit now 14/1 - again looks like each way thievery Rinington Pike is odds against 2.18 / 1.21

205 PUNCHESTOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 War Of Attrition, 5/2 Noland, 4/1 The Listener, 10/1 Snowy Morning, 11/1 Watson Lake, 12/1 Mansony, 20/1 One Cool Cookie, 25/1 Cane Brake, 33/1 Newmill, 40/1 Ballistraw.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: WAR OF ATTRITION has impressed on his two starts since returning from injury and ought to be ready for the much more demanding task that confronts him here. The depth of his experience may help to make the difference if this boils down to an anticipated duel with Noland.

A mouth watering race - high class field - Noland the market mover - heavy ground over at Punchestown
Noland 3.05/1.38
War of attrition 3.9/1.35

220 SEDG
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Tot Of The Knar, 4/1 Ballybanks, 10/1 Dark Gentleman, Karmadice, 14/1 Easby Park, 16/1 Ballybart, 20/1 Beau Regard, 25/1 Triton, 33/1 Galapagos Islands, Waldo Winchester, 50/1 Paradigm Investor, Red Dynamite.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Ballybanks should have a future but it is hard to oppose TOT OF THE KNAR who boasts form at a much higher level and will find the return to a left-handed track a definite plus point

Strong market leader? Still odds on 1.63 / 1.14


240 FONT
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Missoula, 11/2 Balthazar King, 8/1 King Edmund, Mad Jack Duncan, The Wedding Horse, 12/1 Long Hop, Tinchel, 14/1 Near The Water, Rear Gunner, 16/1 Jordan, 20/1 Bally Sands, Nicobar, 40/1 Fruity O´Rooney, 50/1 Classical Act, 66/1 Cosmic Messenger, Toomuchinformation.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: MISSOULA has done really well on the Flat since her hurdling debut defeat and should take some beating in this ordinary affair. Balthazar King is open to improvement on his first effort over hurdles and may be the main danger, while King Edmund has proved he can go well fresh and is an interesting hurdling newcomer.

Slight price gap BUT a big field of novices - tight heafd of the market - Balthazar King and the Wedding horse have closed the price gap 1.5 to place says it all here

Soft ground, heavy in places over jumps at Sedgefield not ideal

SHORTLIST TO CHOSE 1 A DAY FROM
120 SEDG - Belon Gale would be my selection here based on the early favouratism for this horse
150 SEDG - Rivington Pike -odds on remains and a probability race
205 PUNCH - War of Attrition basically becaus eof the horse!
220 SEDG - Tot of the knar - again the price gap remains in a race where only 2 are sub double figure odds

I'll go with first race time selection

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