Thursday, 11 December 2008

12/12

Shatabdi placed as my one a day -thankfully with r rien de sivola unplaced

1150 STHL
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Spic ´n Span, 5/1 Helping Hand, 13/2 Desert Dust, 8/1 She´s Our Beauty, 9/1 Gelert, 10/1 Mystickhill, 12/1 This Ones For Pat, 20/1 Egyptian Lord, Myriola, 25/1 Dancing Mystery, Hollow Jo, 33/1 Nordic Light, Orchestration,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Desert Dust should go well after his September return, while Helping Hand is interesting back at the scene of his only previous win, but SPIC 'N SPAN looks to be getting his act together and could lead these a merry dance

Spic and Span significant support for this one last time and he obliged so worth a look in the market

1220 STHL
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Spiritual Art, 5/1 Rio Cobolo, 13/2 Captain Kallis, 7/1 Madison Belle, 8/1 La Verte Rue, 12/1 Abu Derby, 14/1 Swiss Art, 25/1 Faraway Sound, 33/1 Haulit.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Surface specialists Rio Cobolo, Captain Kallis and Madison Belle should ensure that SPIRITUAL ART doesn't get things all her own way but she won with some authority at Great Leighs and can defy a penalt

Good price gap, but class 5 nursery offputting - Rio Cobolo is the one for money 1.37 and 1.49 for the front 2

1255 STHL
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Confucius Captain, 13/8 Shaws Diamond, 11/2 Dante Deo, 12/1 Alimarr, 16/1 Becky Blue, 50/1 Bold Bomber, First Blade.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: CONFUCIUS CAPTAIN was unfortunate to bump into a decent newcomer on Wednesday and he can put his Fibresand experience and fitness to good use, most likely at the expense of surface newcomer Shaws Diamond

3 sub 10/1 but another low grade maiden so live market imperative - Alimar has halved in price making this difficult as only 2 the place
1.42 to palce Confucious and 2.42 for Alimar
110 DON
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Honest John, 6/1 Colombard, Kangaroo Court, 7/1 Smoke And Mirrors, 10/1 Crop Walker, Perkin Warbeck, 14/1 Blue Teal, 16/1 Alderley Rover, Freschezza, 20/1 Bagsy´s Bridge, 33/1 Carrick Star, Ethel Briggs, Gavroche Gaugain, Millarky, Northern Blaze, The Fabricator, What Happened, 50/1 Beau Sam, Tremolo, 100/1 Grand Union, Lukey Luke, Quiqui De L´Isle.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Not that many to seriously consider and smart bumper performer HONEST JOHN (nap), who shaped okay on funny ground at Aintree, is taken to open his account over hurdles. Colombard, Blue Teal and Kangaroo Court head the danger

Why such a prtice gap in such a big field? Of course the big field is very offputting - still maintains his price with Kangaroo Court clipped into 4/1 1.42 place

145 DON
BETTING FORECAST: 8/13 I´msingingtheblues, 11/10 Calgary Bay, 66/1 Cadeaux Singer, Finnegans Rainbow, Peak Seasons, Pendle Forest.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Two races for the price of one here and the one that matters will involve I'MSINGINGTHEBLUES and Calgary Bay. The latter came out on top when they met off level weights over hurdles on this day last year but the selection has that all-important bit of chasing experience behind him, and could be a little sharper physically, too

A 2 horse race if ever there was one! -2 non runners make this ever more appealing for place only betting 1.08 and 1.19

240 STHL
BETTING FORECAST: 4/11 Fortuni, 5/1 Magical Destiny, 12/1 Spartan Prince, 14/1 City Bank, 20/1 Varah, 25/1 Beaux Yeux, Black Attack, 100/1 Thurston.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Sir Mark Prescott has a very impressive strike-rate on this track (7-22 with 2yos since start of 2004 and 27% overall) and looks to have found a straightforward opportunity for FORTUNI to open his account following a couple of promising efforts in stronger Polytrack maidens. Magical Destiny can follow him home.[

Sir Mark Prescott horse and very short - positives - 3 the place and 8 runner field - rock solid at the head of the market 1.51 and 1.11

340 CHELT
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Mahonia, 11/4 Karabak, 6/1 You´re The Top, 13/2 Frontier Dancer, 14/1 Mr Sykes, 20/1 What A Buzz, 25/1 Dreamy Sweeney, 40/1 Ballinderry Park, 50/1 Little Eaglet.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Mahonia will be popular as he bids to give Ruby Walsh a winner on his first ride back from injury but a sizeable (8lb) weight concession to KARABAK could be too much, the last-named having run a very good first race over hurdles behind unbeaten Mad Max at Ascot last month. Mahonia is still easily the biggest danger, ahead of Frontier Dancer.

9 runners and a perceived 4 horse race - will need the market to sort out the most fancied - still very much a 4 horse race - Ruby back on board will probably explain the odds on 1.12


ONE A DAY
Calgary Bay for me at 1.19 instead of Singingtheblues - this should, bar a fall, concern the front 2

SHORTLISTERS

As seen yesterday, accumulator betting is best done with the live market

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