Wednesday, 10 December 2008

10/12

svchost.exe has taken all my memory for the PC so could oinly get started now! (1pm)

200 STHL
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Elusive Warrior, 7/2 Crocodile Bay, 4/1 Kannon, 10/1 Cap St Jean, Landikhaya, 12/1 Overstayed, Roundthetwist, 20/1 Hi Spec, Northern Chorus, Pembo, 33/1 Vanatina, Whiston Pat, 66/1 Always Engaged, Simplified.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Kannon is a possible if taking to the surface, while Crocodile Bay is better than he has shown the last twice. These conditions are ideal for ELUSIVE WARRIOR though and he looks more likely to run his race than most of these.

3 sub 10/1 horses -Elusive warrior hardened in the betting and Landikhaya the market mover with Cap St Jean doubling in odds - a poor seller race - hopefully there will be more solid opportunities elsewhere 2.76 / 1.31

250 LEIC
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Ping Pong Sivola, 9/2 Trigger Guard, 7/1 Russian Flag, 12/1 Phar Again, Tempting Paradise, 16/1 Guns Of Love, 20/1 King Diamond, 25/1 He´s My Man, 33/1 Devils River, Shelomoh, 66/1 Colemanstown.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Trigger Guard was given plenty of space on his chase debut and rewarded connections with a decent round of jumping but PING PONG SIVOLA (nap) has looked even more of a natural chaser and she gets the vote unpenalised for her Wincanton win last week.

Price gap remains in live market - King Diamond halved in odds - soft ground a concern 1.71 / 1.26

320 LEIC
BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Zahra´s Place, 5/1 Quechua Des Obeaux, 8/1 Double Hit, Tiger Moss, 12/1 Never Pink, 14/1 Covert Mission.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: There are some potential improvers here but ZAHRA'S PLACE has the form in the book and is going to be tough to conquer

Conditional jockey's mares only hurdle in heavy ground - YIKES! Outsider at only 12/1 signifies a tight race and only 2 places for place only purposes 1.96 / 1.26

Although Sam "stay on the fecking horse this time please" Thomas rides ( having fallen off earlier) Ping Pong Sivola 's price gap remains in the live market and on BEtfair and at 1.26 represents a decent enough place bet - concern over the ground

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