1230 SOUTHWELL
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Joannadarc is the pick of those with previous experience but she's not bombproof in this grade and the most interesting pair are newcomers BADGE OF HONOUR and Trueblue Wizard. The market will be the best guide but preference is for the former, whose yard has such a good record at this course. Joannadarc is now odds on herewith Truebluewizard the each way horse in a race where only 4 horses are sub 16/1 1245 FONT BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Solent,(1.42) 3/1 Friendly King,(1.48) Limbo King,(1.34) 12/1 Teddy´s Reflection, 16/1 Colombard, 20/1 Madness, Nicobar, 25/1 Chase The Dawn, Feel The Force, 50/1 Missus Jones, 100/1 Path To Glory.
Big boys are out again, and interesting that Colombard for Ruby and Nicholls is now 8/1. Front 3 in the market are between 2/1 and 5/2 - very tight indeed Limbo King is the one for money early doors and could eb the selection of the 3 market leaders to palce 115 FONT BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Our Bomber Harris, 5/2 Tullamore Dew, 7/2 Highest Esteem, 10/1 Ashleys Petale, 14/1 Morning Heights, 20/1 Lennox Gardens, 25/1 Bertenbar, 33/1 The Little Chancer, 40/1 Swainson, 100/1 Compleat Artist, Pete The Feat.
Another Walsh/Nicholls jolly. - interesting betting forecast - only 5 horses sub 20/1 -good each way opportunities on Ashleys Petale and Morning Heights? High Esteem has drifted to 8/1 (but this could be a bookmaker ploy to put us off the scent!) leaving Harris and Dew and the 2 clear market leaders 1.25 / 1.36 130 SOUTHWELL eBETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Coda Agency, 4/1 Fortunella, 6/1 Red Expresso, 7/1 Daraiym, 10/1 Dusk, 12/1 Very Green, 14/1 Oberlin, 20/1 Amron Hill, 25/1 Gouranga.
Good price gap but form of 15161 -the horse can't make up his mind whether to win well or run badly! Is this inconsistency likely to surface again? 2.1 / 1.21 145 FONT BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Bold Policy, 7/2 Bench Warrent, Bugsy´s Boy, 7/1 Bobby On The Beat, 10/1 Atlantic Coast, 12/1 Plane Painter, Wild Side Of Life, 14/1 Aspiring Actor, 20/1 You Can Of Course, 40/1 Sparkys Reflection, 50/1 Gone Cloudy, Reykjavik, 66/1 Peyekashe.
Bench warrant has now become fav in the live market -Wild side of life is now 8/1 - significant or a reaction to ASpiring actor the non runner? 2.64 / 1.31 for BEnch warrant 215 FONT BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Chiaro, 13/8 Or Jaune, 4/1 No Panic, 16/1 Forthright, 25/1 Snow Patrol, 33/1 Radetsky March, 50/1 Bearneen Boy.
3 sub 25/1 in a 7 ryunner race - 2 horses are 50/1 and 150/1 reducing the competitive field to 5, 2 of which will place. Tricky choice between the market leaders - as I write, Chiaro has eben clipped from 6/4 into 11/8 with Or Jaune 5/4 and 3rd fav 5/1 - 1.4 both to place 330 SOUTHWELL
Nice price gap in the betting forecast still replicated in the live betting - no run since April, but the right man, er, woman onboard in Christmas Cracker Hayley "Head"Turner 3.15 / 1.47 345 FONTWELL BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Ruby Crown, 8/1 Calloff The Search, Twocute, 12/1 Prophete De Guye, Tarkesar, 14/1 Dew Drop Inn, Goscar Rock, 16/1 A Double Ewe Bee, Anna Panna, Wondersobright, 20/1 Champagne Rossini, Sea Robber, 25/1 Campden Annie, Storm Haven, 33/1 Ilewin Rose, 40/1 Hawk Gold, 50/1 Silistra, Tobougg Welcome.
Significant price gap here - 18 runner handicap hurdle means 4 horses to place and those words " should be hard to beat" - caution regarding Spotlight's comments and the size of the field - also price now 9/4 rather than 7/4 - Goscar Rock now 8/1 - quite a price move 3.25 / 1.45 ONE A DAY A tricky day today with predominantly big fields, long distances, soft ground at Fontwell 1230 SOUTHWELL - follow the money here on Joannadarc ? Now 10/11 in a race where only 4 horses are sub 20/1 , meaning there is a good probability of a place here. Concern over the maiden status of this race and 2 debutatns installed 2nd and 3rd in the betting along with 4 horses who have only had the onerun and are thuis open to improvement 2 and 1.18 to place 1245 FONT would be my other race here with ,perhaps, a policy of following the money nearer the off and backign the fav to place - currently Limbo King |
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