Thursday 4 September 2008

4/9

Pissed off with putting faith in those clowns at the Racing Post that Winter star would be burdened by his weight. He won - Stellenbosch unplaced disappointed
210 SALISBURY
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Bouvardia, 13/2 Al Tamooh, 8/1 Fallen In Love, Fanditha, Slant, 10/1 Water Hen, 14/1 Ageebah, 16/1 Honestly, Ja One, 33/1 Ariadnes Filly, Breadstick, 50/1 Lyra´s Daemon, 66/1 Inis Boffin, Virginia´s Choice.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A decent contest, with John Dunlop's pair Al Tamooh and Fallen In Love both considered after their pleasing debut efforts, but BOUVARDIA's clear second to Snowqualmie Girl is the best form on offer and she is take to go one better

Significant price gap here - maiden fillies event though - 1.61 win, 1.14 place

520
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Regal Flush, 7/2 Balkan Knight, 4/1 Munsef, 9/1 Juniper Girl, 11/1 Land ´n Stars, 12/1 Dansili Dancer, Hawridge Prince,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Persian Punch's trainer David Elsworth won this with Wunderwood in 2006 and in Balkan Knight has another strong contender in a bid to land the prize again. However, on this season's form, preference has to be for REGAL FLUSH (nap), who is very much the one to beat on such efforts as his third in a well-contested 1m6f Listed race at York in May

Class 2 conditions race means all horses are fairly strong and Regal Flush has Balkan Knight and Munsef breathing down his neck price wise 2.12 win - 1.41 place - only 2 to place on this race

355 WARWICK
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 La Adelita, 3/1 Shamwari Lodge, 6/1 Kiyari, 8/1 Nawojka, 10/1 My Best Bet, 14/1 Wanted, 20/1 Mekong Miss, 25/1 Nesayem, No Sting, 33/1 It´s Dubai Dolly, 50/1 Valentine Bay, Velox Vixen,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A substandard renewal by the looks of things but with none of the newcomers making vast appeal this could be fought out by LA ADELITA and Shamwari Lodge. Preference is for the former who got the better of the argument first time round.[

Second fav a non runner augurs well for the chances of the market leader - 1.88 win - 1.28 place

BUT -maiden fillies event with many debutants - how on earth are we going to know how good these are? LIVE MARKET a must

All 3 look worth a chance today - the weakest bet would be Regal Flush because it pays out only 2 the place and is a competiutive class 2 event - I will stop if first of the day places given we're dealing with maidens and fillies ( who'll no doubt have their minds on kittens and shopping)

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