Saturday 20 September 2008

20/9

440 AYR
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Perks, 9/2 Lady Deauville, 5/1 Bushman, 7/1 Mutajarred, Sweet Lilly, 8/1 Redolent, 16/1 Alfie Flits, 20/1 Wise Dennis, 33/1 Dunaskin, 500/1 Defi.

Heavy ground again today at Ayr tempers enthusiasm - class 1 listed race too

125 CATTERICK#

BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Chambers, 11/2 Cause For Applause, Darcey, 8/1 Kiama Bay, 10/1 Point Of Light, 12/1 Benyw, Magic Haze, 16/1 Rising Kheleyf, 33/1 Broomfield Buddy, Peckforton, Pennine Rose, 100/1 Willin Dillon.

Only performance in this maiden on the all weather so we don't know how the horse will take to turf and soft ground. Stable has a great record in this race for Chambers

155 CATTERICK

BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Enderby Spirit, 4/1 Intikama, 8/1 Alicante, 12/1 Blue Noodles, Lady Gem, 16/1 Antigua Sunrise, 20/1 Dreamonandon, 25/1 Hartley, Reel Bluff, Varsa, 33/1 Bun Penny, 50/1 Bulella.

2nd fav has come in for the support here

245 DUNDALK
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Silver Shoon, 5/1 Dabeina, 6/1 Legnani, 8/1 Flamboyant Rouge, 10/1 Cosmic Breeze, Island Breeze, Sanjay´s Choice, Solasai, 14/1 Dasha, Philosophers Guest, Rantavan Wood, 16/1 Catcher Of Dreams, Roshina, 20/1 Fin Rua,

Don't normally venture into Ireland for place only bets but this is a likely candidate - plenty of placed form in higher grade and Weld/Smullen combo

235 NEWBURY
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Gallagher, 6/1 Sayif, 7/1 Lord Shanakill, Marine Boy, 10/1 Damien, Masamah, 16/1 Khor Dubai, 25/1 Icesolator, 50/1 Sign Of Approval.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Marine Boy is likely to get involved if putting his tame Gimcrack display behind him but the stable has gone very quiet and solid form-choice GALLAGHER may have more to fear from Sayif who can reverse Goodwood placings with Lord Shanakill with the drop in distance expected to favour him.

3 perceived outsiders here -another class 1

750 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Fullback, 5/1 Excelsior Academy, 13/2 Ascendant, 7/1 Doncosaque, 12/1 Satwa Gold, 14/1 Grey Ghost, 16/1 Calling Birds, 20/1 Welsh Passion, 25/1 Captain Cavendish, Recession Proof, 33/1 Coral Point, Superstitious Me, 50/1 Accumulation.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: FULLBACK (nap) sets a clear standard returned to maiden company and he can deservedly get his head in front after chasing home an above-average sort for the track over C&D two weeks ag

4 second places augur well for this fav - BUT AScendant backed into 3/1 early doors

Short list for me will include SIlver SHoon (1.18 currently but the market hasnt formed properly yet), Fullback (1.07 - again market not formed - this is NOT the correct back price), and Gallagher (1.34) .

Gallagher my one selection today

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