Friday, 12 September 2008

12/9

No problems with Rainbow View - 1.09 - whoopie! Still the winning run continues adn I'm starting now to do a 2% Compunding despite the poor odds because of the good strike rate. So £35 stake to get my 2% yesterday
Good to soft at BAngor and no real qualfiers
350 Don
BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Spacious, 100/30 Alexandros, 15/2 Moyenne Corniche, 9/1 Fanjura, 12/1 Alexander Castle .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: No guaranteed pacesetter, so a real chance this could be a tactical affair. It is very hard to get away from SPACIOUS, who has upwards of 9lb in hand according to adjusted BHA ratings, even allowing for her being a filly coming back from a break after not sparkling in midsummer. If she runs to anything like her two previous runs in Group 1s this season, she should win with something to spare, with Alexandros taken to chase her home

Another potential "hard to beat" here despite the sub 8 runner status and the soft ground - again - as with yesterday - the outsider is only 12/1 ( and the outsider won yesterday!) so from a place only perspective, we must be confident as there's no room for mistakes

435 SAND
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Mumayeza, 5/1 Inquest, 11/2 Calamansac, 13/2 Brexca, 8/1 Yetholm, 12/1 Crazy About You, 14/1 Shayera, 20/1 Intabih, 25/1 L´Hirondelle, 33/1 Jayarbee .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: There isn't a great deal between a few of these on their bare form but MUMAYEZA could be the one with the most potential and all of her winning siblings have shown they can handle ease in the ground.

Another once raced favourite but that didn't stop Liberation yesterday
POSITIVES - more than 8 runners means 3 the place BUT soft ground again

820 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Reaction, Stevie Junior, 5/1 Daylumney, 6/1 Fin Vin De Leu, 9/1 Deuce, 14/1 Aegean Warning, 20/1 Baileys Red, 25/1 Sampower Quin, 33/1 Buddha O´ Neil, 100/1 Liliaceae ,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Reaction sets a fair standard but he's passed over in favour of the promising STEVIE JUNIOR, who showed enough on his Newmarket introduction to suggest he can win this for his back-to-form yard.

Not a price gappoer but a potential 5 horse race? Perhaps the market leader to place?

A difficult day with niggles on all the horses
Perhaps the fav in the 820 is the strongest candidate to place

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