Friday 26 September 2008

26/9

First selection placed yesterday - Andrew Nick did not - again this is jumps racing for you and early season novice hurdles - this signifies that I will have to be ultra cautious with these obstacles races

320 ASCOT
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Penny´s Gift, 14/1 Golden Destiny, Gower Valentine, Rafiqa, 16/1 Crystal Moments, Foundation Room, Prowl, Rosy Mantle, 20/1 Accede, Ballyalla, Multiplication, 25/1 Bouggie Daize, Gal Aloud, Positivity, Poyle Meg, Red Kyte, Shiva Adiva, 33/1 Leadenhall Lass, Princess Hannah, 40/1 Amber Sunset, Impressionist Art, Jewelled Reef, Russian Rave, Today´s The Day, 50/1 Order Order, 100/1 Damassin, 150/1 Inis Boffin, 200/1 Broughtons Paradis, Lady Angelica.

Now that's what I call a price gap eh!
29 two year olds and a favourite with a less than favourable draw - BUT that is one hell of a price gap isn't it! 2.82 win 1.62 place - ONLY 3 TO PLACE

235 HAYDOCK
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Keep Dancing, 11/4 Miss Fritton, 8/1 Bea Menace, Cashleen, Chocolicious, 10/1 Prima Laurea, 20/1 Noble Heart, 25/1 Dillenda, 33/1 Petella, 40/1 That Boy Ronaldo, 100/1 Tallulah´s Secret.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This looks a decent opportunity for KEEP DANCING (nap) who came up against a useful sort on her debut and should come on for the run. She may have too much pace for Miss Fritton

Chocolicious at 11/4 now - a significan tmove with the fav out to 2/1 but this is a maiden fillies stakes race

310
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Sunniva Duke, 9/2 Alyarf, 5/1 All Spin, 6/1 Oasis On Island, 7/1 Apache Ridge, 12/1 Barbarian, 16/1 Winning Band, 50/1 Short Sharp Shock, 66/1 Secret Star, 100/1 Piccolo Express.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: There should be improvement to be made in Alyarf, whileApache Ridge and Oasis On Island are likely looking newcomers from good yards to note in the betting, but SUNNIVA DUKE sets a decent standard on his debut fourth at Goodwood and is likely to take the beating

The fav is ,again, a one time out maiden horse -in to 5/4 in the early market 2.28 win 1.26 place

420
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Stringsofmyheart, 9/2 Cossack Prince, 6/1 Fever, 10/1 Bocciani, Loveofmylife, Well Informed, 12/1 Montevetro, 14/1 Blue Jet, 16/1 Bond Casino, 25/1 Alkyoni, 50/1 Sweet Seville.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Plenty of these are having a first crack in this grade but the clear pick on official figures is STRINGSOFMYHEART. The fact she was pulled up last time is an obvious concern, along with the possibility she'll be hassled for the lead, but Darryll Holland has a 1211163 record on her and a reproduction of her C&D third to La Vecchia Scuola should take her close. Cossack Prince will be a threat if back to his best

A seller and the fav pulled up last time 2.78 win 1.38 place

720 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Standpoint, 9/2 Caerus, 8/1 Officer In Command, 10/1 Darwin´s Dragon, George Rex, 12/1 Liteup My World, 20/1 Statute Book, 25/1 Braveheart Move, Manana Manana, 33/1 Prince Andjo, 40/1 Valkyrie, 66/1 Sampower Quin.

One time out maiden fav (Again) -this early Caerus has come in for significant support at 2/1 with Standpoint at 10/11 - market screams out a 2 horse race but some 6 hours to the off
1.98 win 1.2 place

750
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Reine De Violette, 5/1 Bahamian Kid, 11/2 El Fuser, 15/2 Red Tarn, 9/1 Dashing Daniel, 10/1 Billy Bowmore, 12/1 Moscow Oznick, 14/1 Ishiadancer, 33/1 Rare Old Bird, 40/1 Interchoice Star, 50/1 Curly Brown, 66/1 Little Pandora.

Another maiden fav - last 2 days - MAster Rooney unplaced and Imaan unplaced yesterday which shows how precarious price gappers can be in these races

Chocolicious to place today for me - faith in the price gap 1.59 place 4 win - a bit of a risk as this is not rock solid but following a hint of a gamble on a maiden - I will only get involved nearer the off. Standpoint at 1.2 looks a lot more solid for me a little later on in the night

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