Be a bit more selective today
215 CHESTER
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Achill Island, 3/1 Alexandros, 4/1 Tajaaweed, 11/2 Unnefer, 10/1 Latin Lad, 11/1 North Parade, 16/1 Sligo, 33/1 Midnight Muse .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: We have already seen here this week just how much an Aidan O'Brien 3yo can improve for a first run of the year and he is on record as expecting ACHILL ISLAND to come on plenty for a disappointing reappearance; if so, Ballydoyle could win this race for the third time in four years. Fast ground would be an unknown for him, as it would for Tajaaweed, who looks the sort to make a name for himself as a 3yo, and Alexandros, so this is a race that demands a degree of caution |
Achill Island for Aiden o'Brien is expected to improve
245
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Macarthur, 11/2 Raincoat, 6/1 Tempelstern, 13/2 Red Gala, 10/1 Bauer, 12/1 Jadalee, The Last Drop, 14/1 Carte Diamond, Numide, 20/1 Steppe Dancer, Supersonic Dave .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: An interesting and informative renewal. Red Gala will prove a much better horse back on livelier ground and it will be no surprise if he reverses Newbury form with Tempelstern but it's worth giving MACARTHUR another chance. He is better than the bare form of last year's Leger where he found trouble and is forgiven his reappearance failure on soft going. |
Macarthur another Ballydoyle entry - concern here that out to 5/2 in early market and poor running previously
555 RIPON
BETTING FORECAST: 4/7 Rayvin Mad, 8/1 Coleorton Choice, 12/1 Able Master, Mullglen, 14/1 Sweet Applause, 16/1 Steel Stockholder, 20/1 Just Five, 25/1 Dispol Grand, 33/1 El Portet, Look For Value, Lucky Buddha .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: It will be disappointing if RAYVIN MAD cannot get off the mark under conditions which are expected to suit, having already shown a level of form good enough to win most races of this type with something to spare |
645 WEXFORD
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 King Of Westphalia, 5/2 Almolahek, 3/1 Tarkari, 5/1 Crystal Swan, 6/1 Aather, 33/1 Kathleen Cox, Madame Sophie, Magic Valley .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: KING OF WESTPHALIA may prove best in what looks an above-average maiden for the venue. The Kingmambo colt seemed to need the outing on his seasonal debut at The Curragh and had to overcome trouble in running before staying on strongly for third behind Tawkeen and Almolahek in a 1m2f maiden at Navan 12 days ago. \n Over this longer trip, Aidan O'Brien's runner has a realistic chance of reversing form with Almolahek, though it would be hard to be categorical about the likely outcome, since the Dermot Weld-trained colt has the merit of being less exposed and may improve with the help of first-time blinkers and the benefit of his first outing of the season.\n Tarkari, blinkered for the first time, holds a virtually identical chance to King Of Westphalia on official ratings. Runner-up to the useful Plan on his debut at Leopardstown, he has gone close on both starts at Dundalk, in the first of which he was just in front of Georgebernardshaw who has shown improved form this season.\n Aather can be expected to improve from an initial outing in a Leopardstown maiden won by the well-regarded Winchester.\n Crystal Swan, though yet to finish out of the first four, needs to improve to beat the colts here. |
O'Brien and Weld share first and 2nd here - lay Tarkari?
750
Beliar for Smullen at around 12/1
FOOTY
Another 1 game scuppers the treble but at this time of season it is really out of interest to see if it can work just by pricing and nothing else
| 19:45 | Waterford United vs Wexford Youths | 8/15 | 12/5 | 9/2 |
| 19:45 | St Patrick's Athletic vs UCD | 2/5 | 13/5 | 13/2 |
| 19:45 | Cork City vs Sligo Rovers | 8/13 | 23/10 | 4/1 |
It is with the above in mind that I'll look at the above 3 Irish games Treble at 3.46 and the 3rd bet in the cycle following 2 losing trebles - will this system really work over a season?
I'm finding the racing difficult at present so preference is to keep my powder dry for the weekend and a good chance with end of season MUST WINS both at the top and bottom of the Premiership and a number of dead rubber games
No comments:
Post a Comment