Nelson's Column unplaced, nice start at Chester with Doncaster Rover winning, followed up by Sail, King Orsichios unplaced and of course Aleemdar foiled for the massive gamble by McCoy yet still paid out double figures on the place
Treble lost so along with the plan will be on loss retrieval mission. Again it seems to be down to selection of teams (and let's give it it's due - time of the season)
Well it was bye bye to Getafe stake at 2-0 down but what a fight back! Rangers and Lyon both won but not half time/full time.
Interestingly enough, eagle eyed traders would have got on the enhanced prices on both games - Rangers MUST win and Lyon facing a stubborn Sedan backable at 2.9! Enhanced odds strie again
315 CHESTER
Again better to concentrate on races where the draw will have an affect
BETTING FORECAST: 7/2 Royalist, 9/2 Adversity, Wasan, 8/1 Huzzah, Magnitude, 12/1 Toto Skyllachy, 16/1 Elna Bright, Fervent Prince, 20/1 Eastern Gift, Green Wadi, Ramatni, 25/1 Boy Blue.
Royalist has a good draw over 7 furlongs, and as provisional favourite is obviously fancied so hopefully will go off at an each way price
400 CHESTER
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Senatorial, 100/30 Musical Bridge, Rebecca De Winter, 11/2 Rievaulx World, 10/1 Klynch, 12/1 Fivefootnumberone, 14/1 Viva Ronaldo, 25/1 Crewezando, 33/1 That Boy Ronaldo, 50/1 Neo´s Mate, 100/1 Premier Demon .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: From the inside stall Rievaulx World looks most interesting of the newcomers, but previous experience is a major plus round here and this has fallen to a debutant only once since 1994. Musical Bridge and Rebecca De Winter clearly have to be high on the list but this is a race Barry Hills targets (his last two winners went on to Group-race success) and SENATORIAL can extend his winning sequence in this event following his promising Newmarket debut |
Again over 5 furlongs, the draw will have an impact, as will Spotlight's stat that this race is difficult for a debutant to win in.
Musical Bridge meets both criteria.
655 CLONMEL
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Kharsya, 7/4 Mon Champion, 9/2 Trust In Me, 10/1 Value Of Time, 12/1 Point Taken, 14/1 Golan Star, 16/1 Pointed Arch, 33/1 Buyasyoufly.
The 2 irish jockey/trainer combos that I look for are not here bt Wachman/Lordan are the only solid pairing and , with the straight 8, Trust in me each way could be competitive
725 - Blaze Trailer have pat Smullen on board and is backable each way, although 6/1 the field indicates the type of race expected
755 - Height of Fury again has Pat Smullen on ,and at 10/1, his chance isn't obvious but is each way
200 GOODWOOD
BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 French Art, 7/2 Resurge, 4/1 Military Power, 8/1 Crown Choice, 12/1 Colour Trooper, Red Icon, Schopenhauer, 16/1 Dear Maurice, Mohathab, 20/1 Capucci, 25/1 Kelowna, 33/1 Kannon, Rum Jungle, 50/1 Quinzey´s Best, 66/1 Grit, 100/1 Deep Waters .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A useful maiden. Resurge is almost certainly quite a bit better than he has shown so far but he is passed over in favour of FRENCH ART and \Military Power. Both have shown form good enough to win an ordinary maiden and there is unlikely to be that much, if anything between them, but the selection might just be open to a bit more improvement. |
Rum Jngle provisionally 20/1 - indicative of a market move - if remaining so, worth an each way interest - preference is to see 16/1 - it is a maiden race so it means that market moves can come off
As things stand, French Art has shortened to 6/4 with others out to 6/1 - is this significant? It's a maiden and a big field mind
710 GREAT LEIGHS
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Swop, 5/1 Mumbleswerve, 6/1 Coeur Courageux, Justcallmehandsome, 8/1 Grand Vizier, Twilight Star, 10/1 Ninth House, 25/1 Obezyana .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: SWOP (nap) is the most interesting runner in the field by some way and he looked one to keep on the right side of when landing his maiden last October. The much-improved Justcallmehandsome may give him most to think about. |
Short priced based on one bit of form last October. Mumbleswerve is 4/1 and the each way alternative, although the 11/10 is tempting on Swop. LEvel stakes dutch can include both horses with a break even on Swop and nice retrn on Mumbleswerve
455 NEWTON ABBOTT
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Nemetan, 6/1 Award Winning, 8/1 My Old Piano, 10/1 Captain Becket, Changing Lanes, 12/1 Call Me Sir, Marigolds Way, 14/1 Cool Alice, Monashee Grey, 16/1 Jerry Lee, 20/1 Grumpy Bee, 33/1 Max Yasgar, 50/1 Kilcoe Castle, Orion Star, 66/1 Colorado Storm .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: There are a couple of potential improvers lurking but NEMETAN (nap) should take all the beating, as he would have won a bit easier at Exeter on Tuesday but for fluffing the last and there's a good chance he can improve again at this trip |
"should take all the beating" - 12/13 tips - form 22121 is TOO good! - postdata selection - escapes a penalty
NEGATIVES - new trip of 2 miles 6 furlongs - 14 runners. - if remaining odds against the horse is worthy of support, although place only looks enticing given the 2's
FOOTY
| 16:30 | FC Honka vs RoPS | 1/2 | 14/5 | 23/4 |
| 16:30 | IFK Mariehamn vs FC KooTeePee | 4/9 | 3/1 | 13/2 |
| 17:30 | AaB Aalborg vs AGF Arhus | 2/5 | 7/2 | 11/2 |
Treble down yesterday - try again today as per the system - 3.03 for the treble, using loss retrieval today.
CHESTER
The Chester May meeting is notorious for the bias of the draw and if this continues then layes can lay based on the draw
145 CHESTER
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 She´s A Shaw Thing, 9/4 Doncaster Rover, 8/1 White Shift, 10/1 Aspen Darlin, 11/1 Fuaigh Mor, 12/1 Just The Lady, 14/1 Meg Jicaro .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: SHE'S A SHAW THING (nap) had her already solid-looking form given another boost when Percolator sluiced in at Longchamp on Monday and is taken to beat Doncaster Rover, who has tactical speed and looks sure to run well under Frankie. |
Doncaster Rover has 2 ticks for the draw here and the place only option for me
215
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Sugar Mint, 3/1 Laughter, 5/1 Sail, 6/1 Queen Of Naples, 10/1 Dancing Abbie, 14/1 Silk Affair, 16/1 Changing Skies, 25/1 Rio Guru, 50/1 Try Me .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Barry Hills has enjoyed considerable success in this race and SUGAR MINT, likely to appreciate the step up in trip on drying ground, should go close after her confidence-boosting success at Bath. Laughter is expected to make up into high-class filly this year, even though there are holes aplenty in the form of her soft-ground 2yo success, and there is surely more to come from the likes of Sail and Queen Of Naples |
That boy Aiden O'Brien has Sail in this and as 3rd provisional fav should be competitive, again each way
No draw bias here given the distance and relatively small field
315
King Orsichios each way - again 2 ticks for the draw over 5 furlongs should enable us to place at least
220 FAKENHAM
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Rapscallion, 7/2 Dyneburg, 6/1 Baarrij, 8/1 Mr Wiseguy, 14/1 Alberti, Fantasy Legend, 33/1 Darkshape, Ellerslie Lisa, First Frost, Lucky Pearl, 50/1 Aleemdar, Charlie Castallan .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Only a few of these hold realistic claims at the weights and the pick of them looks to be RAPSCALLION (nap), who's been running well in better company, will handle conditions and the first-time booking of Tony McCoy catches the eye |
FOOTY
2nd winning treble for the system is pleasing but this follows a set of 3 losing ,using loss retrieval - so we are about £62 in the negative (looking at £50 stakes) - another chance today - so choices are the 1/2 , 4/7, 8/15 selections of which I need to chose 2
Mainz and Bayer Leverkusen with one 1/3 or thereabouts in Borussia Monchengladbach - an all German affair tonight
Elsewhere in the footy, it's Cup games again throughout Europe, and as we have seen Bayern Munich backers at short prices have been clogging up the Samaritan phone lines of late, so I can't entertain them at all.
GEtafe at home are worth backing for me at 10/11 - they have been superb all season.
The jaded Rangers are 1/4 at home tonight and I expect them to get more than the one point they got at the weekend. |They must be knackered, but if I was paid their wage per week, then I'd find something!
Half time/full time Rangers tonight at home enhances the odds
Lyon face Sedan in the french cup this evening, and another halftime/fulltime for me ( hope they play a strong team - they are at home)
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