Wednesday, 7 May 2008

7/5

Again strck down by a claimer with Court of Appeal, but, as said, with a staking plan, and 11/10 price, it was absorbable - Cavendish drifted to 5/1 and still won - Ezdeyaad a non runner, Murcar won , Wild Power unpalced, another shortie ridden by Ruby unplaced, the each way alternative placed, -I got Flight Leader beaten but chose the wrong horse - mine went down to 3 in running allowing for trading but couldn't hold on to 3rd

The footy treble came in - that's the 2nd one on the trot which augurs well for the new season.

A poor day all in all yesterday.

305 BEVERLEY

BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Rosbay, 3/1 Rudry Dragon, 9/2 Nelsons Column, Snowed Under, 8/1 Sudden Impulse, 12/1 Fever, 16/1 Ursis, 25/1 Rain And Shade .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: It will be disappointing if Snowed Under can't make an impact against some questionable rivals, but preference is for ROSBAY, who has not been disgraced in either start this year and should appreciate the return to his optimum trip. Rudry Dragon should not be far away, either.

Slight move for Nelsons Column - place only with a bit on the win - the straight 8

CHeltenham is HUNTER CHASE country and not something I want to get involved in.

CHESTER

The Chester May meeting is notorious for the bias of the draw and if this continues then layes can lay based on the draw

145 CHESTER
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 She´s A Shaw Thing, 9/4 Doncaster Rover, 8/1 White Shift, 10/1 Aspen Darlin, 11/1 Fuaigh Mor, 12/1 Just The Lady, 14/1 Meg Jicaro .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: SHE'S A SHAW THING (nap) had her already solid-looking form given another boost when Percolator sluiced in at Longchamp on Monday and is taken to beat Doncaster Rover, who has tactical speed and looks sure to run well under Frankie.

Doncaster Rover has 2 ticks for the draw here and the place only option for me

215
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Sugar Mint, 3/1 Laughter, 5/1 Sail, 6/1 Queen Of Naples, 10/1 Dancing Abbie, 14/1 Silk Affair, 16/1 Changing Skies, 25/1 Rio Guru, 50/1 Try Me .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Barry Hills has enjoyed considerable success in this race and SUGAR MINT, likely to appreciate the step up in trip on drying ground, should go close after her confidence-boosting success at Bath. Laughter is expected to make up into high-class filly this year, even though there are holes aplenty in the form of her soft-ground 2yo success, and there is surely more to come from the likes of Sail and Queen Of Naples

That boy Aiden O'Brien has Sail in this and as 3rd provisional fav should be competitive, again each way
No draw bias here given the distance and relatively small field

315
King Orsichios each way - again 2 ticks for the draw over 5 furlongs should enable us to place at least

220 FAKENHAM
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Rapscallion, 7/2 Dyneburg, 6/1 Baarrij, 8/1 Mr Wiseguy, 14/1 Alberti, Fantasy Legend, 33/1 Darkshape, Ellerslie Lisa, First Frost, Lucky Pearl, 50/1 Aleemdar, Charlie Castallan .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Only a few of these hold realistic claims at the weights and the pick of them looks to be RAPSCALLION (nap), who's been running well in better company, will handle conditions and the first-time booking of Tony McCoy catches the eye
Aleemdar is 16/1 currently - a big stable gamble - at the price worth following each way

FOOTY

2nd winning treble for the system is pleasing but this follows a set of 3 losing ,using loss retrieval - so we are about £62 in the negative (looking at £50 stakes) - another chance today - so choices are the 1/2 , 4/7, 8/15 selections of which I need to chose 2
Mainz and Bayer Leverkusen with one 1/3 or thereabouts in Borussia Monchengladbach - an all German affair tonight

Elsewhere in the footy, it's Cup games again throughout Europe, and as we have seen Bayern Munich backers at short prices have been clogging up the Samaritan phone lines of late, so I can't entertain them at all.
GEtafe at home are worth backing for me at 10/11 - they have been superb all season.
The jaded Rangers are 1/4 at home tonight and I expect them to get more than the one point they got at the weekend. |They must be knackered, but if I was paid their wage per week, then I'd find something!
Half time/full time Rangers tonight at home enhances the odds
Lyon face Sedan in the french cup this evening, and another halftime/fulltime for me ( hope they play a strong team - they are at home)






















15:00 Turkey U17 vs Scotland U17 1/2 12/5 5/1







16:00 Sparta Prague vs Bohemians Prague 2/9 4/1 10/1

Khimki FK vs Terek Grozny 17/20 11/5 14/5
16:30 Dinamo Zagreb vs Hajduk Split 8/15 5/2 9/2
16:30 Augsburg vs Cologne 2/1 11/5 11/10
16:30 Freiburg vs Offenbach 4/11 3/1 6/1
16:30 Hoffenheim vs Koblenz 2/5 11/4 6/1
16:30 Mainz vs Aachen 1/2 5/2 5/1
16:30 Borussia M'gladbach vs Wehen 1/3 3/1 7/1
17:00 Panathinaikos vs Panionios 1/4 7/2 9/1
17:00 Holland U17 vs Serbia U17 5/4 11/5 7/4
17:00 Shakhtar vs Dynamo Kiev 11/8 15/8 15/8
17:30 FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC 2/5 3/1 13/2
17:30 Otterup vs Aarhus Fremad2 27/20 3/1 11/10
17:30 Dinamo Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov Samara 3/4 21/10 7/2
18:00 Glostrup vs Brondby 2 10/1 5/1 1/6
18:00 OB Odense vs Esbjerg 8/13 11/4 4/1
18:00 Brabrand vs Naesby 2/9 4/1 10/1
18:00 Aarhus Fremad vs Vejle 6/1 16/5 2/5
18:00 AB Copenhagen vs Frem 11/10 5/2 2/1
18:00 Herfolge vs Fredericia 7/10 5/2 7/2
18:00 HIK vs Lolland FA 13/10 5/2 17/10
18:00 Hvidovre vs Naestved 7/5 12/5 8/5
18:00 Kolding vs SonderjyskE 23/10 12/5 evens
18:00 Silkeborg vs Skive 1/3 7/2 8/1
18:00 Olstykke vs Koge 15/4 3/1 4/7
18:00 Spain U17 vs France U17 6/5 11/5 9/5
18:00 Trelleborg vs Elfsborg 21/10 23/10 6/5
18:00 Helsingborg vs Orebro 9/20 3/1 6/1
18:00 Gothenburg vs Kalmar 6/5 23/10 21/10
18:00 Kayserispor vs Genclerbirligi evens 2/1 12/5
19:00 Slovan Liberec vs FC Brno 10/11 11/5 13/5
19:00 Bayer Leverkusen vs Hertha Berlin 1/2 13/5 9/2
19:00 Bayern Munich vs Arminia Bielefeld 2/7 7/2 7/1
19:00 Eintracht Frankfurt vs Wolfsburg 5/4 11/5 7/4
19:00 Hamburg vs Werder Bremen 7/5 9/4 6/4
19:00 Nurnberg vs Duisburg 4/5 23/10 11/4
19:00 Groclin Grodzisk vs Wisla Krakow 11/8 2/1 7/4
19:00 Jagiellonia B. vs Legia Warsaw 5/2 9/4 10/11
19:00 Korona Kielce vs Widzew Lodz 4/11 3/1 13/2
19:00 Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Belchatow 2/1 11/5 11/10
19:00 Polonia vs Lech Poznan 3/1 11/5 4/5
19:00 LKS Lodz vs Ruch Chorzow 8/11 9/4 10/3
19:00 Gornik Zabrze vs Zaglebie Lubin 11/8 2/1 7/4
19:00 Cracovia vs Odra Wodzislaw 4/5 11/5 3/1
19:00 Deportivo vs Levante 2/7 7/2 7/1
19:00 Getafe vs Almeria 10/11 9/4 12/5
19:00 Mallorca vs Osasuna 10/11 9/4 12/5
19:00 Murcia vs Athletic Bilbao 7/4 9/4 13/10
19:00 Real Betis vs Valladolid 10/11 11/5 5/2
19:00 Recreativo vs Villarreal 7/4 11/5 5/4
19:00 Racing Santander vs Sevilla 11/8 11/5 8/5
19:00 Valencia vs Zaragoza 4/5 23/10 11/4
19:00 Djurgarden vs Hammarby 6/5 23/10 21/10
19:30 Brondby vs Viborg 2/7 15/4 9/1
19:45 Rangers vs Motherwell 1/4 9/2 10/1
19:45 Airdrie United vs Clyde 6/5 9/4 7/4
19:45 Arbroath vs Stranraer 8/5 11/5 11/8
20:00 Lyon vs Sedan 3/10 16/5 8/1
20:00 Lazio vs Inter 11/8 2/1 7/4

Real Madrid vs Barcelona 6/5 9/4 11/5








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