1255 FOLKSTONE
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 American Trilogy, 5/2 Pascha Bere, 11/4 Rougham, 12/1 Shadow Dancer, 16/1 Quartano, 100/1 Bold Pioneer.
Amazing there is racing today.This beginners chase should involve the front 3, all very well known hurdlers. Now 2 will place and one will not . american Trilogy takes on the mantle of favouratism but has a recent nasty fall to psychologically overcome.
The other 2 market principles cannot be split although a hint of money on Pascha Bere.
Tough one to call as all 3 are tight enough in the betting and this is a beginners chase where errors are likely from all participants.
200 FOLKSTONE
BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Handtheprizeover, 11/2 Chord, Flying Squad, 6/1 Forever Emo, 13/2 Fongoli, Quapriland, 9/1 Pete The Feat, 10/1 Walk Tall, 20/1 Stop The Show, 33/1 Bajan Sunshine.
| DIOMED VERDICT: HANDTHEPRIZEOVER may be able to follow up his Towcester win off the same mark. Quapriland and handicap newcomer Forever Emo look most interesting of the others. |
Price gapper here in this handicap chase. handtheprizeover is 13/8 with next best 8/1 - that is some price gap for a handicap.
245 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 8/13 The Big Haerth, 7/1 Spin Again, 10/1 Apache Ridge, Fol Liam, Rebellious Spirit, 14/1 I Confess, 20/1 Landucci, 33/1 Carnival Dream, Lockantanks, 50/1 Cheshire Lady, 66/1 Craicattack,
| DIOMED VERDICT: Impossible to oppose THE BIG HAERTH, who landed the odds over C&D a fortnight ago from Rebellious Spirit and Apache Ridge with Landucci back in seventh and meets all three on the same terms today. |
The Big Hearth was taken out of his last race, as I remember Aprils Fool won it. " impossible to oppose" and a huge price gap 4/9 - - - -7/1 here.
My concern is he is 1211 already in last 4 runs and this sequence will end some time, but certainly not priced to do so today.
A class 6 seller but a good horse for the grade?
340 FOLKSTONE
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Lady Hight, 15/8 Dream Function, 9/2 Kentford Grey Lady, 13/2 Milly Malone, 16/1 Charlotte´s Ball, Farewellatmidnight, 28/1 Primadora, 33/1 Brooklands B, 40/1 Iris Miller, 50/1 Luna Lightning.
| DIOMED VERDICT: It's a bit of a nightmare (for punters) that Lady Hight and DREAM FUNCTION have bumped into each other as they both went into the notebook as likely bumper winners on their respective debuts. It could go either way but marginal preference is for Philip Hobbs's mare. |
Another bumper and this early on, the market sees this as a 4 horse race. 5 one time outers and 5 debutants mean that, in an ideal world, the betting market would be consulted at 335pm and not now.
As things stand, the 2 market principles Lady Hight and Dream Function stand out on form shown thus far and the hope is, in a race where currently there are 4 only under 16/1 , we can hope 1) these 4 dominate at the business end, and 2) Lady and Dream finish in the first 3.
8pm - Barcelona v Real Madrid - 2.2 - quite frankly, this is the game which will determine the La Liga title. There are 2 el classico's this season and any team who wins the matches will have a distinct advantage as these 2 cannot be split and are likely to blitz all infront of them this season.
Its importance has meant 2 tight scorelines the last 2 matches 2-0 and 1-0, both to Barcelona.
1.26 over 1.5 goals is quite high as we do not know the approach of the Special One to this match. It could as easily be a 1-0 as 0-0.
SHORTLIST
As both sides must win, perhaps laying the draw can make some profit from a trading perspective. A late breakthrough by one team would be a real boon.
245 WOLVES - The Big Hearth is a huge price gapper - faith in the betting market here for this course and distance winner who has won 3 of his last 4. Slight niggle that it is a seller. 1.1 to place
340 FOLKSTONE - chance the numbers 1 and 2 jump jockeys on Lady Hight and Dream Function to both place in a race where only 4 are under 16/1 ?
Both are promising one time outers but it is a race where the market ideally needs consulting nearer to 340 than 1040am!!
Lady Hight is clear place only favourite at 1.27 to place - take our cues from the place market?
Laying real Madrid halftime/fulltime is 6.8 is around a 1.16 back bet. Surely home advantage can tell for Barca to at least reach halftime ahead or on parity with Real?
SHORTLIST OF THE SHORTLIST
All of the above 3 are enticing, but who is more clear cut? The Big Hearth is the biggest price gapper of the day and if the market is accurate with these price gappers, should place at least. A course and distance winner, and a reduced field of 8 runners and 3 places.
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