back-lay-trade-horses-football: 28/11

The weather has put paid to the horse racing. It is a poor card at Kempton where you would have to put your faith in 2 year olds or handicappers. No thanks

As to the football, well I quite fancy Shaktar and Partizan today based on the form, but these are simply match odds only matches with no in play capabilities.

Ajax should win today against a very poor VVV but Ajax have been out of sorts of late and let down at short odds on more than one occasion, but again VVV have lost 9 of last 12 .

*****ONE A DAY - NO BET TODAY***** Nothing near as solid as Anderlecht today.
Speculators might like Rangers today given their goalscoring prowess away from home. But what of the weather?

Nice result for Anderlecht, and if I knew that Berbatov was going to break into a sweat, and Blackburn were going to roll over and get their tummy's tickled, well, Man Utd would have been the ones at better odds.

1200pm - Dundee Utd v Rangers - 1.7 away - Celtic gave away a 2 goal lead yesterday - heaven for traders and hell for old fashioned bettors. can Rangers take advantage?
They have a game in hand 2 points so a win can really put some daylight between the 2 sides.
But 1.7 away tells you this will be a toughy for Rangers today.
One hiccup at home v Hibs has been recovered with 2 wins on the trot , home and away.
Last 3 in the league and Rangers have won the last 2 and drawn 0-0.
100% away record for Rangers 100% of away games have seen over 2.5 goals for Rangers.
In 5 away matches Rangers have scored 3 goals and in the other matches they have scored 2 goals. Interestingly, on only 1 of these 7 matches have Rangers kept an away clean sheet.
Rangers have already beaten Dundee United 4-0 at home this season, but dare I remind you that they were equally as impressive against Hibs until losing inexplicably at home 3-0.
Dundee United have not won home and away against any of the top 5 sides. At home, they have lost 2-1 v Celtic and 4-0 against a resurgent Caley Thistle.
I would expect a similar scoreline to that of Celtic as Rangers are scoring 2 or more away and also conceding in all bar one of their away matches. 1.7 therefore could be a juicy price, at least tradeable if Rangers score first or take the lead at any stage.
130pm - VVV v Ajax - 1.37 away - a win takes a stuttering Ajax into 3rd place, where they really belong at the top along with PSV and Twente. Ajax have scored 7 and 4 in their 2 2010 and 2009head to heads without conceding. Ajax have not won in their last 3 matches. Something of a crisis really with 2 wins and a draw DWWDDWL away from home for Ajax - only lost 1 match away. Ajax's last 2 matches have been against AZ and Twente so perhaps it is not a shock that they lost and drew.
15 matches and 3 wins and 12 losses for VVV. Not a draw in sight. The wins were 2 1-0's against 12th and 14th, and 4-1 win against bottom side ( VVV are 2nd bottom)
VVV have lost all home matches against top 4 sides and this should be an ideal opportunity for Ajax to get a much needed 3 points. But can Ajax be trusted. Last season I think they only lost 1 match all season!
2pm - Shakhtar v Arsenal Kiev - 1.21 home - only one loss in all competitions in last 12 for Shaktar was against Arsenal FC - 9 game winning streak in all competitions for Shaktar. Go with momentum?
12/12 at home for Shaktar in all competitions - mighty impressive. Slight warning - 6 of the matches have been 1-0's Shaktar have scored 3,4,3,3 in last 4 head to heads -comprehensive wins.
LLWWLDLDW for Arsenal Kiev in the league.
WLDWLWDLW - reasonable away form but inconsistent.
4pm - Partizan Belgrade v FK Metalac - 1.16 home - 3-1 and 2-0 in head to heads for Partizan in 2010 and 2009.
3 losses in last 12 have all been in Champions League and 9 wins away from those matches.
4,4,3,3,1,5 -the goals scored in the league by Partizan links in with the 1.16 quote.
2 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses for Metalac - interestingly Metalac are WLW in their last 3 - signs of a revival?
But Partizan are proven ultra consistent high goalscorers, and have proved themselves against this opposition.
8pm - Valencia v Almeria - 1.42 home - are Almeria vulnerable now given Barca kicked them into touch last time out.
3,3,2 -the goals Valencia have scored against Almeria in their last 3 most recent head to heads.
WDWLDW at home for Valencia this season. 5 wins and a draw in their first 6 matches saw Valencia as contenders and then the wheels fell off!!
Almeria have only won 1 match all season.
DLDDDLL for Almeria last 7 matches includes 4 1-1 draws , 2 1-0 losses and an anomolous 8-0 tonking by Barcelona.
DLWLDL away for Almeria.

Only Kempton survives and begins with a class 7 0-50 handicap - hardly a compelling start.

245 KEMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Palais Glide, 4/1 Encore View, Fairy Familiar, 5/1 Echo Ridge, 8/1 Radiant Dream, 33/1 Dangerous Illusion, 50/1 Pink Sari, 66/1 Heavenly Pursuit, Liberal Lady, 100/1 Ippi N Tombi, Sea Of Love,

DIOMED VERDICT: Several interesting newcomers, including Echo Ridge, Encore View and Radiant Dream, but the well-drawn PALAIS GLIDE may be able to build on her recent encouraging debut Lingfield third from the plum draw.

5 horses under 50/1 here makes this an interesting probability race. 5 debutants, 4 one time outers makes this a difficult maiden race to get involved in - the debutants could be anything and the one time outers are naturally open to improvement.

350 KEMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Sinfonico, 5/2 Groomed, 5/1 Abysse, 12/1 Towering Storm, 14/1 Dunhoy, 20/1 If You Whisper, 25/1 Kristollini, 33/1 Sir Randolf, 50/1 Bodie, 100/1 Jam Maker.

DIOMED VERDICT: A couple of interesting newcomers but Groomed and SINFONICO have both already shown enough ability to win a race of this nature and can make their experience tell.