happy days
200 WIN
BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Ellen Tilley, 7/2 Far From Blonde, 8/1 Blazing Diva, Rith Bob, 20/1 Bright Quest, Duly Noted, 66/1 Marias Rock.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The market will demonstrate the confidence behind the Ditcheat newcomer Far From Blonde but ELLEN TILLEY (nap) sets a very decent standard and can make her experience tell.[PJ] |
Rith Bob the mover
210 SANDOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Marchand D´Argent, 11/2 Bugsy´s Boy, 7/1 Bonchester Bridge, 8/1 Figurita, 10/1 Danse Macabre, 14/1 Lester Leaps In, Rookery Rebel, 33/1 Quasimodo, 66/1 Love Angel.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: It is difficult to get away from much-improved MARCHAND D'ARGENT (nap) who has plenty in hand according to the official handicapper. Danse Macabre can get in the money.[FC] |
Price gapper but in an amateur riders event, and generally it has been wise to avoid these amateurs 1.16 to place
230 LEICESTER
BETTING FORECAST: 1/10 Oscatello, 8/1 Irish Guard, 16/1 Irish Power, 33/1 Johnny Harris, 66/1 Stunning Magic.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: OSCATELLO is unlikely to draw breath in brushing these aside and it's the fences he needs to worry about.[AWJ] 1.14 to win and 1.08 to place |
Hmmm!
245 SANDOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Busy Isit, 11/4 Keepthedreamalive, 11/2 Randwick Roar, 7/1 Moncadou, Thedreamstillalive, 14/1 Borora, Chery D´Or, 20/1 Black Hills.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A case can be made for most of these if you go back far enough in the form book, but recent evidence points to KEEPTHEDREAMALIVE and Busy Isit.[FC] |
Chey Dor now 4/1 and Borora 7/1 BUT one non runner at 7/1 may have made the betting forecast less accurate
255 AYR
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: MAT HILL, a heavy-ground winner on the Irish point-to-point circuit, has shown enough in just a couple of outings under Rules to suggest he can take a weak race dropped in grade.[SB] |
2nd fav a non runner and a fav proven on heavy. As seen yesterday, it's fine when they are actually proven on heavy, otherwise the race becomes too unpredictable 1.24 to place
310 WIN
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Quiny Boy, 11/4 Compton Star, 4/1 The Composer, 8/1 Seconditis, 12/1 Bukhara, 14/1 New Rackheath, Prince Ducal, 16/1 Hiddensee.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Quiny Boy could be the one in this weak race if the visor shows him in a better light but COMPTON STAR can usually be relied upon to run well over hurdles here and is 2lb lower than when successful over this C&D last season.[PJ] |
New Rackheath 8/1
320 SANDOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 3/1 Bannister Lane, 100/30 Oakfield Legend, 7/2 Bolachoir, Jamadiel, 10/1 Wickford, 14/1 Mr Big, 25/1 You´re Special, 33/1 Craven.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Oakfield Legend will ensure Bannister Lane does not have an easy time up front and could prove difficult to catch, but the race may be set up for a hold-up horse and BOLACHOIR looks capable of a bold bid to repeat last year's victory if he is in anything like the same form after his break.[FC] |
Mr Big 7/1
330 AYR
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Agglestone Rock has to be respected turned out before his new mark takes effect but a reasonable case can also be made for a few others, notably HIGH STAND LAD whose Newcastle race has worked out pretty well and gets the assistance of Graham Lee on his first outing for Martin Todhunter (has remained in same ownership).[SB] |
Fav now 7/4 1.52 to place - again 1.5 and higher for a fancied fav is suspicious
340 LEIC
BETTING FORECAST: 3/1 Coolefind, Whistling Straits, 6/1 Strong Weld, 13/2 Anshan Spirit, 7/1 Rydal Park, 8/1 Young Collier, 14/1 Tighe Caster, 16/1 Denvale, Oaklands Luis, 33/1 Howard Howard.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Tighe Caster and Young Collier were decent on their day under rules and recent pointing evidence suggests they could make an impact in this sphere. However, this is a decent race and WHISTLING STRAITS, who blew it at the start at Warwick recently, is given another chance to fulfil the promise of last season. Coolefind and Strong Weld can also figure.[AWJ] |
Too many movers really here
Rydal park now 3/1
Tigh Caster 9/1
Howard Howard 16/1
345 WINCANTON
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Unless the market predicts Rodney's Pillar is going to improve dramatically on his one bumper effort, THE GOSSMOOR YANK should be able to resume wunning ways.[PJ] |
Fav spanked into 1/4 now - cold be the Nicholls/Walsh combination. 1.07 to place - I would prefer Oscatello at the same price in a smaller field
Only 2 horses now under 16/1
415 LEIC
BETTING FORECAST: 3/1 Gershwin, Midnight Diamond, Omme Antique, 6/1 Tempting Paradise, 8/1 Soprano, 14/1 Crystal Prince, Guns Of Love, 20/1 Peterfly.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This won't take much winning at all and a chance is taken on chasing debutant GERSHWIN, who was good enough to land a bumper and his limited time over hurdles wasn't devoid of promise by any means. Omme Antique was beaten too far for comfort at Hereford but may still provide the main threat.[AWJ] |
Guns of love 11/2 in places
430 SANDOWN
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Not an easy race to sum up with several of the runners showing signs that their best years are behind them. VAN NESS showed he was in decent form between the flags recently and may be good enough.[FC] |
VAn Ness 5/2 in palces
450 LEIC
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Ballyvaden, 3/1 Donald Will Do, 8/1 Sea Cadet, 12/1 Junctiontwentyfour, Marked Man, 16/1 Lescer´s Lad, 20/1 Sir Brastias, 25/1 Carnt Spell, Jacarado, Kercabellec, King Coal, Nous Voila.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The one that stands out is BALLYVADEN, who was very impressive when producing a demolition job over C&D last week and a reproduction ought to be enough to defy this penalty.[BDO] |
King Coal now 14/1
Ballyvaden has been a previous place only selection
Donald will do was a market mover I recall last time out so maybe a compensation job today?
455 WINCANTON
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Amir El Jabal, 7/2 Alfatrix, Wasntme, 8/1 Pauntley Gofa, 25/1 Strategic Plan.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: It may be worth sticking with AMIR EL JABAL now the penny has dropped. Wasn'tme may pose most problems, unless Alfatrix leaves his latest form behind now over fences.[PJ] |
Strategic Plan 12/1
505 SANDOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Cracboumwiz, 7/2 Tanks For That, 9/2 Ravello Bay, 6/1 Wade Farm Billy, 8/1 Pearlysteps, 12/1 Mr Logistics, 100/1 Beware Chalk Pit, Junior Jimble.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: CRACBOUMWIZ has consistently produced a useful level as a hurdler for Alan King this winter and can give the weight to Ravello Bay.[BDO] |
Choc n King oin the fav, 10/11 in places - the straight 8 runners so 3 the place and 2 horses at 100/1+ bring the realistic field down to 6 1.2 to place
525 LEIC
BETTING FORECAST: 3/1 Man From Highworth, Mcevoy, 7/2 All Star, 9/2 Petitjean, 8/1 The Local, 14/1 Grasp, Only Dreams, 33/1 Cadoulitique, Chockdee, Papillon De Iena, Wages, 66/1 The Sneakster, 100/1 Pagans Dancer.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: McEvoy and Petitjean should have the class to be competitive despite running over a distance well short of their best but ALL STAR could be too sharp, as he was showing a very useful level of form at about this trip not all that long ago and he wouldn't have stayed 3m in a point last time. Man From Highworth is the other interesting one.[AWJ] |
Only Dreams 6/1 in places
Cadoulitique 16/1 in places
530 WIN
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Pennellis, 4/1 Nice One Eric, 8/1 Lomitaar, Melteme, 10/1 Chesil Beach Boy, Mayor Of Kilcock, Rocky Lane, 12/1 Tocca Ferro, 16/1 Merry Terry, 20/1 Just Cloudy, 25/1 Arctic Watch, Astral Boy, 33/1 Mixed Fortunes, 50/1 Imperial Falcon, 100/1 Russian Orphan.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Early evidence suggests PENNELLIS and Nice One Eric can both win at this level. Preference goes to the former who can build upon the solid platform of two positive efforts at Chepstow.[BDO] |
Tocca Ferro 4/1 in places - significant?
720 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 3/1 Common Diva, 4/1 Bromhead, 9/2 Supernoverre, 7/1 Flying Lady, 10/1 Dalrymple, Forty Thirty, 12/1 Hawkspring, Whotsit, 16/1 Autumn Morning, Turn To Dreams.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This looks a good opportunity for COMMON DIVA, a consistent sort and well in at the weights. Bromhead, one of the few open to improvement, is a likely threat, along with his Kempton conqueror Supernoverre.[AWJ] |
Hawkspring 8/1 in places
750 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Mr Macattack, 6/1 Kipchak, 10/1 Romantic Verse, 12/1 Royal Challenge, Tri Chara, 16/1 Dancing Maite, Rubenstar, Sarwin, 25/1 Dhhamaan, Kabeer, 33/1 Albero Di Giuda, 50/1 Misterisland.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: An obvious opportunty for the unexposed MR MACATTACK to add to last week's emphatic C&D success in a 0-85 and make it 3-4 on this track.[AC] |
RPice gapper 1.28 to place
Tri Chara 7/1
850 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Dream In Blue, 3/1 Miss Keck, 4/1 Alittlemoreflair, 7/1 Rannoch Rose, 20/1 Lunar Storm, Simonside, 33/1 Just Dennis, 50/1 Follow The Dream, Living The Dream, 66/1 Thirtyfourthstreet, 100/1 Nomadic Warrior.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A weak maiden in which DREAM IN BLUE should be able to make it third time lucky. Miss Keck and Alittlemoreflair are feared most.[AC] |
A seeming 4 horse race with a fav hardened at time of writing into evens - 2 previous 2nd places augur well
No market movers at this stage - nb this is a maiden 1.25 to place
SHORTLIST
230 LEICESTER - Oscatello - 1.08 to place is relatively big for an originally 1/10 thought of horse in the betting forecast who merely has to stay on his feet to win
We are getting nearly 1/10 for the horse to place in the first 2! The horse is 1/10 with the bookmakers
Yes i know - drap price but what an opportunity
505 SANDOWN - Cracboumwiz - 1.2 to place for Choc Thornton and Alan King - a great combo to have on your side for a shortie An 8 runner race with 2 100/1 shots leaving 6 vying for 3 places
A good chance for Crac?
750 WOLVES - Mr Macattack a price gapper in a low grade 0-70 handicap so worthy of consideration for the place at 1.28
850 WOLVES - Dream in Blue looks good for a place provided that there are no big market movers between now and 850 Wolves 1.25
ONE A DAY
Oscatello the outstanding opportunity with BEtfair paying out nearly the same for the place as the bookies do for the win
Cracboumwiz looks to only have 3 to beat to place
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