Kayf Aramis would have been the selection of any 16/1 system users yesterday (25/1 in the betting forecast going off 16/1)
Green bank another price gapper winning in a 0-60 class 5/6 handicap - 5 from 6 winners so far for me despite the market move for the 2nd horse yesterday
130 CHELTENHAM
BETTING FORECAST: 5/1 Master Of Arts, Walkon, Zaynar, 6/1 Starluck, 8/1 Ebadiyan, 12/1 Jumbo Rio, 14/1 Lethal Weapon, 16/1 Mourad, 20/1 Reve De Sivola, Trenchant, 40/1 Art Sleuth, Silk Drum, Tharawaat, 50/1 Simarian, Stow, Tyrrells Wood, 125/1 Just Rob, 250/1 Maidstone Mixture.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Alan King has a fine record in this race and in WALKON (nap) he has another leading contender with a fine attitude who looks sure to make a bold bid and can avenge his sole hurdling defeat by Zaynar on today's better terms. It remains to be seen if this stiff finish brings out the best in Master Of Arts and Starluck and Irish raiders Jumbo Rio and Ebadiyan are feared more.[AC] |
Choc Thornton has not scored yet and 4/1 fav now on Walk On. Only 5 horses under double figures odds, Walk on could be ok to place 2.26 to place
155 LING
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Sgt Roberts, 7/2 Rupestrian, 4/1 El Bravo, Mohanad, 14/1 First Spirit, Wild Lyph, 20/1 Dalrymple, Suhailah, 33/1 Milemilia,
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Not the strongest of maidens but one in which SGT ROBERTS makes plenty of appeal. This half-brother to multiple middle distance Polytrack winner Sgt Schultz will be well suited by the step up to this trip and is open to further progress.[RY] |
Rupestrian in to 2/1 in a race where it seems only 4 are in contention 1.47 quite high considering the apparent market move and the 5 horses over 14/1
220 FAKE
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: MISS PHOEBE should go well around here and is given the benefit of the doubt when slowly away at Lingfield last time, as the start developed into a bit of a shambles.[AWJ] Desert Rat is now 9/4 fav here - significant? Hesivorthedriver another market mover into 5/1 and Keyneema 12/1 in places BUT this is a selling handicap hurdle 240 CHELT BETTING FORECAST: 3/1 Cape Tribulation, 100/30 Pride Of Dulcote, 8/1 Alpha Ridge, 10/1 Weapon´s Amnesty, 14/1 On Raglan Road, 16/1 Browns Baily, Chariot Charger, The Midnight Club, Thetwincamdrift, Western Charmer, 20/1 On The Way Out, 25/1 Den Of Iniquity, 33/1 Toby Belch, 40/1 Midnight Sail, 66/1 Picture In The Sky, 100/1 Diablo, 150/1 Bally Sands.
CApe of Tribulation is Martin Blakey's selection. Looks like a 4 horse race really , another dutchable race like yesterday's? 255 FAKENHAM BETTING FORECAST: 1/2 Valley Ride, 6/1 Deep Reflection, 7/1 Pairc Na Gcapall, 8/1 Federstar, 14/1 High Gliding.
Eyecatching price gapper now 2/5 in the live market. A 3 miler and only 2 places 1.17 to place is big for a 2/5 shot - probably due to only 2 places and 3 miles 320 CHELTENHAM BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Kauto Star, 6/1 Denman, Neptune Collonges, 8/1 Exotic Dancer, 10/1 Barbers Shop, Madison Du Berlais, 14/1 Albertas Run, 25/1 Air Force One, Star De Mohaison, 66/1 Halcon Genelardais, My Will, Roll Along, 100/1 Knowhere, Miko De Beauchene, Snoopy Loopy, 500/1 Cerium.
Last year this was priced as a 2 horse race and now Denman is 5/1 which, for me is a huge price if he can retain anything like the ability shown in races prior to his last one. KAuto or Denman to place? Perhaps dutch the Nicholls runners? 1.55 for KAuto and 3.55 for Denman to place and 2.46 for Neptunes de Collonges 400 CHELT BETTING FORECAST: 9/2 Juveigneur, 5/1 Cappa Bleu, 8/1 Amicelli, 10/1 Royal Auclair, 12/1 Kingscliff, 14/1 Limerick Boy, 16/1 Murphy´s Cardinal, Southwestern, 20/1 Ofarel D´Airy, 25/1 Always Right, Border Fusion, 28/1 Christy Beamish, 33/1 Baby Run, Chief Oscar, Chilling Place, Gaelsbob, Robbers Glen, Turthen, You Do The Math, 40/1 Dublin Hunter, 50/1 Proud Andees, 66/1 Back Nine, Marblehead, 100/1 Buckby Lane. Always Right 16/1 with William Hill but 20/1 and 25/1 elsewhere.Might be worth monitoring incase there's a late move 425 LING BETTING FORECAST: Evs Park Lane, 5/2 Dalradian, 10/1 Mystic Touch, Westlin´ Winds, 16/1 Michael Laskey, 20/1 Benozzo Gozzoli, Pursuit Of Purpose, 66/1 Red Dagger, Topcroft.
2 under 10/1 - Frankie Spencer on fav 1.12 to place 530 FAKE BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Nordwind, 2/1 Jardin De Vienne, 4/1 Trachonitis, 12/1 Dr Brass, Night Orbit, 16/1 Dusk, 25/1 Laconicos, 33/1 Shake On It, 40/1 Louisiade, Treasure Islands, 50/1 Light Entertainer, 66/1 Bring On The Bling, Night Reveller.
3 horses under 12/1 540 LING BETTING FORECAST: 7/2 Smokey Rye, 4/1 Bavarica, 9/2 Moon Crystal, 5/1 Becuille, Melt, 10/1 Bold Diva, Little Knickers, 16/1 Too Grand.
Too Grand 12/1 650 WOLVES BETTING FORECAST: 7/2 Elsie Jo, 9/2 Rocket Ruby, 7/1 Private Passion, 8/1 Valdemar, 10/1 Missed Mondays, Monte Mayor Eagle, Weet In Nerja, 12/1 Dalepak Flyer, 14/1 Baby Josr, Ridgeway Silver, 16/1 Perfect Honour, Villaruz, 25/1 Twos And Eights.
Perfect Honour now 8/1 720 WOLVES BETTING FORECAST: 5/1 Green Lagonda, Teen Ager, 6/1 Welsh Opera, 8/1 Bollin Franny, Muktasb, 10/1 Dodaa, Monte Major, 12/1 Tyrannosaurus Rex, 14/1 Ask Jenny, Hurricane Coast, Richardthesecond, 16/1 Magic Glade, 20/1 Mandelieu.
ASk Jenny now 8/1 - quite a move and into favouratism 820 WOLVES BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Tous Les Deux, 5/1 Ravi River, Tourist, 6/1 Scartozz, 8/1 Faithful Ruler, Just Bond, Rainbow Mirage, 20/1 Cornus.
PRice gapper under SPencer and 3 the place so interesting BUT only one real "outsider" makes this handicap a perceived competitive race 1.41 to place 920 WOLVES BETTING FORECAST: 4/1 Star Choice, 6/1 Little Richard, 8/1 Buscador, Drawn Gold, Jago, Lunar Promise, 10/1 Calzaghe, Summer Lodge, Urban Warrior, 12/1 Bedouin Blue, Pelham Crescent, 20/1 Cash On.
The favs are now Calzaghe (4/1) and Pelham Crescent (5/1) - 2 interesting movers BUT note the time of the race!! SHORTLIST | ||||||||||||||||||||
255 FAKENHAM - Valley Ride at 1.17 is quite good. 2 places and 3 miles the niggles 320 CHELTENHAM - Kauto Star has Ruby Walsh onboard and he has had another great festival so obviously his winning experience could booy Kauto into a place again. He looks primed. Denman is an amazing 3.55 to place ONE A DAY I will opt for Kauto Star again and 1.55 for target profit per dayers ensures stakes will be small. 1.55 really is a great price but does hint at a relative lack of confidence when compared to other years. Is this the signal for the new guard to take over. Will Denman's price be a steal in retrospect? Beaten 23 lengths last time out - BUT he beat the next horse by 25 lengths!! Excuses? Right handed track? Ground conditions after a lay off? IFyou target profit per dayers want an even smaller stake, then you will rarely ever be able to back Denman at 3.55 to place. For example, a £2 stake produces a return of £4.88! It's a bet to nothing isn't it for target profit per dayers seeking their compounding target. As things stand, Kauto and Ruby will be my one a dayer, and elsewhere, Valley Ride has been backed into 2/5 in the win market from 1/2 in the betting forecast and would represent my other than Cheltenham bet BUT I would have a niggle over 2 places and 3 miles |
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