31/3 MARKET MOVERS

BACK all 5/1 and under at SP

240 SOUTHWELL
BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Rebel Duke, 4/1 Cheveton, 11/2 Tournedos, 6/1 Ebraam, Whiskey Creek, 8/1 Tajneed, 16/1 Pawan, 20/1 Foxy Music, Stoneacre Lad.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A well-run race in prospect but it usually pays to race up with the pace over this C&D and REBEL DUKE (nap) looks to have plenty in his favour from the widest stall with the cheekpieces he wore last time when ridden less prominently than usual taken off. David Nicholls fields two interesting runners but it's debateable whether either will be ideally suited by conditions and Cheveton could be the one for the forecast with his yard having been among the winners of late.[GN]

Rebel Duke standout 7/4 , Stoneacre lad 16/1 and 11/1 with a couple of bookies

305 WETHERBY
BETTING FORECAST: 7/2 Peters Pride, 4/1 Lily Tara, 9/2 Smarties Party, 5/1 Scale Bank, 8/1 Wee Bertie, 9/1 Sprinkler, 16/1 Rimsky Korsakov, 20/1 Kanonkop, Prioryjo, 25/1 Jayne´s Crusader, Seven Stars, 50/1 Present.
Prioryjo now 9/1 and Jaynes Crusader 14/1 in places
Lily Tara slight move into 10/3 fav

315 STHL

BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Wotashirtfull, 5/2 Indian Trail, Swinbrook, 8/1 Regal Royale, 14/1 Orpen Wide.
Swinbook has leapfrogged into fav at 7/4

340 WETH
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Wee Forbees, 9/4 Borora, 11/4 Chrysander, 7/1 Sir Bathwick, 20/1 Mont Misere.
Sir Bathwick 5/1, in places 9/2

415 WETH
BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Terenzium, 7/2 Sundae Best, 9/2 Ajimorag, 13/2 Arctic Rock, 40/1 Big Bertha, 100/1 Haughton Hope, The Dunion.
Big Bertha 18/1 in places

425 STHl
BETTING FORECAST: 9/2 Handsinthemist, 5/1 Meikle Barfil, 11/2 Chantilly Jewel, 6/1 Rann Na Cille, 7/1 Mister Incredible, 8/1 Orange Square, 10/1 Sherjawy, 14/1 Magic Glade, 16/1 North South Divide, Our Fugitive, 33/1 She Who Dares Wins.
North sOUth 7/1

31/3 MARKET MOVERS

31/3

I needn't have worried really yesterday - all shortlisters ran as expected - too cautious on my part initially, but I did get involved in Presque Perdre after a late non runner made his job very easy

230 WETHERBY
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Bow School, 5/4 Hi Dancer, 20/1 Barneys Lyric, 25/1 Etoile D´Or.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: BOW SCHOOL and Hi Dancer look well clear of the other two. The Johnson candidate has a chance to resume his improvement with a change back in underfoot conditions and is the more persuasive as a chaser

Very obvious this one - 2 fancied versus 2 outsiders for 2 places. Will the jollies finish 1 and 2? The only concern will be fallers I would suspect 1.22 the pair to place is enticing as long as we can belive the outsiders will run to their prices and there'll be no fallers


240 STHL
BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Rebel Duke, 4/1 Cheveton, 11/2 Tournedos, 6/1 Ebraam, Whiskey Creek, 8/1 Tajneed, 16/1 Pawan, 20/1 Foxy Music, Stoneacre Lad.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A well-run race in prospect but it usually pays to race up with the pace over this C&D and REBEL DUKE (nap) looks to have plenty in his favour from the widest stall with the cheekpieces he wore last time when ridden less prominently than usual taken off. David Nicholls fields two interesting runners but it's debateable whether either will be ideally suited by conditions and Cheveton could be the one for the forecast with his yard having been among the winners of late.[GN]

I like the live market move for Rebel Duke into 7/4 and red across the board ( indicating being backed on the betting site)
Concern? 5 furlong handicap

255 FOLK
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Hi Shinko, 5/2 Aahaygirl, 3/1 The Scorching Wind, 20/1 Miss Pusey Street, Thoosa, 25/1 Fravia, 33/1 Chris´s Jem, Wightgold.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A modest-looking maiden. Aahaygirl isn't progressing and this should be well within the grasp of HI SHINKO who was unfortunate not to bag a win last year. The Scorching Wind is by far the most interesting of the remainder.[AC]

8 runners down to 7, more importantly the non runner is the 3rd market leader and one of 3 initially under 20/1
Surely this leaves the front 2 miles clear? If still 3 the place, then they have outsistnding place opportunities
CAution - this is a maiden - fav coming back from a near 5 month layoff 1.13 and 1.21 to place the front 2

330 FOLKSTONE
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Invincible Miss, 7/2 River Rye, 4/1 Special Cuvee, 6/1 Paymaster In Chief, 7/1 Elusive Ronnie, 33/1 Fancy Set, Tallulah´s Secret, 50/1 Incy Wincy, 100/1 Snoozing.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A good opportunity for INVINCIBLE MISS who is markedly down in class after two creditable efforts on Polytrack for her new yard this year and will be suited by the drop back in trip.[AC]

Fav now out - initially 5 only under 33/1 , now it's 4 and River Rye may be a good place candidate as default favourite? 1.35 to place

405 FOLK
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Equipe De Nuit, 2/1 Imaam, 14/1 Aahaygran, Avertitop, If Only, 20/1 Fuzzy Cat, Independent James, 25/1 Sams Spirit, 50/1 Love Allowed, My Flame, 66/1 Mr Rev, Stylish Mover, 100/1 Admiral Arry, Straboe.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: On all known form this is likely to concern only Imaam and EQUIPE DE NUIT (nap). The Dunlop colt became expensive to follow last year so preference has to be for the latter who could prove a decent acquisition for Stuart Williams.[AC]

Fav now a non runner -surely leaves David Bowie's missus, Imaam, one of only 2 originally under 14/1 in the ebtting forecast?

Not run since Sept 2008, and turned over twice at 2/5 odds previously BUT basing purely on the market, must have an outstanding place only chance? 1.16 to place

445 WETHERBY
BETTING FORECAST: 4/7 Pairc Na Gcapall, 5/1 Canada Street, 6/1 Manbow, 8/1 Dawn Ride, 20/1 Major Belle.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: PAIRC NA GCAPALL is the obvious place to turn after his Huntingdon win nine days ago and that is far from being the only piece of form this season that gives him a fine chance in this small field. Canada Street is feared most.[RA]

PRice gapper here, but 3 miler and 2 places and a handicap. Should be competitive for the place. Major Belle clear outsider at 33/1 1.34 to place

SHORTLISTERS
230 WETHERBY - Front 2 look to have this race between them barring a faller or a run out, or unseating rider.
TAke your choice really. Bow school pulled up on soft ground last time out - if that is the only reason for the pullin up, then today's ground will suit. Both horses don't stand out as eye popping form wise so we must assume the 2 outsiders are not that good.
1.22 is a great price, difficult to chose which horse, will probably go with market leader in the live market, currently Hi Dancer

255 FOLKSTONE - yes the flat is upon us - maidens galore at Folkstone, and conundrums regarding horses coming back from long layoffs but who showed something last time out.
In a race of 3 under 20/1 in the betting forecast, one of those 3 is a non runner. Hi Shinko appeals to me, having run in a class 2 last time out (hence the 8 in the form) - prior to that, placed very regularly. THe live market is key in all maidens but probability wise, and taking my initial cues from the betting forecaster, Hi Shinko looks primed to place at a reasonable 1.13 (still 3 places)

405 FOLKSTONE - another maiden ,but a nother race where I could take my cues from the betting forecaster. Originally only 2 under 14/1, only one remains now, and that's Imaam, who has placed regularly BUT is coming back after a concerted period off. Still, a price gapper, odds on, and could place at least 1.16

445 WETHERBY
I don't like shorties in handicaps but this one's form looks progressive. Pairc Na Gcapall, 1st last time out, 5 runner field, one clear outsider. Needs to beat 2 horses to place only (2 the place) 1.35 is very appealing but tells us this is a 3 miler+ over obstacles and fav has 7lb penalty
Form of opposition littered with p's and f's which is a contrast to the 54521 progressive profile of the fav.
Might be worth a chance at the prices

ONE A DAY

Tricky today - maidens coming back from a few months layoff - how much of original ability is retained? That's the question.
Hi Shinko is one such horse and 1.16 looks a good price to place if retaining ability. Elsewhere, the jumpers offers better odds, a 2 horse race initially - simply toss a coin and at 1.22 you get a decent shout with either Bow School and Hi Dancer, who simply have to beat the clear outsiders to place
pairc Na Gcapall at 1.35 looks highly progressive and is a big price to place in a 5 horse race with one clear outsider at 33/1 in the live market. The question you must ask is ,will this horse get beaten by 2 other horses and thus not place? A clear price gap indicates maybe not!!

31/3

I needn't have worried really yesterday! I did get involved in PResque Perdre's race after a late withdrawal made life even easier for the market leaders

30/3 MARKET MOVERS

I will back all horses SP 5/1 and under. Current 38% strike rate

210 NEWC

BETTING FORECAST: 4/1 Particle, Pay On, 5/1 Finbin, 6/1 Glen Rouge, 12/1 Kinfayre Boy, Pistol At Dawn, 14/1 Harrison´s Star, Murphys Beau, 16/1 Edkay, Rexmehead, 20/1 Calm Seas, 25/1 Ebac, Galapagos Islands, 33/1 Abbey Minster, Luzenie, Silver Destiny.
CAlm seas and ABbey minster (14/1 and 16/1)

220 WOLVES

BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Smokey Rye, 4/1 Red Rudy, 9/2 Gasat, 8/1 Lady Aspen, 10/1 The London Gang, 16/1 Almora Guru, Turkish Sultan, 33/1 Keen As Mustard, Opening Hand.
Casat non runner = Smokey Rye now 10/11

250 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Desperate Dan, 7/2 Another Socket, 9/2 Orpen´s Art, 8/1 Fizzlephut, 10/1 Albero Di Giuda, 16/1 Rann Na Cille, 20/1 Ben, Distant Vision, Spanish Ace, 25/1 Nordic Light, 33/1 Sandy Par.
ALberto 6/1 in places and Rann 8/1

320 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 4/1 Colour Of Money, 5/1 Kabis Amigos, 8/1 August Gale, Bold Diva, Imperial Sword, Jord, 10/1 Imperial Djay, Mountain Pass, 12/1 Inka Dancer, 14/1 Rio L´Oren, 16/1 Copper King, 20/1 Outer Hebrides.
FAv now 9/4 in places, August GAle now 7/2 and OUter Hebrides now 11/1

340 NEWC
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Presque Perdre, 5/4 Dancing Dik, 12/1 Gavroche Gaugain, 16/1 Bardolet, 20/1 Tipsy Dara, 50/1 Classic Henri, 100/1 Just Maddie, Lady Anne Nevill, 150/1 Born To Frill, Silveretta.
Each way thieves on Bardolet 8/1?

400 LING
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Set The Trend, 5/1 Geneva Geyser, Takeover Bid, 6/1 Belated Silver, Cool Art, 10/1 Auld Arty, Grand Honour, 14/1 Cyflymder.
Set the trend now 11/10

410 NEWC
BETTING FORECAST: 4/1 Dawn Ride, General Hardi, Scott´s Mill, 5/1 Yankee Holiday, 7/1 Sands Rising, 9/1 Presenting Alf, 10/1 Trisons Star, 20/1 Sound Of Cheers, 25/1 Glacial Rambler, 33/1 Day Du Roy.
Sound of cheers 10/1

440 NEWC
BETTING FORECAST: 5/1 Karmadice, Viscount Rossini, 8/1 Farne Island, Painted Sky, 9/1 High Stand Lad, 10/1 Bob´s Dream, Pontop, 14/1 Mix N Match, Sendali, Treeko, 16/1 Mighty Magnus, 20/1 Prosecco, Rennington Blue, 25/1 Ella Woodcock, Follow On, Smart Street, 33/1 Realism.
2 non runners but High stand lad now fav at 9/2 and Treeko 5/1

500 LING
BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Bee Stinger, 100/30 Murrin, 9/2 Lopinot, 6/1 Marmooq, 7/1 Solent Ridge, Wavertree Warrior, 10/1 My Shadow.

Murrin slight move into 5/2 fav

530 LING

BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Wunder Strike, 4/1 Dark Ranger, 9/2 Everaard, 10/1 Alternative Choice, Lucky Fortune, 12/1 Kamanja, Maison D´Or, 16/1 Crystallize, 20/1 Persian Tomcat, 25/1 Kaiser Willie, 33/1 Floods Of Tears, Michelle.
Kamanja 8/1

30/3

Germany half time/fulltime at 1.13 - I'm still laughing! Bet of the century.
2-0 within 9 minutes!
220 WOLVES

BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Smokey Rye, 4/1 Red Rudy, 9/2 Gasat, 8/1 Lady Aspen, 10/1 The London Gang, 16/1 Almora Guru, Turkish Sultan, 33/1 Keen As Mustard, Opening Hand.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Gasat and Red Rudy have claims at the weights and the former should make a bold bid from the front, but SMOKEY RYE was unlucky in running last time and can gain compensation on these favourable term

Fav now odds on but this is an apprentice claiming stakes! 1.17 -3 places
230 LING

BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Kipchak, 9/2 Spent, 5/1 Fun In The Sun, 10/1 Red Current, Zabeel House, 16/1 Fairly Honest, 33/1 Funky Town.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The weights of this race favour KIPCHAK, who has won both his starts over C&D, and he can beat Fun In The Sun and Red Current.[AC] kipchak now 1/2 but this is a class 6 seller and only 2 the place - 1.14 340 NEWC BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Presque Perdre, 5/4 Dancing Dik, 12/1 Gavroche Gaugain, 16/1 Bardolet, 20/1 Tipsy Dara, 50/1 Classic Henri, 100/1 Just Maddie, Lady Anne Nevill, 150/1 Born To Frill, Silveretta. SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Bardolet and Gavroche Gaugain are possibles for handicaps in the coming weeks but this looks between Presque Perdre and DANCING DIK. Both have plenty going for them but the latter, a sound jumper who would have been quite a bit better on the Flat, is taken to come on again from his Wetherby win.[EMW] Will the 1-2 in the ebtting finish in the first 3 at the end? 1.08 and 1.13 400 LING BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Set The Trend, 5/1 Geneva Geyser, Takeover Bid, 6/1 Belated Silver, Cool Art, 10/1 Auld Arty, Grand Honour, 14/1 Cyflymder. SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Likely there is plenty more to come from SET THE TREND, who looked a useful prospect when making a successful debut in a C&D maiden last month, and he can make a successful handicap debut.[ Now 11/10 and strong in the market but a handicap debutant, but 3 the place 1.29 the place 430 LING BETTING FORECAST: Evs Big Bound, 4/1 Wadaat, 11/2 Gilded Age, 12/1 Charlie Smirke, Crag Path, Hard Ball, 16/1 Lennie Briscoe, 20/1 Solo Choice, 25/1 Gulf President, 66/1 Red Margarita. SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The step up in trip is expected to suit BIG BOUND, a grandson of Irish Leger winner Eurobird, and he can fulfil his juvenile promise and provide John Gosden with another winner.[AC] AS with the majority of races today, niggles about race type - this is a maiden Fav has had 2 runs only 1.14 SHORTLIST All races are niggly today - shorties in sellers, maidens, top heavy market 2 the field novice hurdles , and even apprentice claiming stakes - YIKES! No bet for me today for the one a day place onlys. Yes, one of the above will surely place but the race types are offputting. I'll still make my target profit per day, using Fairbot probably laying to fixed liability in running, dutching, that sort of thing

Kipchak

28/3

Again simply a matter of making the right choice yesterday with Tasheba winning and Indefensible unseating rider at the very start of the race.
Just place only today as market movers on a Saturday are not that good

215 NAD AL SHEEBA
BETTING FORECAST: 2/5 Desert Party, 10/1 Naval Officer, 12/1 Jose Adan, 16/1 Redding Colliery, Regal Ransom, Soy Libriano, 20/1 So Shiny, 25/1 Balcarce Nov, Lelah Dorak, Ra Junior, 66/1 Paso De Gloria, 100/1 I Am The Best, 200/1 Muy Ponderado.

Prior to this race there are a couple of jumps races with 2 standouts at the head of the market. As we've seen in the last few days, these types of races, with 2 real short favs, rarely finish with them both placing so I will leave alone

Here we have Frankie Dettori and Said Bin Suroor on a very short priced hot pot - going purely by the price gap, looks one to shortlist, although being a group 2, the opposition are strong 1.17 quite a decent price

230 NAVAN
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Pistol Flash, 3/1 Earth Mother, 5/1 Moonlight Sapphire, 6/1 Tally Em Up, 7/1 No Stopping Sarah, 8/1 Never A Secret, Pay The Ferryman, 10/1 End Of The Affair, Sinfonietta, 12/1 College Daisy, 14/1 Eventide, Highheelsnhandbags, Polka Dot, 16/1 Bincas Beauty, Hepburn Bell, 20/1 Bravada, Glin View Princess, Loughaderra Dame, Soprani Supreme, 25/1 Friendsofmine, 33/1 Damaconi, Josie James, Maolisa, 50/1 Ballynafagh Lady, Finn Og, Gans Pride, Run For Fun, Tulipa Negra, What´s Up Bett, Zaffy Pidgeon.

Flagged up last time under Ruby, Earth Mother has come 2nd 4 times, BUT as with Indefensible yesterday, a 30 runner field may allow for some unavoidable collisions and hampering which can't be foreseen. 1.27 in an illiquid market

250 LING
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Eradicate, 100/30 Enfant De Lune, 15/2 Stage Acclaim, 17/2 Valento, 10/1 Zarrafakt, 12/1 Coin Of The Realm, Super Directa, 20/1 Costa Courta, Dr Brass, 33/1 Sotik Star, 40/1 Katalak, Tewkesbury, 50/1 Tecktal, 66/1 Basis Point, 100/1 Our George.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: ERADICATE was turned over at 1-3 last time but even that form makes this formerly useful Flat-racer a leading player and, if back to the level shown winning well on his hurdles debut at Taunton in January, he will be tough to beat. Enfant de Lune and Stage Acclaim look his most dangerous rivals. [MCu]

Place only selection last time, again under Barry Geraghty 1.26 to place

300 KEMP

BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Cape Express, 7/1 Whitcombe Minister, 10/1 Stand Guard, 12/1 Swiss Act, 14/1 Brouhaha, Greylami, Opera Prince, 16/1 Albaqaa, Grand Passion, King Olav, Robby Bobby, 20/1 Bazergan, Big Robert, Sweet Lightning, 33/1 Baylini, 50/1 Tamimi´s History.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Cape Express will be popular as he bids to emulate stablemate Philatelist 12 months ago and he remains open to plenty of improvement after just three starts. Whitcombe Minister looks well handicapped still and were it not for an awkward draw he would make lots of appeal, but the vote goes to SWEET LIGHTNING, who looks well treated on the pick of last season's efforts and should appreciate a strong pace at this trip.[PSm]

Price gapper looks solid in the live market but 16 runners and middle distance means he could get trapped in, misjudge the pace etc 1.37 to place

345 UTTOX
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Predateur, 7/4 Sandhurst, 11/2 Personal Column, 12/1 Ortega, 50/1 Smiling Applause,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This should be a fabulous opportunity for Predateur but he gives off too many off-putting signals for any great confidence in him converting. With Personal Column out of sorts of late, this may therefore be destined for SANDHURST despite doubts over the suitability of this shorter trip.[RA]

Interesting. Only 3 remains - the 2 favs and Ortega. So, they both only need to beat original 12/1 shot Ortega to place! 1.11 and 1.24

400 LING

BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Lodge Lane, 11/4 Fair Point, 9/2 Backbord, 11/2 Quickbeam, 7/1 Russian Around, 12/1 King Jack, 40/1 Coffee Morning, 50/1 Knockarron.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A peak-form Lodge Lane would have strong claims but he comes with definite risks attached after his two latest efforts and he is now tried in first-time blinkers. Preference is for FAIR POINT, who might well have found a big field upped to 4m round Cheltenham too much last time but whose earlier two efforts over fences established him as a decent novice. [MCu]

The straight 8, 2 clear outsiders and Fair Point leapfrogged into favouriatism 1.34 to place fair point

SHORTLIST
To include the footy today which should be reliable given it's internationals and NOT friendlys
Argentina v Venezuala 1.19 late this evening
Germany are 1.02 to beat Liechtenstein and the arrival of the Correct score 2 market on Betfair signals the expectation of Germany scoring more than 4 goals
Germany to win both halves is 1.15. Half time full time is a massive 1.13 (considering it's 1.01 to back Germany in the match odds market)
Over 2.5 goals is 1.15
England are 1.29 to beat Slovakia
Speaking as someone living in IReland, I expect tonight's clash to beat as tight as a gnat's chuff, to quote Viz. The Republic are without Duff who has been great for them, and may find goal scoring dificult tonight

215 NAD A L SHEEBA
Desert Party ,at 1.17, looks primed under Frankie. BUT this is a highly competitive race and the horse is up in trip, albeit by one mile, BUT very short odds horses in group 2's with big price gaps rarely run out of the places

345 UTTOXETER - 3 horse race - 2 market leaders and an originally 12/1 outsider remain. Still 2 places - Predateur - the fav at 1.11 and Sandhurst 1.24

ONE A DAY
As this is purely about ONE A DAY betting ,regardless of the arena, 1.13 for Germany to win at halftime/fulltime is irresistible - 1.01 in the win market - the Correct score 2 market is up - goals are expected. One goal before half time to no reply and the bet is in.