22/2

All one a day shortlisted mentions placed yesterday and Heerenveen won 3-1 -good analysis there - they scored 2 or more AGAIN at home.
barca - well it was get out at a loss time once one of their players was sent off, given I had mentioned the tight head to heads with Espanyol. Barca lost - is it any coincidence this is prior to a Champions League match? Must have been some big boys rested

210 FONT
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Alfie Sherrin, 9/2 Ballycarney, 5/1 St Killian´s Run, 7/1 Aussie Deal, 9/1 Richard´s Sundance, 10/1 Little Al, 16/1 John Fenton, 100/1 Lyrical Chant, Optimum Asset, Toomuchinformation, 150/1 Drombeg Pride, Path To Glory.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: It would be no surprise if Paul Nicholls were to take first and second here, with promising hurdles debutant ALFIE SHERRIN preferred to St Killian's Run. Ballycarney, who is on an upward curve, is the one most likely to spoil the party for Nicholls.[DH]

Fav considerably shorter in live market and only 2 sub 10/1 1.1 and 1.48 to palce

230 TOWCESTER
BETTING FORECAST: 9/2 Miss Phoebe, Sherbet Lemon, 13/2 Bethebestyoucanbe, 7/1 Leprechaun´s Gold, 8/1 That´s For Sure, 12/1 Lightening Fire, Ruling Reef, 14/1 Poliglotti, Speedy Directa, Tudor Buck, 16/1 Hector Barbossa, Olivino, 25/1 Biscar Two, Sean Og, 33/1 Florindalus, 40/1 Colemanstown, Purr.

Sean Og 12/1

240 FONT
BETTING FORECAST: 2/5 Kicks For Free, 7/2 Sound Accord, 11/2 Mount Sandel.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: KICKS FOR FREE is ideally served by a shorter trip than this but his smart form over fences is a good way in advance of what his two rivals can offer and, granted a clear round, he is very likely to win with something to spare. The other two have won over C&D this winter, with Sound Accord looking the better forecast option with his triumph coming in a stronger race than that won by Mount Sandel last time. [MCu]
2 to place 1.11 to place is relativvely interesting given 1) the horse only has to put in a clear round ie not fall and 2) only 1 to beat to place

300 TOW
BETTING FORECAST: 4/9 Aachen, 9/2 Kilvergan Boy, 6/1 Neil Harvey, 16/1 King Raven, 20/1 My Friend Sandy, 25/1 Phoenix Ice, 40/1 Snurgecal, 100/1 Jolly Cooper.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Connections of AACHEN seem keen to give him more hurdling experience on the run up to Cheltenham, where he holds a couple of major entries, and this will be his third outing within just over two weeks. He looks a good prospect and is taken to see off C&D winners Kilvergan Boy and Neil Harvey.[SB]

Neil Harvey now 7/2 1.34 to place with the fav 1.14 to place. I'm not too keen on betting at Towcester given the hill.

3 only under 16/1
8 horse race -3 the place

320 LING
BETTING FORECAST: 7/2 Desert Lark, 4/1 Itsawindup, 5/1 Miss Understanding, 13/2 Golden Square, 7/1 Sir Haydn, 10/1 Dynamo Dave, Tunder Bool, 16/1 Ma Ridge, 25/1 Pembo, Postage, 33/1 Desert Rat, 50/1 Dickie Deano, Prima Fonteyn, Stroppi Poppi.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Few of these make any appeal but recent handicap winner ITSAWINDUP just about sets the standard in this weaker grade. Desert Lark and Miss Understanding have solid place claims, along with Golden Square. [SM]

Desert Rat now 4/1!!

355 LING
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Can Can Star, 4/1 Alpes Maritimes, Planetary Motion, 6/1 Mafeking, 7/1 Ruff Diamond, 16/1 Cold Turkey, Eton Fable,
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Can Can Star is unbeaten in four starts over C&D this winter and should go well despite a 5lb rise for his latest victory. However, he's taken on with ALPES MARITIMES, who has slipped to a fair mark and shaped with much more encouragement in the cheekpieces last time. [RY]

8 down to 6 - can the fav still place and is it still 3 to place? 3 to be placed and 1.30 to place is relatively big for a relative price gapper

415 FONT
BETTING FORECAST: 8/13 Royal Auclair, 7/2 Herecomestanley, 7/1 Honourable Spider, 12/1 Harrycone Lewis, 20/1 El Hombre Del Rio, 25/1 Derawar.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: ROYAL AUCLAIR is the class act in the field and can earn his place in the Foxhunter line-up at Cheltenham by confirming recent Sandown superiority over Herecomestanley with the much longer trip favouring him.[DH]

Only 3 under 20/1 and a Cheltenham bound hot pot - but only 2 the place 1.27

425 LING
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Harty Boy, 7/2 Hawkspring, Why Nee Amy, 10/1 Cash In The Attic, Cognac Boy, Kinigi, 20/1 Chantilly Dancer, 50/1 Sweet Virginia.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Hawkspring and Why Nee Amy are interesting but the one that appeals most is HARTY BOY, who has shown clear signs of ability in maidens and will appreciate this drop in grade. [RY]

Fav solid in the market 1.16 to place

ONE A DAY
FOOTY

15:30
Ajax vs Volendam
1/7

17:00
Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor
1/6

HORSES
Some Cheltenham hotpots getting a run out prior to the festival. Kicks for free at 1.11 stands out -right connections, right jockey, one to beat and 1/3 in the win market.
Tartan bearer attests to the fact there is no such thing as a sure thing, and as seen with Kauto star ( a previus place only selection ) horses can fall over obstacles but he's well worth bet today.

At bigger prices ,Neil HArvey at 1.34 - is the move into 7/2 significant? Royal Auclair - apparently the class act in the field and 1.27 BUT 2 places only

On the footy, Ajax lok primed to get them scoring boots on again - 3 losses, a draw and a win in their last 5 games may hint at a dip in form 5 wins , 2 draws and a loss at home recently,
Only 4 wins and 3 draws all seasaon for the opponents - drawn 2 of last 4 away , losing the others
HEad to heads - 2-1 in previous encounter to Ajax

Gala have won all bar 2 home games this season, drawing the other 2 so have not lost at home. Last 4 games, won 1 ,lost 1 drawn 2 not rock solid
Opponents have lost all away fixtures this season and drawn 2
6 losses and 1 win in last 7 games
HEAD TO HADS - 4-1 in corresponding fixture
Looks a good bet both of these today instead of the gee gee's BUT bear in mind, there were many shortie casualties yesterday from Bayern to Arsenal to Barca, so I would chosse the one with the ebtter profile -Gala forme