14/10

The 2 highlighted races produced places for the market leaders and perhaps I was a bit over cautious
300 HUNTINGDON
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Tempsford, 9/2 Inmate, 5/1 She´s Humble, 6/1 Pharanto, 8/1 Happily Ever After, Lady Roania, 14/1 Gemini Storm, 25/1 Brahms And Mist.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: All of these have something to prove on one count or another. Tempsford is probably the most likely winner but he's not one to be taking shortish odds about and perhaps HAPPILY EVER AFTER can take a big step forward now faced with fences

One outsider here who can hopefully be discounted - 8 runner race - 3 the place - Tempsford looks a likely place candidate - price gap still remains in the live market - AP on board 2.68 and 1.37 the place

330
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Billie Magern, 7/4 Answer Me, 15/2 Sea Cliff, 14/1 Regal Quote, 20/1 Northern Lad, 25/1 Bob Shilling, 33/1 Three Thieves.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: BILLIE MAGERN (nap) probably bumped into something quite useful at Southwell and he can take care of Answer Me

Down to 6 runners - looks a 2 horse race ( 3 at a stretch) - 2 the place - which of the market leaders will place?

Billie Magern » £0.00	1.94
Answer Me » £0.00	2.98

Billie Magern » £0.00, £0.00	1.27
Answer Me » £0.00, £0.00	1.42

430
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Ocean Du Moulin, 4/1 Ladino, Lyes Green, Scots Dragoon, 11/2 Commemoration Day, 200/1 Snitton Salvo.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: If okay over the fences then LYES GREEN should be capable of troubling Ocean Du Moulin on these terms, as Oliver Sherwood's inmate had a bit of class about him over hurdles when on his game.

i include here as a race I would avoid if contemplating the fav to place - 2 the place and 3 horses in close proximity who are priced to be competitive - 3.8 and 1.97 -

140 LEIC - GOOD TO SOFT AT LEICESTER - MAY TURN SOFT AS THE DAY PROGRESSES?
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Emirates Roadshow, 4/1 Dancourt, 9/2 Bravo Echo, 8/1 Prohibition, Takeover Bid, 10/1 Barbarian, 12/1 Alpha Tauri, 16/1 Kiwi Moon, 20/1 Devil To Pay, 25/1 King Of Defence, 33/1 Night Knight, 66/1 Shy Prophet, 100/1 Billy Smart, Timbaa.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The market suggested better was expected of Alpha Tauri, Bravo Echo and Prohibition on their debuts so no surprise if they can better those efforts while Dancourt and Takeover Bid are interesting newcomers, but the percentage call is EMIRATES ROADSHOW to provide Godolphin with yet another winner in their current purple patch

Interesting race - Prohibition has come for money - Godolphin have been solid this season - Frankie on the fav - 5 horses at 40/1 or over - a number of debutants and I wont chance this one to place

Emirates Roadshow » £0.00	2.78
Prohibition » £0.00	5.5

Emirates Roadshow » £0.00, £0.00	1.37
Prohibition » £0.00, £0.00	1.93

210
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Al Marmoom, 7/2 King´s Song, 5/1 Box Office, 12/1 Play It Sam, Troubletimestwo, 14/1 Silvador, 16/1 Marju King, Mr Prolific, 25/1 Notker, 33/1 Kaiser Willie, Mister Standfast, 50/1 Ask Dan, Big Nige, 100/1 Short Sharp Shock.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The weaker-looking of the two divisions and the 600,000euros purchase King's Song is an interesting newcomer, but he is likely to come into his own over much longer trips and this looks another for Godolphin with AL MARMOOM (nap) who made an encouraging debut at Newbury last month when Marju King, Kaiser Willie and Silvador were well behind

Another Godolphin favourite - hardened to 11/10 -4 debutants and a number of horses who have only had the one run and so are open to improvement - 7 of the 14 are 40/1 or greater - can we trust in these odds as being a true reflection of these horse's chances? 2.12 / 1.23

310
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Absent Pleasure, 5/2 Akhenaten, 7/1 High Alert, 10/1 Gyr, Versaki, 12/1 Indian Art, 14/1 Carnaby Haggerston, 66/1 Confucius Captain.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Form pick Akhenaten is being kept very busy and he may prove vulnerable to ABSENT PLEASURE, who is much better than his close third in a Newmarket nursery last time suggests and whose previous maiden win over Huntdown (third in Middle Park), Kingship Spirit (winner of valuable Newmarket sales race) and Adorn (fourth in Cheveley Park) has been well advertised. 2 outsiders in this 8 runner race ( 3 the place) mean there's 6 horses who should vye for the 3 places - 2 obvious candidates in the first 2 in the betting Absent Pleasure » £0.00 2.56 Akhenaten » £0.00 4.7 Absent Pleasure » £0.00, £0.00 1.3 Akhenaten » £0.00, £0.00 1.69 340 BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Ghaidaa, 7/2 Dream Day, 6/1 Kylayne, 7/1 Annie Skates, Born Tobouggie, 66/1 Casino Night. SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Question marks over most of these and GHAIDAA who has run well when third in Listed events at Sandoiwn and Ascot on her last two starts is the one runner clearly in the up, but a muddling gallop over this trip would not be ideal. Another price gapper whose gap has increased in the live market - one outsider means 5 runners for 2 places 1.72 / 1.29 HEAVY GROUND AT NEWCASTLE 350 BETTING FORECAST: 1/5 Princess Rainbow, 8/1 The Little Master, 10/1 Starbougg, 14/1 Ice Bellini, 33/1 Golondrina, Kiss Me Hardy, 40/1 Carlton Mac, 66/1 Glamoroso, SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: PRINCESS RAINBOW is unlikely to have to reproduce what she showed at Leicester to take advantage of what looks a good opportunity in a very weak end-of-season maiden Very obvious indeed this one of course but how will heavy ground affect things? End of season maiden - BUT the fav has also run creditably on soft grond 1.3 / 1.07 ONE A DAY Princess Rainbow is an obvious candidate of course, and when they're obvious ,well, its reflected in the price BILLIE MAGERN'S RACE FOR ME today primarily because there are so many apparent outsiders -ONLY 2 the place so live market favourite to place for me ( looks like BILLIE MAGERN) Tempsford would be another candidate to place but I'll stick to the above race