back-lay-trade-horses-football: 3/10

Excellent message for those who sniffed around. The number 3 was significant for Fenerbache's game and they won 3-0. Enhanced bet in Celtic match - -backable at 1.45 1-0 down and as high as 1.78. Enhanced bet on Rangers too. Sunderland v Man Utd v interesting. Score draws the order of the day for these 2 and this sequence was broken by a no score draw.
Fleetwood let me down in the shortlist of the shortlist -they scored first but had a man sent off. If this was in running, we could have profitted from that goal scored first.

Out of office bets? How about Zenyatta 1215am Oaktree going for 19 wins in a row? She did it!
Watch out for these out of hours bet ( Ajax is another with an 1130am kick off.)

130pm - AZ Alkmaar v Heracles - 1.48 home - Heracles have lost all 4 away matches this season but my concern is AZ's sparcity of goals.They have scored 1 only in each of their matches this season, meaning they could be reliant on 1-0 wins , or 1-1 draws if they cannot conjure up that 2nd goal.
130pm - Lugano v Biel - 1.42 home - Biel won last head to head so leave this alone.
130pm - Twente v Groningen - 1.57 home - 4 draws and 3 wins for Twente. 2 draw sequence currently DWD at home so far so perhaps not the ideal betting medium just yet.
3 draws have been 0-0 but last draw was 2-2 v Ajax. 3 draws and 4 wins for Groningen. Draws against Ajax and PSV show they can tackle the big boys this season.
0-0, 4-0, 2-1 - away draw, 2 home wins in last 3 head to heads .
230pm - Estonia U19 v Liechtenstein U19 - 1.11 - poor old Liechtenstein - and Arsenal think they have defensive problems! 2-1 in 2009 match but Liechtenstein have conceded 5,7,4,6,4 in the matches after that 2-1 defeat to Estonia.
3pm - Liverpool v Blackpool - 1.31 home - 6 of Blackpool's 7 matches this season have seen over 2.5 goals - the other match was 2-0 but the 2nd goal came in the 89th minute making it untradeable.
Liverpool are unbeaten at home. They have drawn 2 and won 1 - both draws have been score draws.1 win, 3 draws, 2 losses for Liverpool so far this season.
Blackpool have lost 3, drawn 1 and won 2.
2 wins and 2 losses away from home. Chelsea and Arsenal both battered Blackburn - can Liverpool, once one of the top 4, do the same? 2 game losing streak for Blackpool - reality hitting perhaps?
330pm - PSV v VVV - 1.15 home - PSV have scored first in 5 of their 7 matches this season making them good for trading. 3 wins and a draw at home this season. WDDD in the last 4 head to heads sounds a note of caution but the win was the most recent head to head - 4-2. THe draws were score draws so perhaps over 1.5 goals is a safer option as it includes both sides.
3 draws in their last 4 matches is not good enough if they want to win the league - dropping 6 points there.
Last 2 matches have been draws and this must surely end this afternoon?
5 losses and 2 wins ( both wins at home) for VVV. 3 losses away from home and lost 2-1 at home to Twente ( who should be a good gauge)
Asian handicaps start at +2 which augurs well for goals.
1.12 for over 1.5 goals.
5pm - Dinamo Zagreb v Istra - 1.12 home - Croatian top flight. Just match odds on Betfair. 0-0 and 7-1 head to heads in 2009 - priced today to replicate the 7-1 I hope.
Only loss in last 12 was in Europa League.Istra have only won 1 of their last 12 and that was in the league.
5pm - FC Copenhagen v Randers - 1.4 home - 1-0 home win for Randers last time out in head to heads. Lost previous 2 at FC Copenhagen.
Copenhagen are beaten this season. At home, they have drawn 2 matches, their only 2 draws.
6 draws, 2 wins, 2 losses for Randers. 5 away draws out of 5 away matches for Randers signals a degree of caution, or if backing Copenhagen, perhaps a need to trade if they lead at any stage.
6pm - Barcelona v Mallorca - 1.19 home - 4 wins and a loss for Barca. Have won their last 3 matches since the shock home loss to Hercules.
Mallorca at home remain strong but away have lost their last 2 matches without scoring.
Barca have won the last 2 matches in head to heads including a 4-2 win at home.
8pm - Real Madrid v Deportivo - 1.19 home 2/2 at home so far for Real. Worryingly there have been 2 0-0's and a 1-0 ( 0-0's away from home though)
Will have prior info on Barca score to incentivise them
1-3 ( away win), 3-2, 1-0 last 3 head to heads all went Real's way.
3 draws 2 losses for Deportivo so far. DDDLL - away from home, 0-0 and 1-0 (loss) so perhaps they are defensive?

110 LONGCHAMP
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Helleborine, 3/1 Miss Fifty, 9/2 Galikova, 8/1 Mambia, 20/1 Danedream, 25/1 Misty For Me, 33/1 Nitza, Rainbow Springs.

DIOMED VERDICT: Goldikova's half-sister Galikova is a fascinating prospect while Moyglare Stud winner Misty For Me should be a major player if handling the ground, but HELLEBORINE has done all that has been asked of her and looked a high-class prospect when winning a Group 3 over C&D on soft last time.

8 runners and 4 only under 16/1 should be the ones to focus on. A high class field and the word " potential " springs to mind with one or 2. Johnny Murtagh comes over on Arc day for Misty for Me who looks to be a huge mover into 5/2 2nd fav ( or was the betting forecaster just miles off with his forecast?)

130 UTTOXETER
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Front Of House, 5/1 Newyearsresolution, 6/1 Call Me Bill, 7/1 Himayna, 10/1 Code Blue, Cotswold Charmer, 50/1 Lambrini Classic, Middleton Red.

DIOMED VERDICT: Despite reservations about the ground FRONT OF HOUSE appeals as the most likely winner.

Conditional jockeys - possible ground concerns - 2 miles 6 furlongs - all makes for another typical Sunday card.
Front of House has shortened considerably into 1/2 which makes this interesting as it is an 8 runner race for 3 places

145 LONGCHAMP
BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 King Torus, 9/2 Moonlight Cloud, My Name Is Bond, Wootton Bassett, 7/1 Treasury Devil, 8/1 Tin Horse, 16/1 Utley, 20/1 Whipless, 25/1 Maiguri, 33/1 Samuel Morse.

DIOMED VERDICT: A strong British raiding party can come up trumps via the unbeaten WOOTTON BASSETT who will be well suited by the step up to 7f.

If Wootton Bassett takes to the ground, he will be in the thick of it. Very soft ground though is a concern.

240 TIPPERARY
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Seville, 13/8 Triple Eight, 5/1 Obligada, 6/1 Fountain Of Honour, 40/1 Big Bad Lily.

Soft ground - 4 horses and 2 places and a clear outsider should make this a 3 horse race with O'Brien's Seville and Weld/Smullen's Triple eight dominating.

245 HUNTINGDON
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Sircozy, 13/2 Lindsay´s Dream, Lucy´s Perfect, 8/1 Welcome Wonder, 12/1 Dark Ranger, 14/1 Keep Talking, 16/1 Sail And Return, 20/1 Citrus Mark, 40/1 Between Dreams, 50/1 Cherokee Story, Madman,

DIOMED VERDICT: A race that revolves around promising SIRCOZY, who won a C&D maiden on his hurdles debut and has been found a weak race in which to try and follow up in. Lindsay's Dream may be next best.

Price gapper here in this novice hurdle - has already won, can he exploit favourable flat rating?

300 DUNDALK
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Park Avenue, 6/4 Free Art, 8/1 Imperator Augustus, 25/1 Indian Scout, 33/1 Clonmakate Flyer, 50/1 Light The Wad.

6 horses but only 3 under 20/1 should fight the 2 places

425 UTTOXETER
BETTING FORECAST: 3/1 Festival Dreams, 4/1 Dunkelly Castle, 5/1 Bellflower Boy, 6/1 Runshan, 13/2 Benefit Game, 7/1 Aztec Treasure, Hever Road, 16/1 Canon´s Corner, 20/1 Rare Society,

DIOMED VERDICT: Not many solid options, with FESTIVAL DREAMS perhaps the pick after running well over hurdles at Worcester when last seen in June.