Wednesday, 20 October 2010

20/10

***** ONE A DAY -745pm - Barcelona v FC Copenhagen -back barcelona in the match odds at 1.14*****
This takes on the mantle of a must win today for Barca and looks the safer bet today





The 2 mentions yesterday obliged and yet another beginners chase saw another short priced casualty.

Sorry I could not do a full message as I was at the Betfair Trading Course.

130pm - Putnok Varosi v Honved - 1.30 away - Hungarian Cup so only those in the know should get involved. Putnok don't seem to be in any of the major leagues and the only form I have for them is from the cup. Honved are Division 1 - not in running.
2pm -
Germany U17 v Austria U17 - 1.38 home - in running - asians start at +1.Last met 2008 and it was a draw and Austria win so this is a tricky one in which to make an argument for the Germans although logic dictates they should win.
6pm -
AGF v FC Fyn - 1.26 home - did the business for me last time out. Danish Division 2. +1 to + 2 in the asian handicaps. IN RUNNING.
AGF are unbeaten in their last 12 matches - the 3 draws only coming in the last 5 matches.
Fyn lost 7 on the trot , won 3 and drew 2.
6 league wins out of 6 for AGF at home since August 2010.
745pm -
Barcelona v FC Copenhagen - 1.14 home - full complement to choose from for Barca tonight should really see off FC Copenhagen with home advantage. 2 sides in good form domestically although the opponents for Copenhagen are weaker than Barca's. A draw against Rubin Kazan last time out should help backers of Barca tonight in what has become a must win.
745pm -
Man Utd v Bursaspor - 1.26 home - after the insult of a reserve side against Rangers, Fergie must win this home leg against Bursaspor - Drawitis for United recently , 5 draws in the last 8 - they are not losing at least and have not lost in the last 12, I suspect with confidence a little fragile, another 2-0 up and United should be laid to lock in profit. Bursaspor lost 1-0 to Rangers and 4-1 to Valencia in the Champions League and if Rangers can beat Bursaspor , then UNited should do so too.

745pm -
Twente v W Bremen - my immediate thoughts are with over 2.5 goals here.
Feb 2010 saw Werder win 4-1 in the Europa League.
10 of Werder's last 12 games have finished over 2.5 goals ( augurs well for safer over 1.5 goals bet)
8 of Twente's last 12 games have finished over 2.5 goals.
Werder are one of those teams who can score , yet concede at the same time

220 FONTWELL
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4
Present To You, 11/2 Moonwolf, 13/2 Lady Karinga, 8/1 Penchesco, 10/1 Galant Star, 12/1 Balustrade, Dalrymple, 14/1 Kasban, 16/1 Aragall, The Bishops Baby, 25/1 Zuwaar, 33/1 Red Law, 50/1 King Richard, 100/1 Idol Deputy.

DIOMED VERDICT: PRESENT TO YOU has produced enough as a hurdler to suggest he's worth another chance.

Now odds on this fav, I would have liked to have seen him all red , i.e. backed throughout the morning, but that is not the case at time of writing,

No Richard Johnson today ( ridden last 3 times) a slight negative. Novice Hurdle so still has the L plates on

525 NAVAN
BETTING FORECAST: 4/1
Table Mountain, 7/1 Battleoftrafalgar, Wee Giant, 8/1 Alburj, 9/1 A Hit Is A Hit, Romie´s Kastett, 10/1 Dolphin Bay, Laughing Boy, 14/1 Articilitis, 16/1 Brog An Ri, Raise The Rafters, 20/1 Abroad, Burning Sky, Casbah Rock, Evening Rushour, 25/1 All About Timing, Muskatsturm, 33/1 Khan Tengri,

2nd fav a non runner ( and stable mate to the fav), could open the way for Table Mountain to place

750 KEMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Terdaad, 11/4 Mutayaser, 6/1 Puttingonthestyle, 14/1 Aloneinthestreet, Old Possum, 16/1 Midnight Maasai, 25/1 Daa´Iman, 28/1 Talkin Italian, 33/1 Pivot Bridge, 40/1 Ministry, Odin, 50/1 Kuala Limper,

DIOMED VERDICT: This can go to TERDAAD.

Only 3 under 14/1 in the betting forecast is mirrored in the live betting market and the interesting one is Mutayaser who is all red and has been backed all morning, down to 2/1 currently and threatening 15/8

SHORTLIST
6pm - AGF v FC Fyn - 1.26 home - preference for trading this one as it is division 2 and I would hope that AGF would actually make the first breakthrough
745pm - Barcelona v FC Copenhagen - 1.14 home - -thanks to Rubin Kazan, this has an element of the "must wins" about it. Enhance odds with over 2.5 goals. The 1.14 indicates a 2, 3 goal winning margin if Barca play to their optimum and don't meet a
745pm - Man Utd v Bursaspor - 1.26 home - Man Drawnited must win this match today. Bursaspor have drawn their last 2 and Man utd keep drawing too. Faith in Man Utd to get the result -must win their home games.
525 NAVAN - Table Mountain should be able to place for Aiden O'Brien
750 KEMPTON - Mutayaser would be my choice of the 3 under 14/1 to place, but remember this is a maiden .Would need to view the market nearer the off.

SHORTLIST OF THE SHORTLIST
745pm - Barcelona v FC Copenhagen - 1.14 home - a major shock if this is not a home win
750 Kempton -Mutayaser would be my place only choice but given the time I would need to look nearer the 750pm




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Please note there is no guarantee that these selections will win. Gambling is high risk and Canonbury Publishing Ltd and it's writers and editors cannot be held accountable for any monetary losses incurred. Please note that any bets you place are at your own risk.

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