Monday, 5 January 2009

5/1

Another success yesterday. 2 all weather meetings survive today
215 ling
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Fantasy Fighter, 4/1 Elusive Dreams, 6/1 Whiskey Creek, 8/1 Bold Diva, Simpsons Gamble, 10/1 Arfinnit, Magic Glade, 12/1 Stoneacre Pat, 20/1 Szaba.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Fantasy Fighter comes here at the top of his game and should go well but he hasn't always looked the keenest in a finish. Similar sentiments apply to Simpsons Gamble and, perhaps, BOLD DIVA could be the one to side with now back on Polytrack.[PSm]

Now 15/8 in places and placed in the last 5 races. A seemingly competitive handicap 1.46 to place

240 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Golden Bishop, 100/30 Redarsene, 9/2 Singleb, 7/1 Tigerbythetale, 12/1 Bianca Capello, Wusuul, 16/1 Barodine, 20/1 Ardent Prince, Zach´s Harmoney, 25/1 Ten Pole Tudor, 33/1 Weetfromthechaff, 50/1 Bungie, 66/1 The London Gang.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Down at this level Golden Bishop has to be of interest, although the fact that he bled over hurdles two starts ago and was reported to have finished distressed last time is hardly bet compelling, while prolific plating winner Singleb has to stretch his stamina out over this longer trip. In contrast REDARSENE looks solid and has George Baker up.[AC]

The live market shows 5 before 25/1 -a 5 horse race?
A poor class 6 seller!Worth following SPotlight ? Redarsene 1.77 to place Golden Bishop 1.79 to place
Singleb 1.96 to place

315 LING
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Bollin Franny, 5/1 Taboor, 6/1 Fastrac Boy, Green Velvet, Twinned, 8/1 The Magic Blanket, 10/1 Lady Bahia, 12/1 Rightcar Lewis, 33/1 Stoneacre Baby.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The Magic Blanket could do better now he is down in grade but in a race which should be run at a frenetic gallop, the in-form BOLLIN FRANNY could be the one to side with back at 5f.[P

Price gapper in the live market, again another poor class of race and 5 furlongs 2.48 and 1.3 to place - the only horse under evens in the place market by some distance

345 LING
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Majehar, 4/1 Cinematic, 6/1 Kings Topic, Master Pegasus, 8/1 Tabulate, 10/1 Magic Warrior, 12/1 Play Up Pompey.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A decent opportunity for MAJEHAR (nap) to gain compensation for a couple of luckless placed efforts over C&D last month. Kings Topic and Cinematic may prove the main dangers, with slight doubts about Master Pegasus (who could be the only pace in the race) at this trip.[SB

5 runner race now with Cinematic a non runner as well as TAbulate which should surely make Majehar's job a lot easier - he was a price gapper of sorts prior to the non runners
Again 2 the place means we have to be spot on 1.76 / 1.13

A poor day's racing today
Poor class - can they be relied on?

Majehar looks the best prospect in a really poor day's racing and even there are reservations with him - we have to be spot on with 2 the place.

The ideal today would be to following race by race and take advantage of the live betfair market.
Of course there is a potential get out in Blackburn away to Blyth Spartans 1.23 they should oblige and I will get out (if the team news is strong enough) if the first goal scored by BLACKBURN

My focus will turn to Bollin Franny and Majehar today - 1.3 to place for the former is relatively high for my selections and I would want to see support

There will no doubt be a few gambles today on the all weather and if sustained these are worth latching on to for place only purposes.
So Bollin Franny and Majehar for me to focus on and if I am not happy with that then Blackburn Rovers at 1.23 for target profit per day purposes

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