Monday 26 January 2009

26/1

Brave Inca won (and placed naturally!!)

100 KEMP
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Riverside Theatre, 9/4 Al Amaan, 100/30 Hector´s Choice, 7/1 Phoenix Ice, 10/1 Alflora Dora, 25/1 Rockjumper, 33/1 Allfortara, Dehanom, Shipboard Romance, 66/1 Balableu, 100/1 Farmers Cross, Lunces Lad, Marchand D´Argent, Owlsley, Peacefull Waters, Tecktal.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: AL AMAAN is going to appreciate further in time but this will be no test of speed given the conditions and he can make an immediate impact for his top team. Riverside Theatre is the standout danger and Hector's Choice, with his experience, can also figure in the finish


5 horses below 25/1 here in this 16 runner novices hurdle and the big boys are all represented
1.27 , 1.57 , 1.52 to place -
110 ludlow
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Bruslini, 100/30 Moment Present, 4/1 Torphichen, 9/2 Tayarat, 9/1 Ben Ami, 12/1 Loco Grande, 50/1 Arthurian, Jemiliah, Marino Prince, Miss Phoebe, 100/1 Asmodea, Emerald Crystal.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: BRUSLINI looked inexperienced when joint-favourite at Newbury on his hurdle debut after an absence this month, should put in a more polished performance here and looks the one to beat. The main form dangers are Moment Present and Tayarat, although the fairly useful Flat performer Torphichen would be very interesting if supported on his hurdle debut for a new yard.

Half the field are 50/1 or over - do if we acn wittle the remaining runners down , we could find a place only candidate

The fav has shortened into 13/8 at time of writing ( place prices)

3

Bruslini
T. J. O'Brien
» £0.00, £0.00
1.31
1.36

7

Moment Present
Noel Fehily
» £0.00, £0.00
1.66
1.69

9

Torphichen
J. W. Farrelly
» £0.00, £0.00
2.08
2.1

8

Tayarat
Paul Moloney
» £0.00, £0.00
2.2
2.36

5

Loco Grande
Tom Siddall
» £0.00, £0.00
3.85
4

2

Ben Ami
Timmy Murphy
» £0.00, £0.00
4
4.4


130 KEMPTON
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Ainama, 6/4 Hebridean, 7/1 Pale Rider, 16/1 Morning Heights, 20/1 Buffalo Stampede, Pinnacle Point, Spanish Conquest, 25/1 Come On Jonny, 33/1 Nearby, 100/1 Haveyoubeen, He´s The Business, Intensifier, Northern Lad, Oddshoes, Where´s Susie, 200/1 Dancing Valentine.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Nicky Henderson has been making hay this winter with his hurdling debutants and AINAMA was good enough on the Flat to suggest he could have a bright future at this game. Hebridean is a higher-profile recruit but Newbury was quite disappointing, even allowing for the quality of opposition, and it could be that he'll need better ground in this discipline

Ruby V AP -jst like the old days! But who to chose? I don't like these top heavy markets because inevitably the one you chose is the one who unplaces while the other wins by 19 lengths!

1

Ainama
A. P. McCoy
» £0.00, £0.00
1.18
1.21

14

Hebridean
R. Walsh
» £0.00, £0.00
1.31
1.35

10

Pale Rider
Liam Treadwell
» £0.00, £0.00
2.78
3.1


230 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 4/7 Gone Hunting, 8/1 Ridgeway Silver, Tillers Satisfied, 10/1 Simple Rhythm, Weet In Nerja, 14/1 Premier Demon, 20/1 Dancing Welcome, 33/1 Valdemar.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: GONE HUNTING, back at 6f here, looks to have been found an excellent opportunity to add to his tally. Tillers Satisfied may prove best of the rest

Price gapper but Tillers satisfied is now 4/1 in the live market - a move or readers of the Racing Post ( see Spotlight above?)

Straight 8 here too BUT a poor claimer

1
(4)

Gone Hunting
Jack Dean
» £0.00, £0.00
1.15
1.16

3
(2)

Tillers Satisfied
Graham Gibbons
» £0.00, £0.00
1.54
1.6


510 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 1/4 Tartan Gunna, 5/1 Divine Force, 10/1 Michael Collins, 25/1 Nairana, Sadaska, 50/1 Tiffany Lady.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: An obvious opportunity for TARTAN GUNNA to get off the mark following his seconds at Southwell and Great Leighs
The price says it all


3
(5)

Tartan Gunna
Joe Fanning
» £0.00, £0.00
1.08
1.09


ONE A DAY

A tricky day today with soft ground at the jmps venues.
100 KEMP
All the big stables on the top 5 - Riverside Theatre short priced market leader -Al Amaan and Phoenix ice are debutants

110 LUDLOW - Bruslini? - Simply probability if the 50/1 shots run like outsiders

230 WOLVES - Gone Hunting - the straight 8 here so 3 the place

510 WOLVES - Obvious chance here and 1.08 reasonable for a 1/4 shot

I will go with 230 Wolves here today - smallest field size for 3 the place a fav who has been well backed - negatives? Race type

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