Saturday 24 January 2009

24/1

I saw Mutamareed's place only price sky rocket to 1.34 but he still won! It was a great probability race anyway so I was not overtly concerned


1255 CHELT

BETTING FORECAST: 1/2 Diamond Harry, 4/1 Tataniano, 9/2 Bensalem, 14/1 Ernst Blofeld, 100/1 Shenanigan, Talenti.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Both Bensalem and Tataniano are smart prospects, but DIAMOND HARRY looks every inch a top-class performer in the making and is expected to maintain his unbeaten record.[


A look at the form column and there's a lot of 1's! Good quality horses. Diamond Harry has those words "hard to beat" BUT concern that it's only 2 the place and with Ruby 3rd fav he could upset the apple cart 1.18 to place


100 NAVAN

BETTING FORECAST: 2/7 Deal Done, 6/1 Arlington House, 10/1 Exchange Rate, 12/1 Stretch The Truth, 16/1 Gimli´s Knight, 20/1 Derrycrew, 25/1 Sexton Street, Well Insured, 33/1 Montan, 50/1 Hugbensin.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Not too many prizes for noticing the obvious one to beat here, and DEAL DONE will never have a better opportunity of breaking his duck over hurdles. His jumping has been a little bit sloppy at times, but he's likely to handle testing ground quite well, and followed up a decent run in the good novice hurdle won by The Last Derby at Fairyhouse in November with an equally good display when just running out of steam after the last in finishing fourth to Voler La Vedette in a Leopardstown maiden hurdle over Christmas.


Heavy ground at Navan the concern here but an obvious contender 1.12 to place


105 DON

BETTING FORECAST: 4/7 Chomba Womba, 6/1 Amber Brook, Zarinava, 10/1 Theatre Belle, 14/1 Helens Vision, 20/1 Pagan Starprincess, 50/1 Zahra´s Place, 100/1 Mini Minster.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: CHOMBA WOMBA made quite heavy weather of winning this last year but she has confirmed this season she's far better than that bare form and is taken to go in again. Zarinava is a is very promising Irish mare and could be the most interesting of her rivals.[


Original 8 runner field now down to 6 with 28/1 and 100/1 outsiders - surely this opens up the door to Chomba Womba IF 3 the place still on BEtfair 1.07 to place


125 LINGFIELD

BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Thief Of Time, 7/2 Capeability, 11/2 Misyaar, 8/1 Green Dynasty, 12/1 Pyrus Time, Strategic Knight, 16/1 Squad, 20/1 Crag Path, 25/1 Tropical Bachelor, 33/1 Prix Masque, 50/1 Dead Cat Bounce, 66/1 Ensnare.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Thief Of Time is the obvious one after his recent eye-catching debut second at Kempton but there should be more to come from CAPEABILITY, who wasn't that far behind some decent performers at Newmarket second time out.[


Well backed market leader BUT only 1 run and they're basing favouratism on that. Good to see the resurgent Frankie Spencer on board 1.18 to place


135 NAVAN

BETTING FORECAST: 1/3 Sibenek, 11/2 Musicienne, 7/1 Redbridge Radar, 10/1 Dont Cross Tina, 12/1 Closesthingtocrazy, 33/1 Donoughmore, Majestic Oak, Nightlynx, 50/1 Light Mist, 66/1 Simply Splendid.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: SIBENEK is very promising and has been presented with an ideal opportunity here. He showed he handles a testing surface well when staying on strongly to impressively win a Punchestown bumper at the end of October and was far from disgraced on his hurdling debut at Fairyhouse a month later. In the end he was found to be a little bit onepaced when a respectable fourth to On The Way Out in what was a good class contest. Not only did the winner win subsequently but third-placed Quiscover Fontaine scored twice since and there were a couple of good yardsticks behind the selection that day.


Handles heavy ground apparently and looks worth considering 1.09 to place


250 DON

BETTING FORECAST: 100/30 On Raglan Road, 4/1 Junior, 11/2 Gullible Gordon, 6/1 Cape Tribulation, 9/1 Martys Mission, Midnight Sail, 10/1 Star Lord, 14/1 Grizebeck, Toby Belch, 20/1 Diablo, 100/1 Ballysimon.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Back up in trip, ON RAGLAN ROAD (nap) is taken to turn around Sandown form with Junior on the revised terms and get back on the winning trail. Gullible Gordon and Junior's stable-mate, Midnight Sail, have to be respected but perhaps the main threat


Now 5/4 in the live market and the man McCoy on board

1.34 to place -tells you this is a long trip !


345 CHELT

BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Punchestowns, 7/2 Big Buck´s, 7/1 Fair Along, 8/1 Blazing Bailey, 16/1 Lough Derg, 25/1 No Refuge, Pettifour, 100/1 Turpin Green.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: PUNCHESTOWNS took the step up to Grade 1 in his stride in the Long Walk and will be expected to confirm his position at the head of the World Hurdle betting if he copes with the ground. Fair Along may give him most to do.[


A big horse of interest in IReland 1.27 to place


ONE A DAY - Chomba Womba looks great for a place if he doesn't fall but the price is shocking.
On Raglan Road - is the market move telling? - if so then 1.34 is very good




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