Auld Arty won
130 TOWCESTER
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Carrickboy, 2/1 Neil Harvey, 4/1 Quentin Collonges, 8/1 King Stanley, 16/1 Cross Kennon, 25/1 Bagsy´s Bridge, 50/1 Badly Bruised, Formedable, Jolly Cooper, 100/1 All Fun And Games.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: NEIL HARVEY produced enough in bumpers to suggest he can bag a race of this nature over hurdles with conditions to suit. Carrickboy and Quentin Collonges are the obvious dangers.[BDO]
Towcester is bad enough at the best of times - and with heavy ground - well - YIKES!
Neil Harvey is of interest with course and distance form - 3 under 16/1
1.26 , 1.37 , 1.42 to place the front 3
240 WINCANTON
BETTING FORECAST: 1/5 Pride Of Dulcote, 11/2 Bakbenscher, 12/1 Song Sung Blue.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: b\PRIDE OF DULCOTE is very much on the up and this should present no problem if he shows anywhere near his best form.[
A 2 horse race now! 1.09 win only market
320 STHL
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Take Me There, 5/1 Ibrox, 6/1 El Diego, 8/1 Puy D´Arnac, 10/1 Calculating, Dart, 12/1 Aureate, My Friend Fritz, 16/1 Victory Quest.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: El Diego and Ibrox may have more to offer, particularly the latter now upped in trip, but TAKE ME THERE (nap) was well clear of the third home last time and looks sure to appreciate this extra distance. John Berry has quickly turned him out before he is reassessed and this looks a gilt-edged opportunity
Hint of a price gap here, but I really dont like middle distance races 1.34 - th only horse odds on in the place market
330 TOWC
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Silk Affair, 7/4 Bella Haze, 10/1 Lupita, Mrs Fawlty, 33/1 Ricci De Mare, Slickdalay, 50/1 Gouranga, 100/1 Space Queen.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: It's hard to look beyond SILK AFFAIR, whose form on Flat and over hurdles makes her stand out in this company with an age allowance to assist.[
4 outsiders - -and 2 priced to be involved BUT heavy ground and the venue may mean one of the front 2 underperforms - BUT which one? 1.13 and 1.19
340 WIN
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Princeful, 9/2 Spirit Of Man, 9/1 Moleskin, 12/1 James De Vassy, Orana Conti, 14/1 Beat The System, 20/1 The Arsonist, 40/1 Play A Cord, Southfield Hall, 100/1 Keepholdin.
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Extra weight in these conditions are always going to be a concern but PRINCEFUL has achieved far more over hurdles than any of his rivals and looks much the safest option.[
Extra weight in heavy ground! 1.19
ONE A DAY
The key problem is heavy ground today. Towcester and heavy ground - the poor horses will be finishing knackered
Pirde of Dulcote at 1.09 has one horse to beat. Song Sung Blue remains and was originally 12/1 in the betting forecast to a 1/5 shot.
Heavy ground here and a bit of a mug bet in a 2 horse race but should win in a day where nothing appeals to me from a place only perspective
A no bet day for me but I will try to get my target profit per day using other means
I know it's a cup game, but 1.22 for Barcelona tonight? No heavy ground and NO killer hill like Towcester
Thursday, 29 January 2009
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