Monday 12 January 2009

12/1

Easy target profit per day reached yesterday before the Porto game which finished 0-0 ( remember I emphasised they SHOULD win) - my target was made on the under 4.5 goal market in the Man Utd v Chelsea match. Luckily Chelsea did not mount a recovery in the last 4 minutes!

1255 PUNCH
BETTING FORECAST: 4/7 Perce Rock, 2/1 Freds Benefit, 8/1 Antipode, 16/1 Buachaill On Eirne, 25/1 Some Run, 33/1 Blackwater Pete, 66/1 Aongnoeile, 100/1 Kylebeg Krystle, Morereadythanilook.

looks a 2 horse race here 1.05 and 1.18

120 FAK
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Havenstone, 5/1 Carrickboy, Dais Return, 13/2 Arctic Ben, 10/1 Duly Noted, 12/1 King Ar Aghaidh, 16/1 Sonny Sam, 20/1 Top Tiger, 25/1 Chicken George, Dark Moon, 33/1 Bering De Lauriere, Galley Slave, 66/1 Mountain Fairy, 100/1 Roseneath.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Carrickboy is an interesting prospect but not many fall into the same category in what looks an ordinary maiden and HAVENSTONE (nap), with some good handicap form on the board, is hard to get away from.

Carrick has been backed along with King Ar from 12/1 into 5/1
Havenstone 1.38
Carrick - 1.63
King 2.18

150 FAKEN
BETTING FORECAST: 1/3 Carruthers, 5/2 Carrick Oscar, 14/1 Ballyboley, 100/1 Feeling Peckish, Off The Shelf, Supreme Leisure.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: CARRUTHERS did most things right when beating all bar a potential top-notcher on his chasing debut at Uttoxeter and, on a track that should suit this relentless front-runner, he can soon have most of these gasping for air. Carrick Oscar can head the chase

Hardened into 1/4 now 1.28 to win and 1.12 to place in a 6 horse race with 3 100/1 shots


210 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Desert Dreamer, 5/1 Silver Wind, 6/1 Dancing Deano, Imprimis Tagula, 12/1 Rustler, 20/1 Dasheena, Flagstone, Kabis Amigos, 50/1 Bungie, Jimmy Dean.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Silver Wind and Imprimis Tagula are both respected but DESERT DREAMER is a standing dish in these events and looks to have been entered on a good mark once more

Odds on now and only 4 sub 14/1 - fav is 1.12 to place
A claimer is not the ideal race type

225 PUNCH
BETTING FORECAST: 8/15 Zaarito, 7/2 Dual Gales, 5/1 Time Electric, 10/1 Atriptothelocal, 14/1 Flemensford, 16/1 Marks Rusty, 20/1 Ifshedontmakeit, 25/1 Murphys Appeal, Pass The Vodka, Return To Glory, Sarahs Catch, 33/1 Ballygar Sally, Jessie´s Lad, Liffer Lad, Whos To Know, 50/1 Alwaystheoptimist, 66/1 Fuinneamh, 100/1 Doransfirth, Hunters Dream, Rosses Bay, Supreme Tide, What´s Up Bett,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: There's no need to look beyond ZAARITO. One of the top bumper performers of last season, he made a perfectly satisfactory start to his hurdling career at Navan before Christmas, when staying on well from the final flight, and just failing to peg back the useful Oscar Looby. While there would be room for some improvement in his jumping, it was adequate enough. The benefit of that experience, and normal improvement should see him home here, on his way to better things.\n

Now 4/9 but a big field 1.47 and 1.09 to place

320 FAKENHAM
BETTING FORECAST: 4/1 Storm Haven, 9/2 Jades Double, Tarkesar, 11/2 Rocky Ryan, 8/1 Supa Tramp, 10/1 Orchard House, 14/1 Blueland, Friends Of Tina, 16/1 Celtic Heather, Tanktastic, 20/1 Lets Get Busy, 25/1 Harlaxton, 33/1 Festive Chimes, Spider Boy, Tashkandi, 50/1 Henri Prends Garde.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Jim Best is mob-handed and ROCKY RYAN is arguably the most interesting of his runners on paper, even if Tony McCoy is on Jades Double. Storm Haven tackles much tougher company than when winning here on New Year's Day but she has to go on the shortlist as wel

2nd fav a non runner and Rocky Ryan is now 7/4 1.6 to place

325 PUNCH
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Rare Bob, 7/2 Oscar Time, 5/1 Captain Conflict, 7/1 King Ali, 8/1 Rock Diplomat, Tahitien Fix, 10/1 Uppertown, 14/1 Load Factor, 16/1 Prospectorous, Saddler´s Native, Sigma Digital, 20/1 Reens Pike, 25/1 Irish Tiger, Reddies, 33/1 City Beach, Oprinceton, 50/1 Brave Jonnie, 66/1 Lord Of Aghalee,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: It's hard to ignore the claims of RARE BOB and he's entitled to be a confident selection. This expensively bought horse was a frustrating sort in maiden hurdles last year when he had no trip or tactics, but he's been more of a revelation over fences. He was disqualified for interference after touching off Trafford Lad in a Grade 3 novice here in October, and probably ran equally as well when a close third to the same rival and Forpadydeplasterer in the Drinmore at Fairyhouse six weeks ago. That bare form is good enough to win most beginners chases, and a reproduction should be more than good enough here.\

big field again but a lot of confidence on the fav 1.27 to place

410 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Petrovsky, 7/4 Luckier, 12/1 Helpmeronda, 14/1 Inthawain.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: There should be plenty more to come from PETROVSKY, who looks a typically progressive performer from the Johnston yard, and he can prove too strong for Luckier.

2 horse race?
1.12 and 1.32 to place - if this is a 2 horse race then surely Luckier at 1.32 must be the call in the hope these 2 fight it out


440 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Barwell Bridge, 2/1 Misyaar, 7/1 Green Passion, 14/1 Tinshu, 20/1 Spartan Prince, 25/1 Aliybee, 66/1 Fire Me Gun, Tiffany Lady, 100/1 Key Of Fortune, Spruzzo.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Not much strength in depth and unless the market indicates a much better showing from Green Passion, likely this will resolve itself into a battle between BARWELL BRIDGE and Misyaar. With solid handicap form to his name, the Kirk colt is preferred.

3 under 20/1 in the live betting market 1.94 / 1.12 to place

ONE A DAY

A lot of similar prices today and ,of these Perce Rock would have been my choice but the race is gone. Carruthers is 1.12 to place in a 6 horse race with 3 100/1 shots!!

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