31/10

Profit yesterday, winning by a head to a 100/1 shot - not a bother as they say over here because the horse was back to placed
150 NMKT

BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Penny´s Gift, 8/1 Art Princess, Miss Eze, Qalahari, 9/1 Caranbola, 12/1 Happy Forever, Oasis Breeze, 16/1 Coconut Shy, Flame Of Ireland, 20/1 Calahonda, 50/1 Albertine Rose.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: PENNY'S GIFT has plenty in her favour and, although the fact she is coming to the end of a longish campaign is something to bear in mind, she is expected to be equal to the task. Miss Eze is the least exposed and a likely improver but the most viable each-way alternative may be Qalahari.[FC]

big price gap 2.58 / 1.38

BUT class 1 listed race - yes you know the drill - all horses in this field are good!

200 UTTOXETER
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Carruthers, Pancake, 7/2 What A Friend, 6/1 Carnival Town, 8/1 Hopkins, 10/1 Double Intruder, 33/1 Tarsus, The Accordion Man, 66/1 Plum Pudding,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: CARRUTHERS looked the part when able to boss things from the front last season and will be tough to collar on his chasing debut if finding some early rhythm. Not that it's going to be easy, as half the field have potential to go a fair way over fences

10 runner field down to 6 = possible probability bet if Betfair still pay 3 the place 3.6 / 1.36 ( 3 horses share 1.36 odds in the place market!)

320 WETHERBY
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Sergheyev, 7/2 Border Reiver, 8/1 Almond Court, Bobtante, 12/1 Desert Stag, 16/1 Keene Spirit, 33/1 Calm Seas, Newsham Glory, 40/1 Lady Hazel, 50/1 Solar Rock, 100/1 Bridging Loan.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Border Reiver could be open to improvement now he steps up in trip but the unpenalised SERGHEYEV (nap) has been found a good opportunity to add to his Newton Abbot maiden win.[

No early price market, but there are only 4 horses sub double figure odds 1.96 / 1.16

Tricky day today with Pennys Gift in a competitive top class race and ? marks over tiredness after a long campaign?
The 200 Uttoxeter is interesting from a probability perspective and I'll chance Carruthers here

30/10

Job done yesterday on either Levera or the football treble at an enticing 1.6. The mug punter acca was undone in the Panathanaikos game where, interestingly enough, there were 2 separate posts on the Betfair forum before the game screaming out "fixed game". Oh well!

650 GREAT L:EIGHS
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Veloso, 4/1 Zuwaar, 8/1 Looks The Business, Shenandoah Girl, 10/1 Fantasy Ride, Fateful Attraction, 20/1 Mighty Kitchener, 33/1 Allahor, Missie Baileys, 50/1 Amicus,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: With Zuwaar having something to prove after his last two starts, this is probably best left to VELOSO. Proven under the conditions, he didn't do much wrong in defeat at Wolverhampton at the weekend and has plenty in his favour here

A class 6 seller so a note of caution and note too the start time - as things stand a decent enough price gap and 4 likely outsiders make life easier for the market leader to place

1240 LINGFIELD
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 West With The Wind, 7/2 Silk Trail, 11/2 Kouloura, 7/1 Freepressionist, 12/1 King´s Siren, Novastasia, 14/1 Diamond Til, 16/1 Salybia Bay, 20/1 Downstream, Stellarina, 25/1 Moggy, 33/1 Arty Crafty, Clodoline.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: WEST WITH THE WIND looks to shade Kouloura, Freepressionist and the others that have already been seen out, but Goldolphin's well-bred newcomer Silk Trail could obviously throw a spanner in the works

An interesting market with 3 standout market leaders

100 NEWCASTLE
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Houston Dynimo, 4/1 Harrison´s Star, Woody Waller, 7/1 La Fortalesa, 10/1 Banquet, 14/1 Agglestone Rock, 16/1 Victorias, 20/1 Bulas Boy, 25/1 Cashmere Jack, Pequeno Dinero, 40/1 Recoil, 50/1 Midnite Blews, 66/1 Magnushomestwo.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Harrison's Star is the most appealing of those with experience, but a couple of the newcomers are interesting and HOUSTON DYNIMO gets the vote over Woody Waller.It should be revealing to see how both trade in the betting.

Juvenile novices hurdle and a lack of form among many 3.15 / 1.42 for Wooly Waller - money for him!

130
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 That´s Rhythm, 7/2 Role On, 13/2 Mill Side, 8/1 High Bird Humphrey, 10/1 The Shy Man, 12/1 Belon Gale, 14/1 Jass, 16/1 Andijan, Sir Monty, 25/1 Nile Moon, 33/1 Industrial Star, Teerie Express, 100/1 My Friend Paul.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Providing That's Rhythm doesn't bounce from his latest effort, he looks a serious player but he could be worth taking on with chasing debutant ROLE ON, who admittedly has something to find on hurdles form but looks the type to do better over fences

Beginners chase! 2.24 / 1.26

150 STRATFORD
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Predateur, 7/2 Crescent Island, 6/1 Kia Kaha, 7/1 Kawagino, 8/1 Chiaro, Masked Man, 11/1 Mount Sandel, 33/1 Paradise Regained, 50/1 Country Affair, Just A Thought, Wasntme, 66/1 Musical Chairs.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Paul Nicholls is expecting better things of PREDATEUR this season, though the 5yo earns the vote anyway on the pick of last term's form. There are plenty of interesting newcomers to fences for him to deal with, as well as Crescent Island and Kawagino, both of whom have shown enough to suggest they can win an ordinary novice chase, but he should cope provided his troubles are behind him.

powerful Nicholls yyard on the hot pot 2.32 / 1.21 - Cresent island close in the ebtting
420 STRAT
BETTING FORECAST: 11/10 Bakbenscher, 6/1 West End King, 7/1 Master Darcy, 8/1 Supreme Keano, 10/1 National Petition, 12/1 Rockiteer, 14/1 Springfield Gunner, 16/1 Forty Five, 20/1 Anthony´s Road, 25/1 Avec Moi Ce Soir, Le Toto, 33/1 Wessex King, 100/1 Florindalus, Ikorodu Road, Where Now Madame, 150/1 Theseainttoys.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Plenty of dead wood. West End King is a potential fly in the ointment but basically this looks an ideal launch pad for BAKBENSCHER's hurdling caree

Now 4/6 but a very big field over jumps 1.73/1,24

ONE A DAY - Bakbenscher for me today for the Thornton/King combination

29/10

Back now safe and sound - car is fixed and back on track
I left off with Ask unplaced. So it's loss retrieval time
200 GREAT LEIGHS
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Alonso De Guzman, 7/2 Mustajed, 8/1 Garrulous, Tender Falcon, 10/1 Dhehdaah, Inspirina, Red Wine, 14/1 Augustus John.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Several of these are hard to predict or difficult to win with but that's not the case with ALONSO DE GUZMAN (nap), a regular scorer and a reliable type who has gone well fresh and who has the services of Frankie Dettori. Looks a 2 horse race? BUT always warning signs when the perceived outsider is only 14/1 Alonso's good runs though have come on turf 120 HUNT BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Tuanku, 11/4 Starluck, 4/1 Golden Bishop, 10/1 Metal Madness, 14/1 Joshua, 33/1 Abfabfong, 40/1 Boomtown, 50/1 Janet´s Delight, 66/1 Hellfire Bay, Magpie, 100/1 Seven Stars. SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Golden Bishop and Starluck are interesting newcomers to be monitored for market confidence but TUANKU may make his previous experience count. Another King/Thornton combo on a market leader - always good to see - race type - juvenile novices hurdle tells you they are all relatively new to this aspect of jumping 5 newcomers - 2 of which are 2nd and 3rd in the betting - could be ominous for the market leader 250 BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Levera, 4/1 Bolodenka, 11/1 Trachonitis, 16/1 Most Definitely, Mugs Game, Outlandish, 20/1 Crosby Jemma, Erdeli, Overrule, 25/1 Desert Star, Okoum, Prince Des Marais, Wester Ross, 66/1 Panadin, 200/1 Cnidos, Feeling. SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: LEVERA is proving a hit over hurdles, as he should be given his old level of ability on the Flat, and can take care of interesting newcomer Bolodenka.[PJ] Deja vu - another novices hurdle -another King/Thornton hot pot - certainly an interesting price gap between the front 2 and the rest of the field - market move for Outlandish now 15/2 -significant? 750 KEMP BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Film Set, 4/1 Go Go Green, 5/1 Rowayton, 6/1 Tropical Paradise, 12/1 Via Mia, 14/1 Dakota Hills, My Sweet Georgia. SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Only a small field but it's unlikely to be tactical, with several having made the running before. Go Go Green is drawn to attack in stall 7 but has more on his plate up another 5lb against the likes of FILM SET, who's made a good impression in both of his starts. Frankie takes the trip to Kempton - significant? BUT 7 runner race pays only 2 the place 240 NOTT - HEAVY GROUND - BE CAREFUL BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Affluent, 7/2 Silent Wonder, 7/1 Breakevie, 8/1 Mister Tinktastic, 16/1 Solis, 20/1 You´relikemefrank, 25/1 Oceanic Dancer, 50/1 Louie´s Lad. SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Silent Wonder has the best form of those with experience but he's only rated 73 and the well-bred AFFLUENT may well be up to the task, particularly if the market gives the right signals Interesting that the early market has Silent wonder at 11/8 and Affluent at 2/1 3 horses at 40/1 or bigger make place betting easier on one of the market leaders as long as these outsiders run to their prices in this maiden 340 BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Cara´s Request, 3/1 Shamali, 7/1 Supaverdi, 12/1 Fancy Footsteps, Manere Bay, 14/1 Highland Relish, Wing Diva, 16/1 Gargano, 25/1 Antillia, 33/1 Timewatch, 66/1 Benitez Bond, Peedee, SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: CARA'S REQUEST, an Australian-bred colt who receives a hefty weight allowance as he's a September foal, is taken to enhance the solid form of his second here earlier in the month. Shamali should be thereabouts, while Supaverdi is the most interesting newcomer The heavy ground has meant many non runners but still 3 the place and Shamali a noticeable non runner - will this make life easier for Caras Request? - has run on soft 315 PUNCH BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Forpadydeplasterer, 11/2 Your Sum Man, 6/1 Narquois, 10/1 Derravarra Eagle, Fond Of A Drop, 12/1 Clarified, Decoy Daddy, Major Sensation, 14/1 Hidden Agent, Kingsmaster, 20/1 Fortis Et Fidelis, Le Sparnacien, Stewarts House, 25/1 City Beach, Gundagai, The Hoodoo Remains, 50/1 Inoma James, Jason Bourne, I remember the fav from last year and some hefty punts on him Big field mind in this one and a new trip SHORTLIST In loss retrieval mode I become ultra cautious as I want this to be a winning bet. So I do tend to look at the football as well for an "obvious" bet Looks like European Cups abound tonight with some minnows versus giants Diagoras Rodou v Olympiacos - Olympiacos at 1.23 make appeal Portugalete v Valencia - VAlencia at 1.4 Chelsea are following a defeat at home with an away game (wounded animal?) to title contenders ( clears throat) Hull City who are brimming with confidence. 1.48 is reasonable. Man Utd 1.21 at home to the hammers who they could, ahem, hammer On the horse racing front - heavy ground at Nottingham precludes that venue Levera would be my one today and from a footballing perspective, a treble on Valencia 1.14 remove Olympiaco.. 1.20 remove Shakhtar 1.16 remove pays 1.60 As an aside, with these European cup games it is always interesting to compile a mug punter acca incase all of the mismatches go the way of the shorties ( I had 16 from 17 last time and only failed because I inserted a halftime/fulltime bet instead of match odds bet on a team who won 5-0!) This acca pays 22.26 ! Fingers crossed! I would like to include more but there's a limit at Ladbrokes Heerenvee.. 1.30 remove Young Boys 1.10 remove AB Copenhage.. 1.33 remove Panathina.. 1.25 remove Kaisersla.. 1.36 remove Zenit St Petersbur.. 1.22 remove Legia Warsaw 1.16 remove Sparta Prague 1.22 remove Olympiaco.. 1.20 remove Shakhtar 1.16 remove Dynamo Kiev 1.16 remove Zaglebie Lubin 1.28 remove Dinamo Zagreb 1.30 remove NK Cibalia 1.20 remove Hajduk Split 1.20 remove