Friday 8 August 2008

9/8

Servoca neck 2nd 4/5
Amber Queen unplaced 4/6
Masamah 1st 5/2
Wingwalker 1st 9\4
Distiller 1st 10/11
Cross compliance 4th 5/6
Not quite price gappers
English Town 5th 9/2
Wildbach 1st evens
Siena lake 1st 10/3
Tubby Isaacs 1st 2/1
Glenridding neck 2nd 3/1
Kannon neck 2nd 3/1
Alonso de Guzman 2nd 4/7

With the "obvious" price gappers, 3 winners, 2 at 2/1 and 9/4 which compensate, I suppose, for losing bets. The "unofficial" price gappers saw 10/3, 2/1 and evens winners which could have been much better had Kannon won at 3/1 rather than neck 2nd.Again, notice the number of horses placing. All in all pleasing enough. Let's continue today but tread warily with the Shergar Cup which is a bit of a novelty

Is there any way to avoid potential losing bets?

330 ASCOT
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 All The Good, 9/2 Candle, 11/2 Formax, 8/1 Strategic Mount, 10/1 Filios, Profit´s Reality, 12/1 Record Breaker, Sahrati, 16/1 Polish Power, 25/1 Coeur De Lionne ,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: ALL THE GOOD (nap) may well be the answer, having made a good start for Godolphin when fourth in a more competitive race over C&D last month. Strategic Mount's chance of repeating last year's win hinges on the weather and he has a good shout if it stays dry, with Formax preferred of the others

One idea is "nap and gap" - price gap and napped by SPotlight? This is perhaps not as big a price gap as I would like

620 AYR
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Jobe, 6/4 Aladdin´s Lamp, 8/1 Jatman, 12/1 Quanah Parker, 16/1 Igneous, 20/1 Salgrev, 25/1 Lady Dunhill, 50/1 Thatwasthepension, 66/1 Franali .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: An interesting clash of promising once-raced colts who cost six figures at the sales and are in good hands, namely ALADDIN'S LAMP (nap) and Middle Park entrant Jobe. Despite not having any major entries yet, preference is for the former, whose stable has won five of the last seven renewals of this event

Price gap between the first 2 and the 3rd - again not a clean price gapper

610 LING
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Seminole, 7/2 Fullback, 7/1 Stirling Castle, 8/1 Churchills Victory, 10/1 Orsippus, 12/1 Kaada, 16/1 My Les, Officer In Command, 33/1 D´Artagnans Dream, Hassadin, Sergeant Pink, Sumani .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: SEMINOLE was unlucky to catch a smart prospect at Sandown last month and has been found a suitable opportunity to gain recompense on this switch to AW


740 LING
BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 The Game, 11/2 Requisite, 6/1 Leading Edge, 7/1 Silver Wind, 9/1 Tadalavil, 10/1 Lodi, 12/1 C´Mon You Irons, Prime Factor, 14/1 Non Sucre, 16/1 Perfect Flight, We Have A Dream .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The change of scenery has clearly benefited THE GAME (nap) and he can make it two successive wins in a race that should be run to suit. Requisite and Leading Edge can fight out the minor honours

410 REDCAR
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Unbiased, 3/1 Billy Bowmore, 7/2 Chosen One, 12/1 Carr On Fire, 14/1 Bertie Vista, Dolly Royal, Predictable, 16/1 Cullybackey, 25/1 Mr Toshiwonka, Uace Mac, 50/1 Cranworth Blaze, 66/1 Distant Rainbow, High Shanamara, 100/1 Suspender .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: UNBIASED looks worth another chance to confirm the promise of his debut effort at Newmarket, though he isn't certain to appreciate the drop in trip. Chosen One is an interesting newcomer and must be taken seriously if the market shows the right signals

Not quite a big enough price gap but a 3 horse race in prospect

510 REDCAR
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Trip The Light, 5/1 Banquet, 8/1 Apsara, Centenary, Wulimaster, 10/1 Jenny Soba, 14/1 Boxhall, Joshua, 20/1 Hill Cloud, Nevsky Bridge, 25/1 Bond Casino, Riodan, 33/1 Leitmotif, 50/1 Foxxy, 100/1 Amjad .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: TRIP THE LIGHT (nap) had his run checked at a vital stage and in any case had the visor left off when dividing Wulimaster and Banquet at Beverley two outings ago, and is better judged on his two wins in headgear. The best alternative may be Jenny Soba, who travelled well for a long way last time. [

Obvious price gappers for me will be Trip the light, and maybe Seminole but let's see hope the "not quite price gappers" get on

Again bear in mind this is a Saturday too.




















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