Saturday, 30 August 2008

31/8

Good day yesterday with a winner from my single selection and the other price gappers actually placing too.
Again selectivity is the key watchword here
315 CURRAGH
BETTING FORECAST: 8/13 Finsceal Beo, 6/1 Beach Bunny, Deauville Vision, 8/1 Magic Carpet, Mystical Lady, 12/1 Crossing, 14/1 Glowing, 16/1 Varsity, 33/1 End Of The Affair.
I don't venture into Ireland for price gappers and with good reason - they get turned over more often than not and some don't even place.
Finscael beo, though, is a horse of some note, BUT in listed races, all horses on show are top quality and we have soft ground to contend with too

210 FOLK
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Frank Street, 3/1 Peper Harow, 5/1 Smokey Ryder, 10/1 Blackwater Fort, Itshim, 16/1 Place The Duchess, 20/1 Jiggalong, 25/1 Itsher, 33/1 Rapanui Belle, Silver Salsa, 66/1 Flamboyant Red.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: FRANK STREET (nap), who built on a promising debut when one of three to come away at Salisbury, won't mind the return to 5f and is taken to progress past Peper Harow from a handy draw

A potential 3 horse race which should augur well for Frank Street to place until we learn its a 5 furlong maiden for 2 year olds - but the horse has progressive form of 32

440
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Perception, 5/1 Damini, 8/1 Rebounding, 10/1 Money Money Money, Silver Games, Spinning Belle, 12/1 Age Of Couture, Chic Retreat, 20/1 Dicey Affair, Golden Games, Hosanna, 50/1 Micro Chip, My Les.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: PERCEPTION's form had yet another advertisement on Friday and she looks capable of opening her account. Damini is likely to prove better than she showed on her debut and may pose most problems

Price gap here but maiden fillies event and big field, 3 debutants and 7 one time outers open to improvement - live betting market key here

320 MUSS
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Kyber, 5/2 Danzatrice, Nero West, 10/1 Flamed Amazement, 14/1 Shankly Bond, 20/1 Pegasus Mondrianus, 50/1 Ceduna Roadhouse,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Top weight Nero West could be dangerous if allowed an uncontested lead, but preference is for course specialist KYBER (nap) who has scored six of his seven career wins here (one over hurdles) and is in fine heart this yea
Not really a price gap nbut a potential 3 horse race here -with Aleatrics a doubt this may leave only 2 to place which makes things tricky

350
BETTING FORECAST: 1/2 Predict, 5/1 Pressed For Time, 7/1 Compton Ford, 10/1 Chicken Momo, 16/1 El Bobby, 33/1 Wee Bizzom, 50/1 Future Gem,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: PREDICT hasn't shown much in two nurseries but her maiden form is well in advance of anything her rivals have shown and she looks to have been found an ideal opportunity to record a second success.

A 2 year old seller here -

200 NA
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Phoenix Des Mottes, 5/1 Isle Of Inishmore, 11/2 Winning Show, 13/2 Boxhall, 9/1 Nomad, 12/1 Joy In The Guild, The Randy Bishop, 14/1 Lets Cast Again, 16/1 Daramoon, 50/1 Bleu Reef, 66/1 Three Half Crowns.

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: David Pipe won this race in 2007 with an ex-French recruit and, with none of the experienced runners particularly standing out, PHOENIX DES MOTTES could well make a successful British debut, especially if the market speaks in his favour. Isle Of Inishmore may prove best of the remainder

Conditional jockeys maiden hurdle - YIKES!

430 NA
BETTING FORECAST: Evs For One Night Only, 7/2 Lancer Scott, 9/2 Sergheyev, 14/1 Mister Wiseman, 16/1 Brigadore, 20/1 Clever Liz, Pittyless, 25/1 Exit To Side, 33/1 Chunky´s Choice,

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Despite having not managed to improve on his debut form in two outings since, FOR ONE NIGHT ONLY basically has more potential than most of these and he shaped reasonably well on his first start over hurdles. Lancer Scott is an interesting newcomer to hurdling, while the market may prove a useful guide in assessing the well-being of Sergheyev.
Conditional jockeys maiden hurdle - YIKES!

Again plenty of perceived price gappers and I want to keep the near 100% record going with my strong selections
Nothing appeals at all with niggles in one area or the other.320 MUSS - I would consider backing the market leader in the live market to place -it may not be the betting forecast fav. I would also like to see no shorteining amongst the other horses which may signify a potential gamble
If desparate, perhaps Predict could get in the placings given we can hopefully discount the 2 ( stretching to 3) outsiders leaving the horse potentially 3 to contest a place

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