Monday, 25 August 2008

25/8

BAnk holiday today after a great day on Saturday

220 Cartmel
BETTING FORECAST: Evs Maidstone Mixture, 9/2 Rivington Pike, 11/2 Galley Slave, 9/1 Ras Laffan, 12/1 Bulas Boy, Harrison´s Star, 16/1 White Ross, 20/1 Saafend Geezer, 50/1 Abbey Express .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Maidstone Mixture sets the standard but it isn't a particularly demanding one under his penalty, so it may be worth taking a flyer on something coming out of the pack to beat him. The tentative suggestion is newcomer RIVINGTON PIKE, who showed some ability on his penultimate Flat start and whose good stable do well with their hurdlers

A reasonable chance of this price gapper placing, but it is over obstacles so not top of the list

230 HUNT
BETTING FORECAST: 4/9 Nayodabayo, 6/1 Comeintothespace, 10/1 Lady Romanov, 14/1 River Tigris, 20/1 Prince Of Aragon, Seattle Spy, 25/1 Only Hope, Trackattack, 33/1 Arctic Emperor, Galley Law, 50/1 Billy The Shifter .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This will take no winning at all and there's very little temptation to see past NAYODABAYO, who stands out on the figures and should run his race with both trip and ground just right.

Conditional jockeys selling hurdle - YIKES - 4/11 now for the favourite with the defection of the 2nd favourite. An ideal each way race really but from a place only perspective odds will be very cramped and we don't have professional jockeys on board

340
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Levera, 7/2 Silivri, 4/1 Pride Of Mine, 10/1 Putra Laju, 14/1 Mystic Storm, 20/1 Shahnameh, 33/1 Road To Recovery, 50/1 Ben Bacchus, 100/1 Crazy Bold, Malibu, Muraco, 200/1 Enlist .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Alan King has come to the right venue to test LEVERA's stamina for hurdling and his class should count if seeing it out. Each-way thieves will doubtless be focusing on Pride Of Mine and Silivri.

I never back odds on shots in maiden hurdles - there are countless examples of them getting turned over so not a proposition for me despite the price gap.

415 RIPON
BETTING FORECAST: 2/5 Taaresh, 6/1 Cozy Tiger, 10/1 Drumadoon Bay, 14/1 Arikinui, 16/1 Top Tribute, 20/1 Proficiency, 33/1 Dolly Royal, 66/1 Fell Pack, Lachafinna, 100/1 Amaretto Venture, Miss Ferney, Predictable .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: With Cozy Tiger having plenty to prove on this turf debut after his inauspicious return back in May, TAARESH is likely to prove very hard to beat with his debut Sandown second last month a very long way ahead of what anything else has achieved in this field

4/11 fav based on a single run in a maiden race

520
BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 Eton Fable, 5/2 Devinius, 7/1 Soggy Dollar, 8/1 Shaylee, 10/1 Joinedupwriting, 16/1 Manuka Bee, 25/1 Mill Beattie, Plenilune, 33/1 Doctor Delta, 66/1 Riorun .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A good opportunity for ETON FABLE (nap) to gain compensation for Thursday's agonising last-stride defeat at Chester. Devinius, who has to prove her stamina but got off the mark last time, and Soggy Dollar look the pick of the opposition

Progressive form for the fav and good place only material? BUT close proximity of Devinius

SOFT at Warwick.
All in all a sorry bunch today and perhaps Eton Fable is the one with lesser concerns - we have conditional jockeys sellers, and maiden hurdles and 4/11 1 time run only maidens ! YIKES

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