Keeps the run going but place returns are obviously shorter - d'oh! Just my luck - they all win!
220 CHESTER
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Time Control, 4/1 Hamalka, 6/1 Tamdiid, 10/1 Ghizlaan, 14/1 Chatanoogachoochoo, 33/1 Fleetwood Flame.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Connections will be very keen to get a win out of the beautifully bred TIME CONTROL and she looks the one to beat. Her Nottingham second reads well here and the combination of 1m4f and testing ground seemed to tax her stamina last time. Tamdiid could be the one to chase her home.[ |
Now 1/3 - augurs well but not to place rather to win at those odds.
Negative - maiden fillies stakes race - YIKES!
440
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Nightjar, 4/1 Never Ending Tale, Prince Kalamoun, 8/1 Porthole, 10/1 Navajo Joe, 14/1 Grey Command, 16/1 Dauberval, Sweet Sara, 25/1 Bigfanofthat.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Nightjar has to be respected off this mark following his improved effort last time but he isn't certain to stay this far and NEVER ENDING TALE, who will relish the return to this trip, gets the nod |
Nightjar - like Liberally is ahead of the handicapper - 2 seconds
NEGATIVE - untried at the trip - "stamina has to be taken on trust" Also Never ending tale and Prince Kalamoun are quite close in the betting
340 HAMILTON
BETTING FORECAST: 1/3 Buddhist Monk, 7/2 Gargano, 10/1 Ozone Trustee, 20/1 Kings Maiden, 33/1 Oscar Wild, 50/1 Scanno.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: BUDDHIST MONK sets a clear standard and should be very hard to beat. The Mark Johnston-trained newcomer Gargano could be the main danger and is the one to note in the market |
Should win at that price shouldn't he. BUT Gargano is a newcomer installed as 2nd favourite - this may be very significant and we have good to soft ground - which again might turn soft as the day progresses
640 SALISBURY
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Bazergan, 7/2 Star Rocker, 9/2 Wellington Square, 13/2 Special Reserve, 12/1 Streets Apart, 14/1 Watercolours, 16/1 Tignello, 20/1 Chioroscuro, Quick Flash, 33/1 Colour Trooper.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Bazergan was quite highly tried on a couple of occasions last term and it remains to be seen if he confirms what he appeared to show at Newmarket. He probably wouldn't need to reproduce that form here, but STAR ROCKER, from a family that the Oppenheimers have enjoyed plenty of success with, is an interesting alternative having shaped really well on his Doncaster debu |
312 days off - not for me for Bazergan
850 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Long Distance, 3/1 Scary Movie, Street Crime, 16/1 John Potts, 33/1 Alltheclews, 50/1 Royal Flyer, Spoilt Madame, 100/1 Clare Park.
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: LONG DISTANCE ought to be up to winning at this level, even if not fully tuned up for this belated return. Scary Movie appeals for the forecas |
315 days off and a 3 horse race - 8 runner race - preference would be to place back whichever of Scary Movie or Street Crime are better backed
Time control for me is the one solid one - Long distance has 2 very close market rivals and 315 days off - Bazergan 312 days off - Buddhist monk has Gargano to worry about ( and as a newcomer he may surprise ) and Nightjar has a concern over the ground
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