Crystal Moments - non runner
Rum jungle 2nd 9/4
French Art 2nd 2/5
Elegant Cad 1st 4/11
Again all places here bar Jaconet and it would seem as the days go by that place only betting allows a lot of leighway but prices of course will be very restrictive.
Ideas? Target profit per day using the place market? Big stakes required though but the chance of reaching target on 1st bet.
810 MUSS
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Horatio Carter, 9/2 King Kenny, 5/1 Zabeel Tower, 6/1 Flores Sea, 13/2 Flying Bantam, 10/1 Botham, 14/1 Avontuur, 20/1 Attacca .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A few of these often race prominently and Horatio Carter could be a little vulnerable under a penalty for his all-the-way Carlisle win. Zabeel Tower, unbeaten in two starts here this term, has to enter calculations but KING KENNY is taken to build on his Pontefract effort, with confidence enhanced if he attracts market support again. |
Good to soft but 810 kick off here and I would be wary about soft ground. 1.52 to place for Horatio Carter and 3.8 to win.
655 NOTT
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Tasheba, 4/1 The Betchworth Kid, 7/1 Judgethemoment, 8/1 Yossi, 9/1 Directa´s Digger, Horseford Hill, 16/1 Salute, 25/1 Turban Heights ,
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: TASHEBA (nap) makes a good bit of appeal, having progressed well since being upped to staying trips. Despite his rise in the handicap and being pitched into a better race here, he still looks the pick of the weights and we know he handles give in the ground perfectly well. The Betchworth Kid can chase him home. Tasheeba place 1.17 win 1.84 win |
Other races to consider.... where there is a price gap but 2 prominent market leaders
230 LING
BETTING FORECAST: 4/5 Red Kestrel, 9/4 Buddhist Monk, 6/1 Street Crime, 14/1 Pinnacle Point, 16/1 Futurity, 33/1 Marsh Court .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Buddhist Monk has the ability to win a similar race but RED KESTREL (nap) looks sure to improve on his debut effort and this extra distance should be in his favour Red Kestrel 1.2 to place 1.67 to win 330 BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Liberty Valance, 7/4 Zippi Jazzman, 8/1 Deal Flipper, Meridian Line, 10/1 Sinead Of Aglish, 33/1 Hold That Call .
610 MUSS BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Dimashq, 9/4 Kyber, 5/2 Rightful Ruler, 8/1 Merryvale Man, 25/1 Asrar, 33/1 Always Best, Stravonian, 50/1 Monte Pattino .
I thought I'd include prices at time of writing (1040am) to look at the viability of target profit with place only betting. Yes it sounds like a silly idea and stakes even with a target profit of a five r will escalate quickly after an unplaced horse. |
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