Now you see why I insist on odds on laying! My little experiment yesterday with bigger prices didnt work
PRICE GAPPERS/ WiNNING GAP (ish)
Starry Sky 1st 8/11
Once a Gulch 1st 9/2
Vilna 2nd 10/11
Holiday Cocktail 1st 4/1
Olympic Dream 2nd 7/2
Thumbs up 2nd 7/4
ASker Tua 1st 4/11
All placed and nice priced winners - just luck - there was nothing to distinguish or reduce selections and no analysis of each qualifier
Surely this is not simply a "look for a price gap and leave it at that system" but some interesting results all the same.
625 BATH
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Rioliina, 4/1 Via Mia, 5/1 Wake Me Now, 11/2 Bold Ring, 8/1 Phoenix Enforcer, 20/1 Erris Lady, Spinning Bailiwick, Yanza .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The market will clearly be revealing as regards expectations for the newcomers but RIOLIINA shaped with distinct promise on her debut at Newbury and, as a daughter of Captain Rio, today's easier conditions should be to her likin |
Fav layable if staying around 5/4 - again only the single run and some newcomers in attendance
700
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Like For Like, 7/2 August Days, 5/1 Frame And Cover, 10/1 Cwmni, Intrepid Lady, 14/1 Jimwasright, 20/1 Makaluna, Tyler .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This really is the last-chance saloon for LIKE FOR LIKE, who must go close unless she's gone at the game completely. Frame And Cover and August Days will be popular choices for those seeking an alternative to the Hannon fill |
A poor seller and an odds on shot who is terrible - layable because of lack of consistency in this grade
300 BRIGHTON
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Cavendish Road, 15/8 Bad Baron, 3/1 Hameildaeme, 14/1 Spit And Polish, 20/1 Lyonesse, Persian Tomcat ,
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: CAVENDISH ROAD will be hard to beat if repeating his penultimate effort and he has an edge in experience over Bad Baron, which should count for plenty round here. |
A 3 horse race here - lay the shortest price given the near rivals?
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Casual Garcia, 9/2 Trigger´s Friend, 10/1 Lapina, Trew Style, 12/1 Daring Racer, Prince Of Medina, 16/1 Synonymy, 25/1 Bulberry Hill, Lysander´s Quest .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: It's hard to look beyond the progressive trailblazer CASUAL GARCIA, who silenced any stamina doubts when impressing last week and is an obvious candidate to follow up for his thriving yard. |
Trigger Friend each way for me
240 HAY
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Caranbola, 11/4 Sneak Preview, 7/2 Rafiqa, 9/2 Madame Trop Vite, 8/1 First City .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Not easy to eliminate any of the quintet from calculations. Sneak Preview and Rafiqa, in particular, are open to plenty of improvement, but CARANBOLA sets a decent standard and will not go under without a fight |
BAck both outsiders each way "not easy to eliminate any of the quintet"
615 SAND
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Le Toreador, 4/1 Heaven, 5/1 Ridge Wood Dani, 11/2 Barbary Boy, 6/1 Blue Jack, 11/1 Ten Down, 20/1 Our Acquaintance, 33/1 Extreme North .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: With his good claimer's allowance a big help, LE TOREADOR may well be able to defy a 9lb rise since winning at Pontefract last time and complete a four-timer. Significant rain would diminish confidence in him though, as it would with Ridge Wood Dani, who otherwise rates the main danger |
Le Toreador looks worth laying today on a 4 timer with a 7lb claimer
PRICE GAPPERS /WINNING GAP (again no analysis -just listing them)
625 BATH
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The market will clearly be revealing as regards expectations for the newcomers but RIOLIINA shaped with distinct promise on her debut at Newbury and, as a daughter of Captain Rio, today's easier conditions should be to her liking |
700
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Like For Like, 7/2 August Days, 5/1 Frame And Cover, 10/1 Cwmni, Intrepid Lady, 14/1 Jimwasright, 20/1 Makaluna, Tyler .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This really is the last-chance saloon for LIKE FOR LIKE, who must go close unless she's gone at the game completely. Frame And Cover and August Days will be popular choices for those seeking an alternative to the Hannon filly |
605 FOLK
BETTING FORECAST: 10/11 Casual Garcia, 9/2 Trigger´s Friend, 10/1 Lapina, Trew Style, 12/1 Daring Racer, Prince Of Medina, 16/1 Synonymy, 25/1 Bulberry Hill, Lysander´s Quest .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: It's hard to look beyond the progressive trailblazer CASUAL GARCIA, who silenced any stamina doubts when impressing last week and is an obvious candidate to follow up for his thriving yard |
745 FOLK
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Galpin Junior, 9/2 Secret Society, 11/2 Dannios, 6/1 Five Star Junior, Rocoppelia, 12/1 Nala, 14/1 Reel Ale, 25/1 Rebel City, 33/1 Itainteasybeingme, Orangeleg .
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: GALPIN JUNIOR lived up to his breeding when making a very promising first impression at Salisbury and, with scope for significant improvement, it will be disappointing if he's not up to winning this. |
815 FOLK
SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: TILSWORTH CHARLIE (nap) has been found an excellent opportunity to supplement her recent ready Thirsk victory. 615 SANDOWN BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Le Toreador, 4/1 Heaven, 5/1 Ridge Wood Dani, 11/2 Barbary Boy, 6/1 Blue Jack, 11/1 Ten Down, 20/1 Our Acquaintance, 33/1 Extreme North .
650 SANDOWN BETTING FORECAST: 11/8 On Our Way, 7/2 Dreamwalk, 4/1 Atabaas Allure, 15/2 Hambledon Hill, 16/1 Arushore, 20/1 Blue Dynasty, 25/1 Khan Tengri, 33/1 Corredor Sun, Harlestone Snake .
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