The others I am experimenting on races where the betting forecast indicates perecived dominance by 2-3 horses - again place only betting the ideal here
Red Kestrel won 8/13 1.2 place 1.67 win
Liberty Valance 1.56 to place 2.64 4th
Zippy Jazzman 1.88 to place 3.25 2nd
Dimashq 1.31 place 2.7 unplaced
Dispol Kylie 1.41 place 2.2 win 3rd in a sub 8 runner race so unplaced
Highland Warrior 1.48 place 2.84win WON
Poor for these experiemental bets
345 BEV
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Let It Be, 3/1 Estate, 9/2 Danzatrice, 7/1 Rock ´N´ Roller, 8/1 Mister Arjay, 10/1 Sphinx, 16/1 Clueless, 25/1 Wait For The Light ,
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Hat-trick seeking Let It Be has more on her plate off her revised mark and significant rain would be firmly against her. The vote goes to the well-handicapped ESTATE (nap), who is pretty versatile regarding the ground, should find this stiff 2m right up his street and has solid credentials in what may not be an especially strong race for the grade. |
3 potentials at the head of the market, I would be looking for market leader to place. BUT will shelve it soft ground
LET IT BE 1.74 PLACE 4.8 WIN (11am)
420 BEV
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Jemima´s Art, 6/1 Maha Dubai, 7/1 Highland Love, 8/1 Locum, 12/1 Joinedupwriting, Natural Rhythm, 14/1 Coral Shores, 16/1 Clear Daylight, Reel Buddy Blaze, 20/1 Uncle Harry, 25/1 Topflightrebellion ,
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Assuming she'll be just as effective back under less testing conditions (though forecast rain may change that), JEMIMA'S ART looks difficult to oppose after her 8l success at Newcastle. Taking into account her being out of the weights, she is effectively only 5lb higher. Highland Love and Maha Dubai look best of the remainder. |
Official price gapper here
JEMIMAS ART - PLACE 1.29 WIN 2.64
450 BEV
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Sir Geoffrey, 11/4 Red Rosanna, 11/2 Roof Fiddle, 10/1 Fashion Icon, Iorek Byrnison, Mill Pond, 20/1 Bubbly Baby, 25/1 Kilsyth, Pollish ,
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Sir Geoffrey commands respect on the figures and he has been shaping as though a drop to 5f will suit but the similarly well-drawn RED ROSANNA is a suitable alternative given that she has the best form of those with turf experience. Roof Fiddle is an interesting newcomer |
Another with 3 at the head of the market and Sir Geoffrey to place
SIR GEOFFREY 1.2 PLACE 2.78 WIN
520 BEV
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Fossgate, 7/1 Gulf Coast, 8/1 Fenners, Parkview Love, Sabancaya, 12/1 Fuel Cell, Skye But N Ben, 16/1 Edas, Red Fama, Treetops Hotel, 25/1 Bollin Freddie, Tidy .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Gulf Coast remains on an upward curve and any improvement for this longer trip would see him go close this time. FOSSGATE did win well at Ripon last time though and, with these conditions no problem, he can follow up under his penalt |
Another official price gapper
FOSSGATE PLACE 1.21 WIN 2.44
655 HAM
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Inside Story, 4/1 Five Wishes, 5/1 Chin Wag, 6/1 Primo Way, 8/1 Sarraaf, 10/1 Royal Applord, 100/1 Wolf Pack .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A decent opportunity for INSIDE STORY who invariably hits form at this time of year and recorded back-to-back successes in both 2006 and 200 |
Ideal is 8 runners for 3 the place on Betfair rather than 2 the place
Inside Story PLACE 1.49 2.44 PLACE
725 HAM
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Nutkin, 11/4 Insaaf, 7/2 Badalona, 7/1 Magic Echo, 10/1 Hula Ballew, 12/1 Keisha Kayleigh ,
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The drop back to this trip proved the making of NUTKIN (nap) at Ascot, just as it did with her Hunt Cup and Falmouth winning half-sister Macadamia, and she can confirm her superiority over runner-up Badalona on 5lb worse terms |
Another top heavy market and again 6 runners means 2 the place
TERRY NUTKIN 1.63 PLACE 2.62 WIN
825
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Astrodome, 6/1 Hawkit, Rudry World, 7/1 Chookie Hamilton, 8/1 Los Nadis, World Tour, 16/1 Kirkie, 25/1 Herakles, White Ross, 33/1 Asrar .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Astrodome will be popular after his win here last time and it wouldn't be the biggest surprise if he had more to offer. LOS NADIS should be capable off this sort of mark on the Flat though and this drop back in trip could be in his favour |
Another official price gapper
ASTRODOME 1.21 PLACE 1.98 WIN
200 SAL
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Princess Hannah, 3/1 Zero Money, 100/30 Cavera, 9/1 Mr Flannegan, 10/1 Durgan, 12/1 Davids Matador, 16/1 Banda Sea, 25/1 Baby Josr, 33/1 Jarrah Bay ,
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Princess Hannah is easily the pick of those with previous experience but she has questions to answer after her latest outing and could prove vulnerable to a talented newcomer such as Zero Money or CAVERA |
Top heavy market - place only Princess hannah?
PRINCESS HANNAH 1.45 PLACE 3.45 WIN
535 SANDOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Enderby Spirit, 3/1 Victoria Sponge, 6/1 Always There, Sharp Bullet, 8/1 Cash In The Attic, 10/1 Noverre To Hide, 16/1 Albaseet, 25/1 Overbright, 33/1 Lujeanie, Ruby Best, 40/1 Piccolo Mondo, Short Cut, 50/1 Alexander Newstalk .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: After his promising debut, ENDERBY SPIRIT may well be able to thwart the Hannon duo of Victoria Sponge and Always There. The eyecatching newcomer is Sharp Bullet. |
Place only Enderby Spirit? - NON RUNNER
635
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Too Tall, 4/1 Leulahleulahlay, 5/1 King Of Defence, Papa Meilland, 11/2 Granski, 10/1 Itlaaq, 40/1 Survivor´s Song, 50/1 Lucky Score, 100/1 Four Green Fields ,
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The once-raced pair TOO TALL and Papa Meilland head the list of those that have run, with the Cumani colt in particular looking open to major progress. It is easy to think that the Jarvis and Johnston newcomers King Of Defence and Leulahleulahlay will also prove significant factors though |
Too Tall to place? 1.47 PLACE 3.15 WIN
355 YARMN
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Despite being best on Polytrack, dead ground suits RESPLENDENT NOVA on turf and he's on a winning mark. Lightly raced Myanmar obviously has to be considered, along with fellow 3yo Dan Chillingworth |
Myanmar place only? 1.17 PLACE 2.16 WIN
430 YARM
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 Maddy, 3/1 Grit, 4/1 Safebreaker, 6/1 Flash Of Fire, 20/1 Bagenalstown, Latimer House, Rock Me, Santa Clara .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Grit bounced back under a more aggressive last time but he would have been 21lb better off with MADDY were this a handicap and that's quite an ask |
4 before 20/1 in an 8 runner race - Maddy good to place -1.25 PLACE 2.44 WIN
Official price gappers today will be Astrodome, Fossgate and Jemimas Art
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