Saturday 23 August 2008

23/8

Our acquaintance 4th, Happy Anniversary non runner, Suite Francaise 3rd, Sovereigns honour 3rd, Bonnie Charlie 2nd, and Delegator won. My only bet, Happy Anniversary was a non runner.
Perhaps some good place laying opportunities in the future? Look for sub 8 runner races (only 2 the place) , maiden races and soft ground - looks an ideal recipe if yesterday was anything to go by.
Delegator is the horse to take out of yesterday a good winner in a massive field.

BEVERLEY - soft, heavy in places is not ideal backing ground
150
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Moneycantbuymelove, 5/1 Amethyst Dawn, Izzy Lou, 6/1 Chilly Filly, 12/1 Diesis Of Cloyne, Game Roseanna, 16/1 Choral Festival, 25/1 Sardan Dansar, 33/1 Lomica, 50/1 Staceys Girl, 66/1 Amba, Le Petit Vigier, 100/1 Smoke Me A Kipper .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Only a handful to consider and at the head of the shortlist is MONEYCANTBUYMELOVE, who shaped with plenty of promise on her debut and is bred to handle these softer conditions. Her trainer has a good record at this course with his juveniles and she is taken to beat Izzy Lou

Happy to lay this once raced fav at current 7/4 given ground conditions and number of debutants

430
BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Vienna Affair, 8/1 Minnola, 10/1 First Swallow, Royal Degree, 16/1 Dontpaytheferryman, Onebidkintymill, Safaseef, 25/1 County Crystal, Miss Taboo, Molly Two, 50/1 Master Of Light, 100/1 Ronnies Girl .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Not a strong race. Minnola is an interesting newcomer but this looks at the mercy of VIENNA AFFAIR, who shaped with a good deal of promise in a stronger race than this on her debut and, although not seen since, is open to plenty of progress for her in-form stable

Another maiden race over 5 furlongs on soft and a probable price gapper here but layable to win for me just because of the ground

315 GOODWOOD
BETTING FORECAST: 8/15 Raven´s Pass, 3/1 Bankable, 9/1 Third Set, 20/1 Docofthebay, 25/1 Dubai´s Touch .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Provided the forecast is accurate and it has stayed dry, RAVEN'S PASS is hard to get away from, his career-best latest effort when running Henrythenavigator so close over this C&D in the Sussex Stakes entitling him to win this with a bit to spare. He has had some hard races this season but there was no sign of it catching up with him last time and John Gosden must be happy with him to take this race in. Bankable is easily his most dangerous rival and fully capable of taking advantage if Raven's Pass is at anything other than his best

Ravens Pass looks good for a place here. I don't normally like price gappers in listed races but a solid set of 2's looks good for place betting today, albeit only 2 the place

335 NEWMARKET
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Duke Of Marmalade, 2/1 New Approach, 10/1 Phoenix Tower, Pipedreamer, 25/1 Multidimensional, 33/1 Cat Junior, 40/1 Rob Roy, 66/1 Stubbs Art, 100/1 Championship Point, Halicarnassus, Red Rock Canyon .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: One of those races that needs no financial involvement and is a clash of the generations to savour. Duke Of Marmalade has looked a machine this year and must be fancied to confirm his superiority over Phoenix Tower and Pipedreamer but, if Papal Bull could come as close to beating him as he did in the King George, it's possible that the Ballydoyle superstar could be vulnerable to the Derby winner NEW APPROACH, whose stable took a big prize here yesterday with Lush Lashe

No ground concerns and with place only head on, the Duke looks a good proposition in what should be a 2 horse affair

445
BETTING FORECAST: 2/1 Mawatheeq, 7/1 Dollarsmile, Ignotus, 8/1 Blessing, 9/1 I´m Sensational, 10/1 Mutawahej, Rahere, 14/1 Amaakin, Eleonora, Gaelic Dancer, 25/1 Desert Kiss, Pension Policy, 33/1 Intabih, 40/1 Flight Of Fashion, Spice Run, 66/1 Lord Of Esteem, Tomatina .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: MAWATHEEQ showed enough promise when second at Kempton on his debut to have prospects of going one better but there are plenty of others interesting ones, particularly hurdler Ignotus, bearing in mind what his half-sister Turbo Linn achieved for his stable on the Flat

Another price gap - another 1 time out horse in a big field maiden with a number of debutants - again layable if near evens or odds on

SHORTLIST
Duke of Marmalade stands out for me today for place only betting, and Ravens Pass to fill 1st or 2nd. My only 2 bets to keep the good 100% place run together

FOOTY AT http://soccerbettingmoneymaker.blogspot.com/

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