JEMIMAS ART 4th 3/1- PLACE 1.29 WIN 2.64
SIR GEOFFREY 3rd 1.2 PLACE 2.78 WIN
FOSSGATE 4th 85/40 FOSSGATE PLACE 1.21 WIN 2.44
INSIDE STORY 3rd 11/10 (6 runner race) Inside Story PLACE 1.49 2.44 PLACE
TERRY NUTKIN 1.63 PLACE 2.62 WIN 3rd in a 6 runner race
ASTRODOME 1.21 PLACE 1.98 WIN 1st
PRINCESS HANNAH 1.45 PLACE 3.45 WIN 1st 5/2
TOO TALL 4th 13/8 Too Tall to place? 1.47 PLACE 3.15 WIN
Myanmar place only? 1.17 PLACE 2.16 WIN 2nd 8/13
4 before 20/1 in an 8 runner race - Maddy good to place -1.25 PLACE 2.44 WIN 1st 10/11
Officials in red and poor day for them - BUT my ambitious target profit per day idea would have profitted again - BUT place only odds are v short so stakes will escalate - BUT we never seem to go too long without a place ( including all selections) - SO perhaps a method for compounding - eg £100 get our 2% this way? I am thinking aloud here of course
It looks as if blanket backing of price gappers is not a long term winner without any analysis regarding race type and ground conditions
GOOD TO SOFT AT BEVERLEY really tempers enthusiasm
Let's add a little analysis today
240 BEV
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Florentia, 7/2 Wotatomboy, 5/1 Red Kyte, 11/2 Cash In The Attic, 8/1 Impressible, 14/1 Bussell Along, 20/1 Val De Flores, 33/1 Arriva La Diva, Elsie Jo, Georgie Bee, Le Reve Royal, Monaco Mistress, 50/1 Petella, Valentine Bay ,
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: FLORENTIA shaped well on her debut last week and in the absence of Salsa Star is the selection. She promises to leave that run well behind and can get the better of Red Kyte. |
16 runner 5 furlongs fillies maiden in ground which may turn softer .Florentia is head of the market after only a single run and there are 4 debutants
POSITIVES - Cash in the attic is out (4th fav) along with 4 others reducing the field
530 GREAT LEIGHS
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Hurricane Harriet, 8/1 Seductive Witch, Tugalu, 9/1 Captain Kir, 12/1 Linnet Park, 14/1 Cracking Nick, Enodoc, Swift Acclaim, Tea Cake, Young Ivanhoe, 16/1 L´Art Du Silence, Shatter Resistant, 25/1 Summer Rose, 33/1 Westwood Dawn .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A mostly exposed and out-of-form bunch with the obvious exception of HURRICANE HARRIET, who was fairly emphatic at Yarmouth a week ago and had no trouble defying a penalty there yesterday. Seductive Witch could well emerge as a danger given her solid record on AW.[ |
Eye catching price gapper here - NON RUNNER
600 GREAT LEIGHS
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Stan´s Cool Cat, 7/4 Zaffaan, 3/1 Celtic Spur, 10/1 Rare Art .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The very capable and progressive STAN'S COOL CAT has been found a realistic opportunity to build upon her latest confidence-building Chepstow win and can make the most of the weight received from impressive Ascot scorer Zaffaan |
Lay Rare art or back top 3 to level stakes 4, 3.6, 3.2
630 GREAT LEIGHS
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 General Ting, 4/1 Greenwich Village, Vilna, 10/1 Trachonitis, 12/1 Bell Island, Wind Flow, 14/1 Eventide, Turban Heights, Vinces, 20/1 Eva Soneva So Fast .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: The improving General Ting has to be feared over this proven trip, but one with more solid AW credentials is VILNA, who's found a new level since fitted with a visor and shapes as though he'll relish this longer trip. Greenwich Village completes the shortlist. |
3 before 10/1 indicates the market leader as a good place only bet ? 2.86 win 1.55 place
A handicap -no market movers apparent albeit early on
1.55 place indicates it is a handicap race
800
BETTING FORECAST: 11/4 Desert Hawk, 8/1 Ruwain, 9/1 Magic Amigo, 10/1 Golden Brown, Postmaster, The Grey One, 12/1 Bold Phoenix, Recalcitrant, 14/1 Kilmeena Magic, Shropshirelass, 16/1 Bainisteoir, Hallings Overture, Yakama, 20/1 Classy Affair, 33/1 King Canute, Womaniser .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: DESERT HAWK (nap) looked in fine fettle when recapturing winning ways at Wolverhampton on Monday and, off the same mark, there'll be no excuses on this swift follow-up mission. The Grey One appeals for a place |
16 runner class 6 0-50 handicap - bargain basement horses. Fav a winner last time out and off the same mark in a race where there's 4 the place on BEtfair , 1.53 place 3.8 win
A definite for me this one
SALISBURY - soft ground - care needed
200
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 I Am The Best, 3/1 Sunny Future, 10/1 Solar Graphite, 12/1 Gearbox, 14/1 Mister Dee Bee, 16/1 Such Optimism, 25/1 Marcus Crassus, Mykingdomforahorse, Perfect Friend, 50/1 Harry Raffle, 66/1 Efficiency, Tax Dodger, 100/1 Free To Choose .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This looks like a good opportunity for I AM THE BEST (nap), who hasn't been disgraced in Group Two events and has yet to run in an ordinary maiden, let alone a maiden auction. Sunny Future also has the form to win a race like this, whilst Such Optimism looks the most interesting of the newcomers |
Soft ground the major concern here with all selections at Salisbury. 1.14 place and 1.74 win
Ran in class 1's last 2 races and looks another shortlister
305
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Poyle Dee Dee, 9/2 Willridge, 10/1 Surprise Package, 12/1 Casela Park, Kara Tau, 16/1 Kappalyn, Uncle Fred, 20/1 Aegean Pride, Faintly Hopeful, Tampopo, 66/1 Oronsay, 100/1 Dancing Rhythm .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: POYLE DEE DEE has an obvious chance here after her fine effort over this C&D last time and she should be hard to beat. Kara Tau might go well given his stable's record with new inmates |
Again soft ground to contend with - price gap remains - a 3 year old maiden and 5 debutants
340
BETTING FORECAST: 6/4 Miss Rochester, 9/2 Hepburn Bell, 11/2 Isle Of Capri, 6/1 Sea Chorus, 8/1 Moon Sister, 10/1 Shimoni, 16/1 Star Of Gibraltar, 25/1 Muffett´s Dream .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This is a really competitive race of its type, but MISS ROCHESTER looked a filly to follow last time and it will be no surprise if she takes this en route to better things.Hepburn Bell has shaped as if needing this trip on her last two starts and looks the best alternative |
Isle of Capri non runner and will remain 3 the place on BEtfair
1.19 place and 2.06 win
Again soft ground the potential spoiler
400 SANDOWN
BETTING FORECAST: 8/11 Censored, 3/1 Emirates Lady, 10/1 Sea Swell, 12/1 Flight Of Fashion, Greyfriarsblessing, 20/1 Katy Kitten .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Not the hottest maiden ever staged here and an opportunity for Confidential Lady's half-sister CENSORED. Emirates Lady is the obvious threat on form. |
2 the place and 1.26 place and 1.94 win for Censored
510
BETTING FORECAST: 7/4 The Which Doctor, 11/2 Curzon Prince, 13/2 Danetime Panther, Nightjar, 7/1 Red Birr, 8/1 Baylini, 14/1 Lunar Promise, 16/1 Master Pegasus, 20/1 Hopeful Purchase .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: There's plenty of hope on breeding that THE WHICH DOCTOR (nap) will handle softer ground than he won on here late last month and there's every chance he has more to offer for his in-form yard. Curzon Prince likes some ease in the surface and may be the best alternative. |
Again ifs and buts about softer ground capability
1.45 place 3 win
STRATFORD
Soft - heavy in places - extreme caution needed
540
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Think Lucky, 4/1 Answer Me, Corum, 5/1 Prince Vector, 11/2 Duggan´s Forge, 20/1 Supreme Team, 66/1 King Rocky, Newnham Flyer, Valentine Moon .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Those with hurdling form are not that convincing, particularly on soft ground, so ANSWER ME might be able to build on his bumper efforts over a more suitable trip on his hurdling debut.[ |
5 horse race?
1.49 place and 3.3 win
Maiden hurdle - YIKES!
2 miles 6 furlongs in soft/heavy - YIKES!
810
BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Any Reason, 7/2 Edgefour, 11/2 Sister Agnes, 13/2 Daramoon, 12/1 Looktheotherway, Vicky Bee, 20/1 Blazing Run, Cresswell Ruby, 25/1 Overdante, Will She Spin, 50/1 Cushty, 66/1 Clare Park .
| SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: This will take no winning and ex-Irish pointer ANY REASON may prove up to the task. She is unproven on soft ground but so are most of her likely rivals.[ |
Unproven on soft ground!
Desert Hawk and I am the best would be my certs to place today I think, but let's see how the others progress
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