Sunday 10 August 2008

11/8

Seradim 1st 2/1
Demeanour 3rd 1/2
Snowy Indian 3rd 10/3
Ryedane 5th 6/1
Louidor 8th 4/1
Rescue Me 2nd 2/1

Demeanour the only real standout price gapper yesterday
730 THIRSK
BETTING FORECAST: 5/2 Jaconet, 5/1 Captain Dunne, 6/1 Braille, Wotashirtfull, 8/1 Supermassive Muse, 9/1 Know No Fear, 10/1 Tia Mia, 12/1 Style Award, 14/1 Grudge, 25/1 Blakeshall Diamond .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Jaconet scored in good style at York but she's unlikely to get such an easy lead this time with a couple of other regular front-runners in opposition and CAPTAIN DUNNE (nap) may well be able to reverse that form. Style Award and Braille are feared most

5 furlong and soft ground

550 WINDS
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 Crystal Moments, 100/30 Night Seed, 11/2 Young Dottie, 8/1 Green Poppy, 12/1 Foxtrot Alpha, Give, 25/1 Cocktail Party, 33/1 Hip Hip Hooray .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Night Seed is the only runner with soft-ground form but she will be hard pressed to reverse latest running with CRYSTAL MOMENTS (nap) if the latter adapts to the surface. Both the sire and dam of Crystal Moments acted well on soft, so the signs look promising.

Again the threat of soft ground tempers my emthusiasm

650
BETTING FORECAST: 9/4 Rum Jungle, 5/1 Brave Hawk, Red Somerset, 11/2 Moonlight Man, 15/2 Lordship, 11/1 Full Victory, Meydan Dubai, 12/1 Trafalgar Square, 16/1 Cape Of Luck, 20/1 St Petersburg .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: RUM JUNGLE may be the answer, having produced a career-best run when winning a 7f Newmarket handicap last time, still being on a fair mark off 6lb higher and with further progress likely. Red Somerset, one of several in-form rivals, may be the biggest danger

750
BETTING FORECAST: 5/4 French Art, 100/30 Dollarsmile, 11/2 Acclaimed, 12/1 Apotheosis, Black Coffee, Saintly Gaze, Superior Duchess, 14/1 James Pollard, 25/1 Mister Ross, 50/1 Aston Boy, Brathay, Mayfair´s Future, 100/1 Ryan´s Rock .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: FRENCH ART sets a good standard on two pieces of form this season, on easy ground on his reappearance at Newbury and last time when only collared late on at Haydock. If he runs to that level again he will be tough to beat. Dollarsmile showed only fair form on his debut but could improve for his top stable but it may be that newcomer Acclaimed, who is well bred and represents a good yard too, offers most resistance

230 WOLVES
BETTING FORECAST: 1/2 Elegant Cad, 11/2 Skid Solo, 15/2 Layer Cake, 12/1 Chatterszaha, 16/1 Weet In Nerja, 20/1 Superstitious Me, 100/1 Liliaceae .

SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: It is difficult to get away from dropped-in-class ELEGANT CAD whose stable has a 25% strike-rate with 2yos here. With Skid Solo proving disappointing, Layer Cake may be the one for the forecast

Obvious but an obvious price

Very poor day today

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