HEAD TO HEADS
| 10.09.2011 | D1 | Manisaspor | 1-1 | Trabzonspor | |
| 21.02.2011 | D1 | Manisaspor | 1-2 | Trabzonspor | |
| 16.01.2011 | Cup | Trabzonspor | 3-1 | Manisaspor | |
| 17.09.2010 | D1 | Trabzonspor | 1-3 | Manisaspor | |
| 07.02.2010 | D1 | Trabzonspor | 3-0 | Manisaspor | |
| 23.08.2009 | D1 | Manisaspor | 1-0 | Trabzonspor |
last 2 league meetings tighter than previously.
LEAGUE POSITION - 8th v 10th.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Trabzonspor
RECENT HOME FORM - LWWDWLLLW - defeats have come against 1st, 3rd, 5th and 9th and today's opponents are 10th. Are the top 10 just too much for Trab at home? 3 of the defeats v top 5. 2 of the defeats were 0-1's.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWDDWWDLDLLLW - last 3 defeats v 1st, 2nd and 5th suggest an ability to cope outside of this top 5? Draws and wins from 10th downwards home and away.
GOAL TRENDS - 78% overs at home. Have kept no clean sheets at home. Only 2 clean sheets this whole season suggest if they were to get a positive result out of this match, it will be with the opposition scoring at least a goal. 4 of the last 5 matches over 2.5 goals. Have failed to score (fts) alternately in last 6 matches i.e fts/score/fts/score/fts/score
STREAKS - 5 at home without a draw. Have conceded at home in last 9 matches, and in last 8 overall.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Manisaspor
RECENT AWAY FORM - LDWWDDDDL - only 2 defeats away , both 1-0 v 1st and 14th. 2 0-0 draws and 2 1-1 draws hint at defensive set up away from home.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWDWDWDLDLL - ropey last few matches. Defeats against 3rd, 1st and 5th ( latter 2 1-0 defeats). Another side vulnerable, it would seem, to the top 5. Do today's opponents present an easier task?
GOAL TRENDS - 22% overs - this defensive bent I spoke about earlier is translated into an eyepoppingly small over 2.5 goals percentage. So what will out today? The overwhelming overs of the home side at home, or the strong defense of the away side away?
STREAKS - 5 away without a win, 5 overall. Have conceded in the last 4 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
TRABONZSPOR - defeats have come against 1st, 3rd, 5th and 9th and today's opponents
are 10th. Are the top 10 just too much for Trab at home? 3 of the defeats v top
5. 2 of the defeats were 0-1's. last 3 defeats v 1st, 2nd and 5th
suggest an ability to cope outside of this top 5
MANISASPOR - only 2 defeats
away , both 1-0 v 1st and 14th. 2 0-0 draws and 2 1-1 draws hint at defensive
set up away from home. Overall, Defeats against 3rd, 1st and 5th (
latter 2 1-0 defeats). Another side vulnerable, it would seem, to the top 5. Do
today's opponents present an easier task?
GOALS – TRAB - 78% overs at
home. Have kept no clean sheets at home. Only 2 clean sheets this whole season.
MANIS – 22% overs away from home. Ultra defensive it would seem away.
CONCLUSION – severe clash
of goal trends here. MANIS seem very good defensively away from home. Both
teams seem to have trouble re the top 5, but seem to cope against others. Makes
this tough to call and the value call must be Manisaspor given a likely
defensive bent today.
FORM LAB
Match outcome: Kayserispor have conceded first in 7/10
home matches against bottom-six teams.
There have been -2.5 goals in 7/9 Bursaspor away matches against
top-half teams.
TOP 3
INDICATORS
1)
– Equal goals
in both halves v Bottom 6
2)
- Home HT lose v Bottom half
3)
- Home score last v Bottom 6
530pm - AEK v Doxa Dramas - 1.17 home
HEAD TO HEADS
Doxa newcomers and no head to heads.
LEAGUE POSITION - 3rd v 16th. AEK have played 14 matches ( 2nd have played only 12 matches) and Doxa have played only 8 matches, but boy are they struggling.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - AEK
RECENT HOME FORM - WDWWWWW - superb home form. The only aberration a 1-1 draw v league leaders. 4 of the 6 wins came with a clean sheet, the other 2 matches they conceded only 1 goal.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WDLWLWWWWWL - only 1 draw this season was against top team. All defeats this season have come away from home, and against the top 7. This suggests Doxa should be easyisg pickings, albeit they are in a false position as they have played 6 games fewer.
GOAL TRENDS - 43% overs at home.3 of the last 4 matches under 2.5 goals. This might happen today with a likelihood of a 2-0 home win?AEK have scored in all home matches so worse case would be a 1 goal match. They have failed to score in only 2 matches this season and have won all matches against bottom 9 sides.
STREAKS - 5 match home winning streak. No draw in 9 overall. Have scored in the last 7 at home.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Doxas
RECENT AWAY FORM - LLLL - 3 of the defeats saw Doxas not score. Have not played 2nd to 7th inclusive away, but lost 6-0 to top side Olympiakos, the side AEK drew with at home.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - DLLLLLLL - only 1 draw 0-0 v 11th at home. 7 matches saw Doxas unable to score.
GOAL TRENDS - 50% overs away from home, so generally not getting spanked and also not scoring so 2-0 sounds an obvious starting point.Only 1 clean sheet this season was first match of the season. Only 2 matches over 2.5 goals this season.
STREAKS - 4 match losing streak away, and 7 overall. No win in 8 overall. No draw in 7 overall. Have conceded in 7 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - short and sweet - likely to be a home win, possibly to nil. Collateral form via Olympiakos. 1-1 draw with AEK and beat Doxas 6-0 away. 1.17 suggests 3/4 goal win , normally to nil for AEK.
FORM LAB
Top 3 indicatorsFORM LAB
·
-2.5
goals: There have been -2.5 goals in 13/20
Panionios home matches and in 10/10 A Tripolis away matches against bottom-six
teams. A Tripolis have lost 9/10 away matches.
1) - under 1.5 match goals v Bottom 6
2) - home 2nd half draw v Bottom 6
3) - Home fail to score v bottom half
630pm - Galatasaray v Istanbul BB - 1.55 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 11.09.2011 | D1 | İstanbul BB | 2-0 | Galatasaray SK | |
| 26.02.2011 | D1 | İstanbul BB | 3-1 | Galatasaray SK | |
| 26.09.2010 | D1 | Galatasaray SK | 3-1 | İstanbul BB | |
| 01.05.2010 | D1 | İstanbul BB | 0-1 | Galatasaray SK | |
| 06.12.2009 | D1 | Galatasaray SK | 1-1 | İstanbul BB | |
| 19.04.2009 | D1 | İstanbul BB | 0-1 | Galatasaray SK |
LEAGUE POSITION - 1st v 9th
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Galatasary
RECENT HOME FORM - WWWLDWWW - loss against 15th and draw was 0-0 against 6th. In all bar one of the home wins, Galatasary conceded 1 goal. In all bar one match, Gala scored either 2 or 3 goals.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWDLWDDWWWWWW - great recent run in marked contrast to last season. Actually lost to today's team on 1st day of the season, one of only 2 defeats.
GOAL TRENDS - 63% overs at home. Only 3 of last 9 matches over 2.5 goals . 7 of last 9 matches over 2.5 goals. failed to score in 4 this season, 3 0-0's and the 2-0 defeat v today's opponents.
STREAKS - 3 match home winning run, 6 overall. No defeat in 9, and have scored in last 6 overall.3 match clean sheet streak.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Istanbul Bb
RECENT AWAY FORM - WWLLWLLDL - wins v 8th, 10th and 18th , 3 of 5 defeats against top 7 .Have conceded 4 v 2nd and 5th.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WLDWDLWLDDDL - only 1 win in last 8 in stark contrast with Gala.
GOAL TRENDS - 44% overs away from home. Only 1 of last 5 overs. Have scored 0-0-1-1-0 in last 5.
STREAKS - no win in 4 away and 5 overall. Have conceded in last 7 away.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
GALATASARY – better season, and lying top. At home, only loss against 15th and draw was 0-0 against
6th. Only 2 defeats all
season, one against today’s opponents first match of season.
ISTANBUL – away, wins
v 8th, 10th and 18th , 3 of 5 defeats against top 7 .Have conceded 4 v 2nd and
5th.Overall, only 1 win in last 8.
GOALS – GALATASARY - In
all bar one of the home wins, Galatasary conceded 1 goal. In all bar one match,
Gala scored either 2 or 3 goals. 6 match winning run overall. 63%
overs at home. 44% overs for Istanbul away. Have scored 0-0-1-1-0 in last 5
matches. Have conceded in last 7 away.
CONCLUSION – starkly contrasting
recent form puts things firmly in galatasary’s favour. Istanbul having trouble
scoring in last 5 opens correct scores to nil and 1 , e.g. 2-1 , 2-0, 3-1.
Highly speculative because I cannot decide if Istanbul are capable of scoring a
goal. Gala keep conceding when they win at home.
FORM LAB
Match outcome: Galatasaray have won 5/8 home matches
against top-half teams while Istanbul BB have lost by two or more goals in 5/9
trips to top-six teams. Istanbul BB have lost 6/9 away matches against top-six
teams.
TOP 3
INDICATORS
1)
– Home Win/Win
v Top half
2)
- Home win by 2+ v Top half
3)
- Home score first v all
7pm - Albacete v Ath Bilbao - 1.74 away
Spanish Cup and I tend not to research Cup games.This is D31 v top flight. Logic says this 1.74 away for the Primera side is very tempting but we don't know mentality as regards Cup.
745pm - Tottenham v West Brom - 1.38 home - with Man City and Liverpool potentially able to take points off each other, and United losing unexpectedly, as well as the Arse, things are rosy for Spurs and a win will put them bang in the title race.Strength in depth in the squad and a WBA side as tenacious as a terrier are the stumbling blocks.
HEAD TO HEADS
| 26.11.2011 | PR | West Bromwich | 1-3 | Tottenham | |
| 23.04.2011 | PR | Tottenham | 2-2 | West Bromwich | |
| 11.09.2010 | PR | West Bromwich | 1-1 | Tottenham | |
| 02.05.2009 | PR | Tottenham | 1-0 | West Bromwich | |
| 28.12.2008 | PR | West Bromwich | 2-0 | Tottenham | |
| 27.03.2006 | PR | Tottenham | 2-1 | West Bromwich |
Spuds have scored 2-3 in recent matches
LEAGUE POSITION - 3rd v 14th. Game on for Spurs , a win takes them to 42 points in light of the Madchester teams' inabilities against poorer opponents.
LEAGUE POSITION - 3rd v 14th. Game on for Spurs , a win takes them to 42 points in light of the Madchester teams' inabilities against poorer opponents.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Spurs
RECENT HOME FORM - LWWWWWWD - recent draw 1-1 v Chelsea.All wins have come outside the top 4.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWDWWWWWWLWDWD - 2 1-1 draws not good enough when top 2 are dropping points. It does hint, though at 1-1 insurance cover bet .
GOAL TRENDS - 63% overs at home. 67% overs overall this season, so 2 in 3 are over 2.5 goals. Have scored in all home matches this season and scored in all bar 1st match of the season. Last 4 matches under 2.5 goals , the 1-1 recently v Swansea what WBA will be attempting today.
STREAKS - No defeat in 7 at home , have scored in last 17 overall.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - WBA
RECENT AWAY FORM - LWLDWLDWW - only 1 defeat in last 6 matches was away to the Arse, and only 3 losses away were against 4th, 5th and 11th. Have yet to play the top 3, but these defeats v 4th and 5th are ominous.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WLLWLDLWWDL - all bar 1 defeat has come home and away against top 11. In the defeats this season v 3rd, 4th and 5th home and away, WBA scored 1 goal.
GOAL TRENDS - 78% overs away from home. Have failed to score in last 2 matches v City and Everton. Only 1 clean sheet in last 11. Last 2 matches unders but 3 before those were overs.
STREAKS - 2 match winning streak away. Have conceded in last 7 away.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS
TOTTENHAM – scored 2 and 3
in last 2 head to heads. a win takes them to 42 points in light of the
Madchester teams' inabilities against poorer opponents. At home, recent
draw 1-1 v Chelsea.All wins have come outside the top 4. Overall, 2 1-1
draws not good enough when top 2 are dropping points. It does hint, though at
1-1 insurance cover bet
WBA – away, only 1
defeat in last 6 matches was away to the Arse, and only 3 losses away were
against 4th, 5th and 11th. Have yet to play the top 3, but these defeats v 4th
and 5th are ominous.Overall, all bar 1 defeat has come home and away
against top 11. In the defeats this season v 3rd, 4th and 5th home and away,
WBA scored 1 goal.
GOALS - 63% overs at
home. 67% overs overall this season. Have scored in all home matches
this season and scored in all bar 1st match of the season. Last 4 matches under
2.5 goals. have scored in last 17 overall For WBA, 78% overs away
from home. Have failed to score in last 2 matches v City and Everton. Only 1
clean sheet in last 11. Last 2 matches unders but 3 before those were overs.
CONCLUSION – Spurs have
scored in all bar 1st match of season so reactive traders take note.
1-1 insurance bet might be wise as this match has the feel of a 1-1 like recent
apparent mismatches.WBA away have only lost 1 of last 6, but have lost to 4th
and 5th away. Hint that this will be a valiant defeat for WBA. The struggle against top
5. Over 2.5 goals as far as the stats are concerned but as I say this has an
eerily familiar feel to recent apparent mismatches which have seen one team
defend to the hilt. Spurs eventually for me I feel.
From a purely motivational perspective, this is THE chance to close the gap at the top to 3 points. You get the feeling that if Spurs spurn this opportunity then the boat will have been well and truly missed.
FORM LAB
No Game notes for this
match for some reason
TOP 3 INDICATORS
1)
– Home HT win v
All
2)
- Home 2nd half draw v Bottom half
3)
- Over 2.5 match goals v Bottom half
745pm - Wigan v Sunderland - 2.8 home, 2.84 away - the bookies can't split them. The new manager factor has re-ignited Sunderland, and Wigan have themselves shown shoots of recovery after generally being the whipping boys.
HEAD TO HEADS
| 26.11.2011 | PR | Sunderland AFC | 1-2 | Wigan Athletic | |
| 23.04.2011 | PR | Sunderland AFC | 4-2 | Wigan Athletic | |
| 11.09.2010 | PR | Wigan Athletic | 1-1 | Sunderland AFC | |
| 06.02.2010 | PR | Sunderland AFC | 1-1 | Wigan Athletic | |
| 28.11.2009 | PR | Wigan Athletic | 1-0 | Sunderland AFC | |
| 14.03.2009 | PR | Sunderland AFC | 1-2 | Wigan Athletic |
LEAGUE POSITION - 18th v 15th and Wigan now have a realistic chance of getting out of the bottom 3. A win takes them 16th today and it is a home match.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Wigan
RECENT HOME FORM - DWLLLDLDD - only 1 win this season v QPR at home. 3 draws in last 4 includes draws v chelsea and Liverpool - highly disciplined defensive display.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - LLLLDWLWDDLD - the poor losing run is halting but the wins are still not materialising enough. 3 draws in last 4. Have beaten Sunderland already this season but remember the new manager .
GOAL TRENDS - 44% overs at home. Only 3 clean sheets this season. Have failed to score in 2 of last 3 v Liverpool and United.
STREAKS - no win in 7 at home and 4 overall.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Sunderland
RECENT AWAY FORM - DDLLWLLLW - The O'neill factor cannot be underestimated as you will see below. Recent losses though v Man Utd, Wolves and Spurs.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - LDLWDLDLLWLWDW - 3 wins and a draw in last 5, coincides with Martin O'Neill's arrival. And what an impact! Wins v Blackburn, QPR and Man City.
GOAL TRENDS - 44% overs away from home identical to Wigan at home.Only 2 of last 10 matches did Sunderland keep a clean sheet. 3 of last 4 matches unders.
STREAKS - 7 away without a draw. Have conceded in last 4 away. Have scored in last 3 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - sorry folks, this is tighter than my brother when it's his round. 44% overs says it all for both sides. Could be an ultra tight match . The O'Neill factor , as well as Wigan's apparent recent improvement, adds to the "headscratcher" element of this match. Perhaps take your cues from the FORM LAB?
FORM LAB
• -2.5 goals: 15 of Wigan’s last 26 home matches have had -2.5 goals as have five of their nine this term. Likewise, Sunderland have had -2.5 goals in 5/9 away games this term and also in 15/28 of their away fixtures since 2010/11. Five of the last eight meetings between these two have had -2.5 goals as have 12/20 of Sunderland’s away games against bottom-six sides since 2009/10.1) - HT score 0-0 v Bottom 6
2) - Home Draw/Win v Bottom 6
3) - Home HT Draw v Bottom 6
8pm - Man City v Liverpool - 1.93 home - what was with that defeat v Sunderland? I must say I don't really like these big team clashes as betting mediums because it's a case of the last 3 head to heads, one team win 3-0, the other wins 3-0 ( because they played best on the day) and then we get a stalemate.
HEAD TO HEADS
| 27.11.2011 | PR | Liverpool FC | 1-1 | Manchester City | |
| 11.04.2011 | PR | Liverpool FC | 3-0 | Manchester City | |
| 23.08.2010 | PR | Manchester City | 3-0 | Liverpool FC | |
| 21.02.2010 | PR | Manchester City | 0-0 | Liverpool FC | |
| 21.11.2009 | PR | Liverpool FC | 2-2 | Manchester City | |
| 22.02.2009 | PR | Liverpool FC | 1-1 | Manchester City |
LEAGUE POSITION - 1st v 6th and it's panic stations at City with Spurs closing in .
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - City
RECENT HOME FORM - WWWWWWWWW - winning runs will end against the right opponents. Not played any of the top 4 and only a 1-0 v Arsenal.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWDWLWWDL - recent DL away v West Brom and Sunderland saw City shut out ( yes I acknowledge they are playing at home. )All dropped points away from home.
GOAL TRENDS - 78% overs at home. 74% overs overall. Have scored 27 goals in first half hour of 2nd half. Have only conceded 5 in first hour of all matches this season. City have scored 3 or more in 7 home matches but I remind you only 1-0 v Arsenal.City have kept 3 clean sheets in last 4 and nearly kept a 4th bar a Sunderland 90th minute winner. Last 2 matches only have City failed to score. is the fixture list posing a problem over this period?
STREAKS - 9 match winning run at home. Have kept 2 clean sheets in last 2 at home.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Liverpool
RECENT AWAY FORM - WLLWWWLWD - 2 of the defeats 1-0 v Stoke and Fulham. 4 wins in last 6 away and 3 of those wins 0-2 for Liverpool. Solidity in defence?
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WDWDLWWDDW - only recent loss in 14 was away to Fulham 1-0. Liverpool, we can infer, are in good health. Drew 1-1 at home to City and United. Will this be replicated away?
GOAL TRENDS - 22% overs away from home - standout stat. Apart from 4-0 v Spuds, only conceded 2 2 1-0 losses away. Unders is the overwhelming trend this season. Have only conceded 3 in the first half hour of matches all season.
STREAKS - 2 away without defeat. 5 overall without defeat. No goal conceded in 2 away.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - another short and sweet - the goals trends are sharply contrasting here. The attacking flair of City at home and the strong defensive solidity of the Reds away. My instinct would be to lay City at odds on as the apparent value. 0-0 back might work initially as a back to lay trade. This match is quite simply the best on the day will prevail. 1-1 might be a goer if there is a goal to be scored.
FORM LAB
• Match outcome: While Man City are going through a blip on the road – they’re winless in four on their travels – they remain very strong at home. They have a 100% record at home this season and have won 8/9 games by two clear goals. Their current home-win streak stands at 14 matches and they are unbeaten in 19. Last season, Man City won 3/5 against fellow top-six finishers while Liverpool lost 3/5 including a 3-0 defeat to City. Man City have scored in their last 21 home matches and Liverpool have lost 7/10 away games under Kenny Dalglish when they have conceded.FORM LAB
TOp 3 INDICATORS
1) - HT score 0-0 v Top 6
2) - Under 1.5 match goals v Top 6
3) - Most match goals 2nd half v Top half
845pm - Guimaraes v Benfica - 1.72 away
Cup match so no point doing research.
9pm - Real Madrid v Malaga - 1.13 home
Spanish Cup. 1.13 we know by now should usually equate to goals and plenty of them, and usually a win to nil. No ridiculous fixture pile up for Real Madrid should afford the Special Needs One the opportunity to play his first team. And there's goals in Ronny, Higuan, and Benzema.
No comments:
Post a Comment