Sunday 22 January 2012

22/1

The Premierleague showed yesterday that the transfer market is playing havoc with some matches. New signing Robbie Keane, for instance, single handedly turned around Villa's fortunes at Wolves. And these new signings are creeping into teams as January progresses which really makes it doubly hard to get a solid angle in. One signing could change a team's fortunes.



130pm - Man City v Tottenham - 1.91 home
HEAD TO HEADS
28.08.2011PRTottenham1-5Manchester City
10.05.2011PRManchester City1-0Tottenham
14.08.2010PRTottenham0-0Manchester City
05.05.2010PRManchester City0-1Tottenham
16.12.2009PRTottenham3-0Manchester City
16.05.2009PRTottenham2-1Manchester City

1-5 anomolous in context of 3 previous head to heads. 
LEAGUE POSITION - 1st v 3rd

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Man City - no really new signings just yet for City.

RECENT HOME FORM - WWWWWWWWWW - perfect. 6 clean sheets and 4 with 1 goal conceded.Have yet to play the top 4 at home.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWWDWLWWDLWW - 2 away defeats v Chelsea and Sunderland and a 0-0 draw with WBA away too. Man City have conceded only 1 goal in last 6 matches. 

GOAL TRENDS - 80% overs at home. Have scored, of course, in all home matches. 0.4 conceded at home. 2 of last 6 matches over 2.5 goals. Have kept a clean sheet in 5 of last 6 matches. City have only failed to score in only 2 matches this season and they came in last 4 matches.

STREAKS - 10 match home winning streak. 

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Spurs

RECENT AWAY FORM - LWWDWWWLWD - 2 away defeats came against 2nd and 8th and drew 2-2 with 6th. In 7 away matches, Spurs have scored 2 or 3.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWWWLWDWDWWD - Last 3 draws 1-1 and an argument that Spurs are having trouble scoring? 1-1-1-2-1-1-2-1 scored in recent matches. And if Spurs are not scoring more than 1 goal regularly, they will find winning difficult.  

GOAL TRENDS - 70% overs away from home. 6 clean sheets in last 11. Spurs have also had under 2.5 goals in last 7 which reflects what I said about trouble scoring more than 1 in a match.Spurs have scored in all of their last 20 matches

STREAKS - have scored in last 9 away. No defeat in 7 overall.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - City's beating of Liverpool at home last time was a surprise for me. I guess I expected the Reds to be competitive. My concern with Spuds today is they have scored only 1-1-1-2-1-1-2-1 in recent matches. 1 goal may not be enough for them today. They have had 6 clean sheets in last 11 but may have trouble keeping City out. The research points, obviously , to over 2.5 goals.What do we make of Spurs last 7 matches unders though? Is City a one off? There are no new signings for either team which might lead to a Keane-eque change of fortune. If you think City will win, start your correct score search around to 1 goal correct score. 

130pm - VVV v Feyenoord - 1.5 away
HEAD TO HEADS -
16.10.2011D1Feyenoord4-0VVV Venlo
01.05.2011D1VVV Venlo3-2Feyenoord
27.10.2010D1Feyenoord3-0VVV Venlo
24.01.2010D1VVV Venlo1-1Feyenoord
24.10.2009D1Feyenoord1-0VVV Venlo
11.07.2009CFVVV Venlo2-2/p.4-1Feyenoord

Feyenoord struggle away from home.
LEAGUE POSITION18th v 6th ( bottom v 6th)

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - VVV

RECENT HOME FORM - DDDLLWDLW - wins against 9th and 13th. Have conceded 3-3-2-3 against top 5 at home. And playing 6th today.

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LLLLWLDLLLWL - positive results have come at home. Against top 7 home and away, have conceded 3-3-4-2-3-4-4. 

GOAL TRENDS - 67% overs at home, 70% overs overall. This is down largely to conceding. Have only had 3 clean sheets this season, all at home. All bar 5 matches over 2.5 goals. 

STREAKS - 5 overall without a draw.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Feyenoord

RECENT AWAY FORM - WDWLDLWWD - all draws , against 4th, 12th and 14th, score draws. Defeats came against 1st and 8th.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLWDLLWWWDW - blip ended with 4 wins in 5. The draw was 2-2 v Utrecht . 

GOAL TRENDS - 67% overs away from home. 70% overall exactly the same as VVV - only 5 matches all season under 2.5 goals exactly the same as VVV.Failed to score in only 3 matches this season.Have scored 4-2-4- without conceding home and away v bottom 3 - Strong goalscoring form either side of halftime so watch out for that. 

STREAKS - no defeat in 5 overall and have scored in last 5 overall.

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - exactly the same goal trends for both sides overwhelmingly over 2.5 goals. We would ideally like to see both sides score to ensure overs, but there may be an argument for 0-2 away .0-2, 0-3, might be goers.

2pm - Novara v AC Milan - 1.46 away
HEAD TO HEADS
18.01.2012CupAC Milan2-1 AETNovara Calcio
13.01.2010CupAC Milan2-1Novara Calcio

no league matches. 
LEAGUE POSITION - 20th v 2nd.And a feeling AC Milan could have been shorter.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Novara

RECENT HOME FORM - WDLDLWDDL - wins at home have come against Inter Milan 3-1 and Parma 2-1. 4 draws were score draws . All 3 defeats at home, v 6th, 13th and 16th, were 0-2 or 0-3 results. Have not played top 4 at home yet. 

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LDDLLWLDLDLL - have conceded 2-2-3-3 in last 4 matches. 

GOAL TRENDS - 56% overs at home. Have conceded in all matches this season. Last 3 matches overs.

STREAKS - have conceded in last 9 at home and last 18 overall.6 overall without a win. 

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - AC Milan

RECENT AWAY FORM - LLWWDWDWW - losses against 1st and 7th away.Against bottom 6, have scored 2-2-4. 

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWWDWWDWWWL - sole loss recently against Inter Milan. 

GOAL TRENDS - 44% overs away from home. 5 of last 6 under 2.5 goals down to 4 2-0 scorelines. 7 of last 9 matches saw AC Milan keep a clean sheet. Have failed to score in only 3 this season. AC Milan have scored 4-2-2-2-2-2-0 in most recent matches.  4 of last 6 matches 2-0's.

STREAKS - 7 away without a defeat. No draw in 4 overall. Have kept a clean sheet in 4 of last 5 matches. 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - 0-2, 0-3 looks a good starting point for correct score. The fact AC Milan are only 1.46 considering who they're playing, signals a potential rear guard action . Tough to predict overs or unders. Milan should win eventually. 

3pm - Lucon v Lyon - 1.37 away
330pm - Utrecht v PSV - 1.46 away
HEAD TO HEADS
15.10.2011D1PSV Eindhoven1-0FC Utrecht
20.03.2011D1PSV Eindhoven1-0FC Utrecht
07.11.2010D1FC Utrecht1-2PSV Eindhoven
03.02.2010D1PSV Eindhoven2-1FC Utrecht
04.10.2009D1FC Utrecht0-0PSV Eindhoven
11.04.2009D1PSV Eindhoven2-0FC Utrecht

tight head to heads
LEAGUE POSITION - 14th v 2nd  - a chance to go top with AZ  facing a toughie today.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - utrecht

RECENT HOME FORM - DWDWLWLD - defeats against 3rd and 5th at home. 

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LWLLLWDLLDL - beat Ajax 6-4 and beat Waalwijk 3-0. 

GOAL TRENDS - 100% overs at home. Have scored in all home matches. Have conceded 4-3-4-2-2-6-2-1 in recent matches. Have only kept a clean sheet in 2 matches this season. 

STREAKS - Have scored in 8 at home. No win in 5 overall. Have conceded in last 9 overall. 

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - PSV

RECENT AWAY FORM - LWDWDDWLW - only defeats away against 1st and 6th. All 3 draws score draws against 3rd, 7th and bottom. 

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WWWDDWWWLWW - sole loss recently against 6th away. 5 wins in last 6. 

GOAL TRENDS - 67% overs away from home -have only failed to score in 1 match this season. 

STREAKS - have conceded in last 5 away.no draw in 6 overall. 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - surely goal trends point to over 2.5 goals coming in with ease PSV have only failed to score in 1 match this season, and Utrecht have only kept 2 clean sheets this season so that is a great starting point. Do we go with recent form or do we account for head to heads ( 2 1-0 scorelines last 2 matches). Utrecht have lost against 3rd and 5th at home. LLDL v WLWW in recent form. Perhaps a saver on 1-0 Utrecht?

4pm - Ivory Coast v Sudan - 1.25 home
4pm - Russia U21 v Turkmenistan U21 - 1.2 home
415pm - Braga v Rio Ave - 1.39 home
HEAD TO HEADS

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

5pm - Malaga v Barcelona - 1.35 away
HEAD TO HEADS

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

615pm - Porto v Guimaraes - 1.3 home
HEAD TO HEADS

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

745pm - Inter v Lazio - 1.75 home
HEAD TO HEADS

LEAGUE POSITION

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT HOME FORM

RECENT FORM OVERALL

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team

RECENT AWAY FORM

RECENT OVERALL FORM

GOAL TRENDS

STREAKS

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS

745pm - Marseille v Le Havre - 1.35 home

No comments: