26/1

Sorry about yesterday, I was just so overwhelmed with work. I hope you did some research yourselves. There were some good matches and good angles in yesterday.
7pm - Ivory Coast v Burkina Faso - 1.43 home - a Drogba 1-0 win in Ivory's first match was unconvincing. - head to heads tell us nothing. There are no recent meetings. Last meeting was 2010 and that was a 0-0, but prior to that Ivorians scored 5 to no reply.
Only 1 defeat in the last 15 for the Ivory Coast was a 0-1 v Tanzania. 9 clean sheets in those 15 matches and 6 1-0 scorelines. Last 2 matches have been 1-0 wins.A poor run for the Elephants in the ACN.

Mon	11/01/10	ACO	Côte d'Ivoire	0 - 0	Burkina Faso		More info
Fri	15/01/10	ACO	Côte d'Ivoire	3 - 1	Ghana	View events	More info
Tue	19/01/10	ACO	Côte d'Ivoire	CANC	Togo		More info
Sun	24/01/10	ACO	Côte d'Ivoire	2 - 3E	Algeria	View events	More info
Sun	22/01/12	ACO	Côte d'Ivoire	1 - 0	Sudan

and that was where the last 0-0 with Burkino Faso came from. On their day, the Ivory Coast can score goals. - with the Premiership pairing of Drogba and Kalou.

Wed	10/08/11	FRI	South Africa	3 - 0	Burkina Faso		More info
Sat	03/09/11	FRI	Burkina Faso	1 - 0	Equatorial Guinea		More info
Sat	08/10/11	ACO	Gambia	1 - 1	Burkina Faso	View events	More info
Fri	11/11/11	FRI	Burkina Faso	1 - 1	Mali		More info
Tue	15/11/11	FRI	Guinea	1 - 1	Burkina Faso		More info
Mon	09/01/12	FRI	Gabon	0 - 0	Burkina Faso		More info
Sun	22/01/12	ACO	Burkina Faso	1 - 2	Angola

Of late it would seem that Burkino Faso are stubborn bar stewards. Angola's winner came in the 70th minute last match. Have Burkino, in friendlies, been working specifically on defending? If so we could see another tight match this afternoon.

Sat	19/01/02	ACO	South Africa	0 - 0	Burkina Faso		More info
Fri	25/01/02	ACO	Burkina Faso	1 - 2	Morocco		More info
Tue	29/01/02	ACO	Burkina Faso	1 - 2	Ghana		More info
Sun	25/01/04	ACO	Senegal	0 - 0	Burkina Faso		More info
Thu	29/01/04	ACO	Burkina Faso	1 - 3	Mali		More info
Sun	01/02/04	ACO	Burkina Faso	0 - 3	Kenya		More info
Mon	11/01/10	ACO	Côte d'Ivoire	0 - 0	Burkina Faso		More info
Fri	15/01/10	ACO	Burkina Faso	CANC	Togo		More info
Tue	19/01/10	ACO	Burkina Faso	0 - 1	Ghana	View events	More info
Sun	22/01/12	ACO	Burkina Faso	1 - 2	Angola

Looking at African Cup of Nations (ACN) form, Burkino have not always qualified for the tournament. But when they have they have tended to get beaten 2-1 or 3-1. This might offer hope for the Elephants? 0-0's do pervade but we are heading back to 2002 and 2004. So these are inaccurate.
Tough to call therefore. Obviously 0-0 with Ivory Coast last ACN but then began this ACN with a 2-1 loss .
730pm - Standard v Mons - 1.47 home
HEAD TO HEADS

30.07.2011	D1	RAEC Mons	1-1	Standard Liège
11.07.2009	CF	Standard Liège	1-0	RAEC Mons
06.03.2009	D1	RAEC Mons	0-1	Standard Liège
18.10.2008	D1	Standard Liège	2-1	RAEC Mons

Tight head to heads but a gap in 2010.

LEAGUE POSITION - 5th v 10th and a chance for Standard to go 4th with a win.

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Standard

RECENT HOME FORM  -WWWDWWWWDDW - superb home form.All draws 0-0 occured against top 7. Have scored 3,6,3 against 8th, 9th, 11th. 

RECENT FORM OVERALL - WDWWWDDDLWD - Defeats have all come away to top 6 - any coincidence? 3 0-0's , including 2 at home, in last 6 matches. Just a case of meeting the top teams in one go?

GOAL TRENDS - 46% overs at home  - 5 of last 6 matches unders, down largely to the swathe of draws.Standard have failed to score in 4 of last 6  ( all bar one of those were against top 6 so that may explain it)

STREAKS - 11 at home without defeat.

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Mons

RECENT AWAY FORM - DDLLLLLWWL - wins away against 3rd from bottom and bottom. Overall away form in stark contrast to Standard's home form. All matches bar 1 away have seen a concession of at least 2 goals Therein lies Mons problems and there we can start looking for correct scores. Mons have also only failed to score in 2 matches so this may help with the over 2.5 goals if we assume both Mons and Standard score.

RECENT OVERALL FORM - WLDLWLWLWDLD - talk about inconsistent - last 4 draws have all come at home. Last 2 wins were away to bottom 3 sides.

GOAL TRENDS- Have conceded in all matches this season. 70% overs away from home, down largely to an ability to score and concede in all bar 2 matches, and concede 2 or more in all bar 1 match. General trend for overs obviously follows season long.Only failed to score in 3 this season so obviously over 2.5 goals must be a goer ( or even go to over 3.5 goals?)

STREAKS - no draw in 8 away. 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS- form points to a likely home win with the chance both teams will score and Standard will score 2 minimum. 2-0, 3-1, 2-1 likely starters? If Mons score first, enhanced bettors get stuck in. Watch out for the potential of a tight first half . Mons tend to concede most goals in the 2nd half.

745pm - AC Milan v Lazio - 1.88 home - Another cup match here and AC are given favouratism. Inter went down to NApoli yesterday.

Wed	03/12/08	COI	Milan	1 - 2E	Lazio	View events	More info
Wed	13/01/10	COI	Milan	2 - 1	Novara	View events	More info
Wed	27/01/10	COI	Milan	0 - 1	Udinese	View events	More info
Thu	20/01/11	COI	Milan	3 - 0	Bari	View events	More info
Wed	26/01/11	COI	Sampdoria	1 - 2	Milan	View events	More info
Wed	20/04/11	COI	Milan	2 - 2	Palermo	View events	More info
Tue	10/05/11	COI	Palermo	2 - 1	Milan	View events	More info
Wed	18/01/12	COI	Milan	E2 - 1	Novara

A feeling in recent years that the shackles are off in his competition. An ability to consistently score 2 in Coppa matches., albeit the last 2 came after extra time . Have conceded in all of last 4 Coppa matches.

Tue	11/01/05	COI	Milan	2 - 0	Palermo		More info
Tue	25/01/05	COI	Milan	3 - 2	Udinese		More info
Mon	28/11/05	COI	Milan	3 - 1	Brescia		More info
Tue	24/01/06	COI	Milan	1 - 0	Palermo		More info
Tue	07/11/06	COI	Milan	4 - 2	Brescia		More info
Thu	11/01/07	COI	Milan	2 - 0	Arezzo		More info
Thu	25/01/07	COI	Milan	2 - 2	Roma		More info
Thu	20/12/07	COI	Milan	1 - 2	Catania		More info
Wed	03/12/08	COI	Milan	1 - 2E	Lazio	View events	More info
Wed	13/01/10	COI	Milan	2 - 1	Novara	View events	More info
Wed	27/01/10	COI	Milan	0 - 1	Udinese	View events	More info
Thu	20/01/11	COI	Milan	3 - 0	Bari	View events	More info
Wed	20/04/11	COI	Milan	2 - 2	Palermo	View events	More info
Wed	18/01/12	COI	Milan	E2 - 1	Novara

An ability to score in home Coppa fixtures and also concede on occasion.

Sat	23/08/08	COI	Lazio	5 - 1	Benevento	View events	More info
Wed	01/10/08	COI	Lazio	2 - 0	Atalanta	View events	More info
Wed	03/12/08	COI	Milan	1 - 2E	Lazio	View events	More info
Thu	22/01/09	COI	Lazio	3 - 1	Torino	View events	More info
Tue	03/03/09	COI	Lazio	2 - 1	Juventus	View events	More info
Wed	22/04/09	COI	Juventus	1 - 2	Lazio	View events	More info
Wed	13/05/09	COI	Lazio	P1 - 1	Sampdoria	View events	More info
Thu	14/01/10	COI	Lazio	2 - 0	Palermo	View events	More info
Wed	20/01/10	COI	Fiorentina	3 - 2	Lazio	View events	More info
Wed	27/10/10	COI	Lazio	3 - 0	Portosummaga	View events	More info
Thu	25/11/10	COI	Lazio	3 - 0	AlbinoLeffe	View events	More info
Wed	19/01/11	COI	Roma	2 - 1	Lazio	View events	More info
Tue	10/01/12	COI	Lazio	3 - 2	Hellas Verona

Lazio like playing in this competition. Strong trend, at a glance, to over 2.5 goals.

Thu	17/01/08	COI	Napoli	1 - 1	Lazio		More info
Wed	30/01/08	COI	Fiorentina	1 - 2	Lazio	View events	More info
Wed	16/04/08	COI	Internazionale	0 - 0	Lazio		More info
Wed	03/12/08	COI	Milan	1 - 2E	Lazio	View events	More info
Wed	22/04/09	COI	Juventus	1 - 2	Lazio	View events	More info
Wed	20/01/10	COI	Fiorentina	3 - 2	Lazio	View events	More info
Wed	19/01/11	COI	Roma	2 - 1	Lazio

Last copa meeting with Milan was in 2008 and that was tight until 2 very late goals for both sides.Like Milan, a trend towards overs.

830pm - Levante v Valencia - 2.36 away -

Thu	03/01/08	CDR	Almería	1 - 1	Levante		More info
Wed	09/01/08	CDR	Getafe	3 - 0	Levante	View events	More info
Wed	16/01/08	CDR	Levante	0 - 1	Getafe	View events	More info
Wed	03/09/08	CDR	Hércules	E2 - 1	Levante		More info
Wed	02/09/09	CDR	Levante	0 - 0P	Huesca		More info
Wed	27/10/10	CDR	Xerez	2 - 3	Levante	View events	More info
Wed	10/11/10	CDR	Levante	1 - 2	Xerez	View events	More info
Wed	22/12/10	CDR	Real Madrid	8 - 0	Levante	View events	More info
Thu	06/01/11	CDR	Levante	2 - 0	Real Madrid	View events	More info
Tue	13/12/11	CDR	Deportivo La C…	3 - 1	Levante	View events	More info
Wed	21/12/11	CDR	Levante	E4 - 1	Deportivo La C…	View events	More info
Tue	03/01/12	CDR	Alcorcón	2 - 1	Levante	View events	More info
Wed	11/01/12	CDR	Levante	4 - 0	Alcorcón	View events	More info
Thu	19/01/12	CDR	Valencia	4 - 1	Levante

Odds are very tight. and this must be a 2 legged affair with Valencia easy victors in the home leg. The whole complexion of the game changes with that snippet. Valencia can lose 3-0 and the game goes into extra time. Valencia only really need an away goal to mess up Levante's chances.
Not a match I would get involved in with this scenario. BUT looking at Levante matches, they do feature heavy scoring matches.

Wed	10/11/10	CDR	Levante	1 - 2	Xerez	View events	More info
Thu	06/01/11	CDR	Levante	2 - 0	Real Madrid	View events	More info
Wed	21/12/11	CDR	Levante	E4 - 1	Deportivo La C…	View events	More info
Wed	11/01/12	CDR	Levante	4 - 0	Alcorcón

They most definitely need the 4 they scored in last 2 home ties.
So take your pick. Will Levante go for it? Why not? In that case, perhaps over 2.5 goals might have a chance here. The concern is that Valencia need to avoid a 3-0 defeat, as then Levante go through on the single away goal.