Ghana's only defeats recently overall, v Korea and Brazil, latterly 1-0. 16 matches without a draw in the African Cup of Nations and the last 4 matches have seen 3 1-0 wins and a 1-0 loss to Egypt. Asimo Gyan scored the 3 winners in those 3 matches, and like Ricky Lambert for Southampton, if absent will severly affect Ghana.
8 of Botswana's last 13 matches overall have been draws, 4 of those 0-0.This seems to be their first African Cup of Nations.
It looks as if this will be a 0-0, 1-0 scoreline today.Botswana have conceded 2 or more in only 1 match in last 18, against Sweden. Looks all out attack v defence this afternoon.REmember if Gyan is not playing, or gets injured, lay Ghana.
630pm - Besiktas v Gaziantepspor - 1.47 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 03.10.2011 | D1 | Gaziantepspor | 0-0 | Besiktas JK | |
| 21.05.2011 | D1 | Gaziantepspor | 0-0 | Besiktas JK | |
| 20.04.2011 | Cup | Gaziantepspor | 2-2 | Besiktas JK | |
| 06.04.2011 | Cup | Besiktas JK | 3-0 | Gaziantepspor | |
| 19.12.2010 | D1 | Besiktas JK | 1-1 | Gaziantepspor | |
| 13.02.2010 | D1 | Gaziantepspor | 2-0 | Besiktas JK |
We saw yesterday with Olhananse and Sporting Lisbon the importance of looking at head to heads, and here we see 2 very recent league encounters end 0-0, albeit away at Gaz's ground. Besiktas at home are a different proposition.
LEAGUE POSITION - 3rd v 14th, and a win for Besiktas sees them joint 2nd, albeit negative goal difference with Fenerbahce.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Besiktas
RECENT HOME FORM - WWLDWDWDWWW - traditional solidity at home may scupper the 0-0? Sole loss 0-2 against 11th. Have played 15th and 16th and won 2-1 and 1-0. Against bottom 7 at home, have won 3-1, 2-1, 1-0, 3-1 so generally concede.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WLDWWWDDWWDWW - 2 of 3 defeats came away from home. unbeaten in 11 games now.
GOAL TRENDS - 46% overs at home. Only 2 of last 7 matches over 2.5 goals. A really solid defensive display of late has helped the good unbeaten run. Besiktas have only conceded 0-0-1-1-1-1-0-0-0-1-1. If this continues they are unlikely to concede 2 goals and so, if scoring at least a goal, will be assured of not losing this match. 1-1 seems to be the saver here? Clean sheets in 3 of last 5 matches . Besiktas failed to score in only 4 matches this season.
STREAKS - 3 match home winning streak.No defeat in 11 matches.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Gaziantepspor
RECENT AWAY FORM - LLDWDLDDLD - sole win away came against league leaders 2-1.But then a loss away to 2nd 3-1 scuppers the idea that Gaziant up their game against top teams. 4 0-0's away from home include one against 5th
RECENT OVERALL FORM - WLDDLWDLDDWLDW - inconsistent overall form of late
GOAL TRENDS - 30% overs away from home. 67% of matches this season have been under 2.5 goals - that's 2 in 3. Real trouble scoring away from home 0-0-0-4 -0-1-0-0-1-1 - 4 was highly anomolous in his context against Galatasary.
STREAKS - 6 away without a win. Have scored in last 5 overall.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - first thing we must note is the 2 0-0's in recent head to heads. But we must acknowledge they were at Gaziant's place and today's match is at Besiktas. 0-0 could be a saver/insurance bet today. Besiktas will rarely concede 2 goals in a match, and Gaziant have scored ZILCH in 6 of last 10 away matches. We can therefore fashion any speculative correct score punts around this. 0-0 must be included, 1-0, 1-1, 2-1 are others to shortlist if the odds allow. Goal trends point to under 2.5 goals so if you do correct scores, straddle the 3 goals, i.e. 2-1, 1-1.
745pm - Cardiff v C Palace - 1.75 home - yesterday's Leicester v Southampton match showed you how much of an affect the absence of the top home goalscorer not playing made. So team news imperative this evening in one of the tightest leagues out there.
HEAD TO HEADS
| 10.01.2012 | LC | Crystal Palace | 1-0 | Cardiff City | |
| 05.11.2011 | LCh | Cardiff City | 2-0 | Crystal Palace | |
| 08.03.2011 | LCh | Crystal Palace | 1-0 | Cardiff City | |
| 28.09.2010 | LCh | Cardiff City | 0-0 | Crystal Palace | |
| 27.03.2010 | LCh | Crystal Palace | 1-2 | Cardiff City | |
| 17.10.2009 | LCh | Cardiff City | 1-1 | Crystal Palace |
Cardiff have not lost at home in head to heads but they have only won 1 of last 3 at home. In last 4 matches in the league, Cardiff have kept a clean sheet. The league cup head to head is difficult to decipher as we don't know the strength of the teams put out.
League Cup this evening so check team news. I am a little confused that this is league cup, what with the match on 10th Jan. No research to do therefore albeit to point to a possible tight match this evening.
745pm - Juventus v Roma - 2.02 home
Italian Cup - Juve not enjoyed the best of cup runs of late LLWLWLD ( winning in extra time).
Last 3 defeats in the Copa Italia for Roma have been 1-0's ( since 2010) - 2 of them away and 1 at home. Only 1 win in last 11 away was 0-2 away to Juve in 2011!
A head scratcher this one!
745pm - Motherwell v Dunfermline - 1.65 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 27.08.2011 | PR | Dunfermline | 2-4 | Motherwell FC | |
| 07.05.2007 | PR | Dunfermline | 4-1 | Motherwell FC | |
| 31.03.2007 | PR | Motherwell FC | 2-0 | Dunfermline |
Only 1 head to head of relevance was a 2-4 away win for Motherwell.
LEAGUE POSITION - 5th v 12th of 12 - they win their 2 games in hand and Motherwell can go 3rd.
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Motherwell
RECENT HOME FORM - WWLLWDLDDL - have not played bottom 2 at home yet. An overall inability to score at home -scoring 3-1-0-0-1-0-1-0-1-0 . Are Dunfermline likely to offer lesser resistance this evening?
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WDWLWDWDLLLD - recent defeats to 2nd and 3rd away and Inverness 0-1 at home.
GOAL TRENDS - 40% overs at home. I thought it would be lower but the top sides have scored plenty against Motherwell. Average 0.7 at home and 1.13 overall -this is where the problems lie. If you can only score 1 goal max at home, you are always vulnerable unless that goal is scored in the 90th minute and you haven't conceded. Motherwell have failed to score in 3 of last 4.
STREAKS - no win in 5 at home and 5 overall.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - DUNFERMLINE
RECENT AWAY FORM - WWLLDWLLLLW - wins away have come against 4th , 6th and 7th, all without conceding and are playing 5th today ( who did beat them 2-4 at home!!!)
RECENT OVERALL FORM - LDLWLLDLLLLLW - most recent win was 0-3 against Kilmarnock away. An anomoly or a sign of confidence?
GOAL TRENDS - 10 of last 11 matches over 2.5 goals. 64% overs away from home. Have only kept a clean sheet in 5 matches this season.Have scored 7 and conceded 27 in the first half of matches this season. Far better 2nd half performers attacking wise.
STREAKS - 6 away without a draw and 6 overall without a draw.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - this is another headscratcher. Motherwell cannot really score more than 1 at home, but scored 4 away at Dunfermline. Dunfermline inevitably have more defeats than anything else, but have wins away against 4th, 6th and 7th ( and playing 5th today). What will happen today? Are Dunfermline just the kind of side Motherwell like, or will this be another shock? Will Motherwell manage to score more than 1 goal at home? because if they don't then over 2.5 goals will be scuppered.
A tough match for me to call. Ultra speculative would back Dunfermline 0-1 and hope they repeat the away wins against 4th and 6th.
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