Tuesday 10 January 2012

10/1

I have to take matches from the Ladbrokes website at time of writing as Betfair is down for maintenance. I am not sure if all of these matches are in play on the Betfair coupon. I just have to hope they are.
4pm - Bursaspor Kulübü vs Sanliurfaspor - 1.18 home - Turkish Cup.Top flight v Division 3 from what I can make out.
630pm - Galatasaray SK vs Adana Demirspor - 1.08 home - top flight v Division 3 and the odds for this, and Buraspor, suggest plenty of goals and with both of the big boys having home advantage, we should expect 3/4+ goals with ideal first teams.
7pm - Mallorca vs Real Sociedad - 1.9 home
It's 2-0 to Real Sociedad from the first leg of this Cup match so the onus is on Mallorca to score the first goal to keep the tie alive. And Mallorca have historically had a strong home reputation.Mallorca, though, have lost 3 of their last 4 Cup matches.
Sociedad have not had a draw in their last 11 Copa Del Rey matches but a draw would suit today, no score draw or score draw. Soceidad have not won any of their Copa del rey away fixtures, all 7 of them.  They have lost their last 2 2-1 and that is ideal for them today as they will go through on aggregate. You get the impression that the Copa Del Rey may not be a top priority for Sociedad? 
So taking these dynamics onboard, Mallorca need to score first. Hope they do?Back at 1.9 and lay off if they score first.
745pm - Sheffield United vs Yeovil - 1.4 home
HEAD TO HEADS
27.08.2011L1Yeovil Town0-1Sheffield Utd

Not the most convincing of wins for the Blades. Again I will look at them today as I have a recent familiarity with the side in League one.

LEAGUE POSITION - 4th v 21st.A win takes the Blades 2nd 

HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Sheffield United

RECENT HOME FORM - WWWLWLDWDWWWW - only 2 defeats at home against 1st and 3rd suggests the Blades can cope outside of the upper echelons.  5 wins and 2 draws in last 7. Both draws 2-2 and 4-4 and one of the draws was against 2nd in the league. So dropped points against top 3 but playing 21st today, a far cry from the top. In playing the bottom 15, the Blades have mostly scored 3 or 4. 

RECENT FORM OVERALL - LLDWDWDLWWWWWWL - last 2 defeats were away to 6th and 7th 3-2 and 2-1 so the Blades scored in both. They have scored 3-2-2-3-2 in their last 5 matches, including that defeat.

GOAL TRENDS - 77% overs at home. Average 2.23 scored. 4 of last 5 over 2.5 goals. Have scored in last 13 and scored and conceded in last 3.Have scored 3 in the 2 home matches against bottom 5. 

STREAKS - 7 at home without defeat. 4 match winning run. Have scored in last 13 matches overall. 

AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Yeovil

RECENT AWAY FORM - LDDLLDDDWDD - good recent form for Yeovil away. BUT only 1 win, a 0-1 was against 13th placed Hartlepool. 7 draws too many dropped points. HAve not played any of the top 6 away. 

RECENT OVERALL FORM - LDLDDLDDWWDLLD - 2 recent wins were 1-0 against 11th and 13th. Have lost all at home v top 6. 

GOAL TRENDS - 36% over 2.5 goals away from home. 1 scored, 1.27 conceded away on average. Only 2 of last 6 over 2.5 goals. Have scored and conceded in last 3. 

STREAKS - 6 away without defeat. 4 overall without a win. 

CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - it is always difficult to gauge likely performance, particularly, like Yeovil, when they are playing 4th today, but are yet to play top 6 away. The numbers of draws that pervade away matches suggest this is the best Yeovil can hope for today. The Blades are solid against other than top 3 at home. If Yeovil, win it is likely to be a smash and grab 0-1.  There is a suggestion Sheff Utd can score 3/4 as they have done regularly against bottom 15 sides so factor that in. 


8pm - Lazio vs Verona - 1.4 home - top flight v Division 2. And it looks a good price for Lazio in this Italian Cup match.


9pm - Málaga vs Real Madrid - 1.4 away - 2nd leg of the Cup and it's 3-2 from the first leg. So this is still unfinished business with Malaga bang in there.Expect more goals? Real are scoring for fun of late. No point doing too much research. It's a biggish price for such an inform Madrid side.A superb enhanced bet in the first leg saw Malaga 0-2 up . Obviously they have the capability to score and have home advantage.

No comments: