Wednesday 7 December 2011

7/12

More Champions League matches today and these are not matches I can really research properly. real Madrid are likely to field a 2nd string. Benfica I see as very strong at home. Man Utd must win, and let's face it they tend to when they need to, so a focus on the Basel v Man Utd match might be a good call. Man City must win and rely on Villareal. City and Bayern renowned for goals domestically - the logical choice today? But will Bayern field a weakened side as they are guaranteed top spot?If Napoli win they go 2nd.
Benfica require a win to go top and the 1.16 signals a 2/3 goal win minimum.
THe Lille v Trab match is a must win for both sides. Whoever wins goes through. The market expects Lille to win. Trab go through with a draw so factor that in!The best Trab can hope for then is a 0-0 and that might have tradable legs?
Inter Milan are likely to ring the changes and CSKA need a win -teams who don't need to win rarely do? CSKA the value therefore?
745pm - Ajax v Real Madrid - 2.44 away
745pm - Benfica v Otelul Galati - 1.16 home
745pm - Dinamo Zagreb v Lyon - 1.92 away
745pm - FC Basel v Man Utd - 1.63 away
745pm - Inter v CSKA Moscow - 2.8 home
745pm - Lille v Trabzonspor - 1.5 home
745pm - Man City v B Munich - 1.65 home
745pm - Villarreal v Napoli - 1.81 away


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