7pm - Ponferradina v Real Madrid - 1.16 away - Division 3S v real Madrid. Surely Real will not lose 2 on the trot? look for team news later on. The Racing Post suggests a strong defensive unit which might hint at a win to nil.If any of the big guns are up front, then it should be a comfortable evening. 1.16 usually suggests 3 goals minimum.
730pm - FC Koln v Mainz - 2.66 home
HEAD TO HEADS
| 13.02.2011 | D1 | 1.FC Köln | 4-2 | Mainz | |
| 21.09.2010 | D1 | Mainz | 2-0 | 1.FC Köln | |
| 13.03.2010 | D1 | Mainz | 1-0 | 1.FC Köln | |
| 17.10.2009 | D1 | 1.FC Köln | 1-0 | Mainz |
LEAGUE POSITION - 10th v 13th
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - FC Koln - a keeganesque quality to Koln in some matches makes them good for researching.
RECENT HOME FORM - LDLWWWLW - LDL against the 3 teams below Mainz in the league might suggest trouble today for Koln? But a run of 4 wins in 5 is good home form. Wins against 8th, 9th, 17th and 18th were all to nil.
RECENT FORM OVERALL - WWLWLWLLDW - the keeganesque qualities of Koln - translate that into inconsistent. 3-0 and 4-0 wins against 17th and 18th, 0-3 loss to 14th.
GOAL TRENDS - only 3 matches this season under 2.5 goals and 2 of them were successful over 2.5 goals trades. Nearly 100% over 2.5 goals overall suggests then that we have a good chance with overs today.
STREAKS - 6 without a draw at home.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Mainz
RECENT AWAY FORM - WDLDDD - look tough to beat , albeit without winning, away from home. Draws against 8th, 11th and 14th and playing 10th today. Sole win away against bottom of the league.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLLDLDLWWDD - wins against 1st and 7th were at home. Again these seem out of the blue, scoring 3 against Bayern and Stuttgart.
GOAL TRENDS - 67% over 2.5 goals overall this season.Have conceded 9 in the last 1/4 hour this season.4 of the last 5 over 2.5 goals sandwiched between 2 0-0 scorelines.Mainz have only kept a clean sheet in 3 matches this season. 0-0's against 11th and 12th might suggest a 0-0 cover today? Then the goals come against 14th, 15th and 16th.
STREAKS - 3 match away drawing streak. 5 without a win away.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - 4 wins in last 5 at home for koln but LDL at home against the 3 teams below Mainz in the league. Wins were to nil.Inconsistency unwelcome for the trader for Koln but could allow us to speculate on some bigger prices. 6 without a draw at home.
4 draws in last 5 for Mainz away and they could be tough to beat without necessarily winning.Draws against 8th, 11th and 14th ( playing 10th today). In the last 4 matches Mainz have beaten BAyern and Stuttgart at home scoring 3 - where did that come from? They were at home.
GOALS - all bar 1 match a successful over 2.5 goals trade for Koln this season. 67% overs away from home for Mainz. 0-0's against 11th and 12th ( playing 10th today).3 match drawing sequence away.
Conclusions. This is very tough to read. koln LDL v the 3 teams below Mainz in the league at home. Mainz drawing with 8th, 11th, 14th away ( playing 10th today). Goals are congruent and over 2.5 goals must have a chance.BUT 0-0 could be a goer. Mainz have drawn 0-0 with 11th and 12th.
A match I would speculate on given Koln are highly inconsistent. By the same token, there will be better and more clear cut matches in the days ahead. This one feels messy .
745pm - Genoa v Inter - 2.44 away
HEAD TO HEADS
| 06.03.2011 | D1 | Inter Milan | 5-2 | Genoa CFC | |
| 12.01.2011 | Cup | Inter Milan | 3-2 | Genoa CFC | |
| 29.10.2010 | D1 | Genoa CFC | 0-1 | Inter Milan | |
| 07.03.2010 | D1 | Inter Milan | 0-0 | Genoa CFC | |
| 17.10.2009 | D1 | Genoa CFC | 0-5 | Inter Milan | |
| 07.03.2009 | D1 | Genoa CFC | 0-2 | Inter Milan |
Inter have the upper hand in head to heads
LEAGUE POSITION - 7th v 11th
HOME TEAM - -past fixtures, forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Genoa
RECENT HOME FORM - DWDWWL - sole loss at home came against 3rd placed AC Milan.Genoa beat 9th and 10th and are playing 11th today ( but are Inter in a false position?)
RECENT FORM OVERALL - LLDDWLWLLW - 4 of the losses have come away from home for Genoa against bottom sides.
GOAL TRENDS - 50/50 overs -last 5 matches under 2.5 goals - the 3 losses without scoring and the 2 wins without conceding. 7 of the 8 goals scored in the last 5 matches were scored in the 2nd half. The exception was a 41st minute goal. Defense a strong suit for Genoa. Likelihood of 2nd half goals . Genoa have failed to score in 3 of the last 5 matches , all defeats.
STREAKS - 3 without a draw, 6 overall.
AWAY TEAM - past fixtures -forthcoming fixtures and likely team - Inter Milan
RECENT AWAY FORM - LLWLDW - losses have come against Palermo, Novaro ( who?) and Catania - these are teams a confident Inter would beat.Wins have come against 17th and 18th.
RECENT OVERALL FORM - LLWDLWWLW - only one draw recently - 4 losses home and away out of 4 matches played against top 6 ( and playing 7th today) - 3 wins in last 4 a sign of Inter returning?
GOAL TRENDS - 67% overs away from home.Have scored in all away matches. Inter have kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 3 matches.
STREAKS - 5 overall without a draw. Have scored in last 6 away.
CONCLUSION/NOTES/STANDOUT STATS - sole loss at home for genoa came against 3rd placed AC Milan.Inter have had the upper hand in head to heads. Speculate on that continuing this evening( and we'll get a decent price).
Inter are an enigma , losing away to Catania, Novaro, and Palermo.They have won 3 of their last 4 - shoots of recovery after a dire start?
Goals - 50/50 for Genoa. 67% overs for Inter away from home. 6 overall and 5 overall without a draw for both sides hints they are looking for wins. Lay the draw?Interestingly for Genoa, 7 of the 8 goals scored in their last 5 matches came in the 2nd half.
conclusions - reactive and half time traders get into goals at halftime if it remains 0-0 as Genoa tend to keep it tight initially. Inter in a false position given a poor initial start ? 2.44 away. We can , I think, hold out for a better price in running given the already mentioned Genoa defensive 1st half record of late. But then we could get a Ballotelli moment!! 0-0 a goer as a back to lay trade?
9pm - San Roque v Sevilla - 1.49 away - Division 3 v Primera. 1.49 looks huge but may hide wholesale Sevilla changes.Sevilla are 5th in the top flight. Interestingly though, they have 4 0-0's, a 1-0 win, a 1-0 loss and a 2-2 draw away
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