Wednesday 23 December 2009

23/12

ONE A DAY 7PM TWENTE V HELMOND SPORT BACK TWENTE IN THE MATCH ODDS 1.19


No horse racing today

430pm - Fenerbahce v Altay -1.25 - Turkish Cup game
1-0 win for Fenerbahce in their last Cup game. Altay have been in good form in their league. 1.2 for over 1.5 goals. The market expects a home win - head to heads ( albeit some 5+ years ago ) normally register big wins for Fener.
Question is motivation here, team news. Besiktas lost yesterday in a Cup game they were priced to win, so a little shot across the bows.IN RUNNING
530pm - WHC v Ajax 1.1 away side - 1/20 with Bet365 so 1.1 on Betfair is well worth a look. Dutch Cup and a similarly ( infact bigger) priced Sparta won 5-0 yesterday in their Cup game. Of course there is limited research here regarding WHC so cues must be taken by the price. 1.1 signifies a 3-0, 4-0 type win where Ajax, if full strength ,are expected to dominate - next game is 24th January 2010 for Ajax so there really is no excuse not to bring out the first team given this is effectively their last game this year. A fresh team too given their last league game was postponed.
Increase the odds? Well halftime/fulltime is always worth a look when a team is 1/20 with the bookies.www.bet365.com offer halftime/fulltime at 1/3 Ajax halftime/fulltime on BEtfair is 1.19 but in a very illiquid market. BEcause the Betfair markets offer such poor value ( lack of liquidity) then again I head to BEt365 for over 2.5 goals which is 2/9
600pm - PSG v Grenoble -1.5 - simply because Grenoble are so terrible, having only won one game this season and drawn 4. Word of caution for PSG -Grenoble, although losing away from home, have never been spanked.4 1-0 ( 2 recently) losses and a couple of 2-1 losses indicate some competitiveness.
700pm- Twente v Helmond Sport - 1.17 - top for Dutch 1st tier versus 9th in Dutch second tier.Helmond Sport have a poor record against the top 8 sides in 2nd division. 12 game winning streak for Schteve, how you say, McClaren's Twente - have only drawn 2 games this season winning the rest.
Again, there is surely no reason that Schteve will not play a full strength side given the next match is on 24th Jan 2010.
Low scoring games for Twente have appeared when they have played top 4 sides, so expectation for a return to free scoring today.
730pm - Anderlecht v Dender -1.21 - recent head to head 4-0 win for Anderlecht in, I presume, another Cup game. Top of 1st tier plays 9th in 2nd tier. Anderlecht have a league game on 27th December -will there be a team change.

SHORTLIST
Ajax and Twente should both assert this evening. Both sides are at the top of their game, and have no excuses not to be playing full strength sides with their next games of importance a month away.
Both teams are free scoring and are priced today to win and win well
The best priced is Twente against Helmond Sport at 1.19 currently on Betfair.


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